Art\u0131q bir m\u00fcdd\u0259tdir ki, neft v\u0259 q\u0131z\u0131l\u0131n qiym\u0259tind\u0259 m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 edil\u0259n k\u0259skin bahala\u015fman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan bu h\u0259ft\u0259 birjalar q\u0259fil ucuzla\u015fma il\u0259 a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131b. Bazar ert\u0259si Brent markal\u0131 neftin bir barelinin qiym\u0259ti 2,82 dollar ucuzla\u015faraq 101 dollara d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb. Nyu-York birjalar\u0131nda is\u0259 neftin qiym\u0259ti 3 dollar azalaraq 97,30 dollara geril\u0259yib.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Beyn\u0259lxalq analitikl\u0259r neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin enm\u0259sini \u00f6t\u0259n h\u0259ft\u0259 geosiyasi m\u00fcst\u0259vid\u0259 ba\u015f ver\u0259n hadis\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ndirirl\u0259r. Bel\u0259 ki, AB\u015e il\u0259 \u0130ran aras\u0131nda dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar\u0131n yenid\u0259n ba\u015flamas\u0131na y\u00f6n\u0259lmi\u015f diplomatik s\u0259yl\u0259r, habel\u0259 AB\u015e Federal Ehtiyat Sisteminin (FED) \u00f6t\u0259n h\u0259ft\u0259 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259n b\u0259ri ilk d\u0259f\u0259 faiz art\u0131m\u0131na getm\u0259si neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin\u0259 \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259rib.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
FED-in ilin sonuna q\u0259d\u0259r \u0259lav\u0259 faiz art\u0131m\u0131na ged\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259yin\u0259 dair g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259ri dollar\u0131n da dig\u0259r valyutalar qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda d\u0259y\u0259rinin artmas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b olub. G\u00fccl\u0259n\u0259n dollar is\u0259 neftl\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131, q\u0131z\u0131l\u0131n da qiym\u0259tind\u0259 dal\u011falanmalar yarad\u0131b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Az\u0259rbaycan iqtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131n da neft-qaz g\u0259lirl\u0259rind\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131 olmas\u0131 \u00f6lk\u0259ni qlobal bazarlarda ba\u015f ver\u0259n prosesl\u0259r\u0259 h\u0259ssas edir. X\u00fcsusil\u0259, g\u0259lirl\u0259rin 85 faizinin bu sektor hesab\u0131na formala\u015fd\u0131\u011f\u0131 iqtisadiyyat \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn neftin qiym\u0259tinin h\u0259r bir dollar ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131 v\u0259 ya bahala\u015fmas\u0131 \u00f6z t\u0259sirini g\u00f6st\u0259rir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Az\u0259rbaycan M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131n\u0131n m\u0259lumat\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, ilin birinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda neftin bir barelinin orta sat\u0131\u015f qiym\u0259ti 94,5 dollar t\u0259\u015fkil edib. \u0130cmal v\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin formala\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131nda is\u0259 neftin bir bareli 65 dollar qiym\u0259tind\u0259n hesablan\u0131b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
H\u0259l\u0259lik d\u00fcnya bazar\u0131nda neftin ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6lk\u0259 g\u0259lirl\u0259rind\u0259 m\u0259nfi t\u0259sirl\u0259ri sezilmir. Lakin dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, y\u00fcks\u0259k inflyasiya riskl\u0259rinin qalmas\u0131 idxal inflyasiyas\u0131 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sini d\u0259 g\u00fcnd\u0259md\u0259 saxlay\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Bu bax\u0131mdan bazar ert\u0259si qlobal bazarda ya\u015fanan dal\u011falar Az\u0259rbaycan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn maraq k\u0259sb edir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
AB\u015e Federal Ehtiyat Sisteminin (FED) sentyabr\u0131n 16-da faiz d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259sini 0,25 faiz b\u0259ndi art\u0131raraq 4%-\u0259 \u00e7atd\u0131rmas\u0131na baxmayaraq, AB\u015e fond indeksl\u0259ri bu g\u00fcn y\u00fcks\u0259lib. Bununla bel\u0259, neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131 enerji sektorunun indeksl\u0259rd\u0259n geri qalmas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b olub. \u0130nvestorlar haz\u0131rda 2027-ci ilin ortalar\u0131na q\u0259d\u0259r daha \u00fc\u00e7 faiz art\u0131m\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259yirl\u0259r. Bunlardan birinin 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 ba\u015f verm\u0259si n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
AB\u015e-\u0131n \u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck kommersiya banklar\u0131ndan biri olan U.S. Bank-\u0131n analitikl\u0259ri bildirirl\u0259r<\/a> ki, AB\u015e-\u0130ran m\u00fcharib\u0259sinin ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan sonra yaranan enerji \u015foku v\u0259 s\u00fcni intellekt bumundan qaynaqlanan kapital x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin birg\u0259 t\u0259siri qiym\u0259t t\u0259zyiql\u0259rini o q\u0259d\u0259r g\u00fccl\u00fc saxlay\u0131b ki, FED faiz d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259sini d\u00f6rdd\u0259 bir faiz b\u0259ndi art\u0131raraq 3,75-4,00 faiz aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u00e7atd\u0131rma\u011f\u0131 z\u0259ruri hesab edib.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u201c\u0130ran m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259si faiz d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 \u0259sas\u0259n enerji qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri vasit\u0259sil\u0259 t\u0259sir edir. Neft ax\u0131nlar\u0131n\u0131n m\u0259hdudla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 n\u0259qliyyat v\u0259 istehsal x\u0259rcl\u0259rini art\u0131ra bil\u0259r. Lakin m\u00f6vcud neft ehtiyatlar\u0131ndan v\u0259 inventarlardan istifad\u0259, neft hasilat\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131, alternativ da\u015f\u0131nma mar\u015frutlar\u0131 v\u0259 t\u0259l\u0259bd\u0259ki d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r bazarda yaranm\u0131\u015f pozuntunu m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n q\u0259d\u0259r kompensasiya etm\u0259y\u0259 v\u0259 neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rini haz\u0131rda y\u00fcks\u0259k, lakin n\u0259zar\u0259t olunan s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 saxlama\u011fa k\u00f6m\u0259k edib. \u018fg\u0259r m\u0259hdudiyy\u0259tl\u0259r davam etdiyi halda bu kompensasiyaedici amill\u0259r z\u0259ifl\u0259s\u0259, neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin daha uzun m\u00fcdd\u0259t y\u00fcks\u0259k qalmas\u0131 inflyasiya t\u0259zyiqini yenid\u0259n g\u00fccl\u0259ndir\u0259, istehlak x\u0259rcl\u0259rini azalda v\u0259 \u015firk\u0259tl\u0259rin m\u0259nf\u0259\u0259tin\u0259 m\u0259nfi t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259 bil\u0259r\u201d,<\/em> \u2013 U.S. Bank-\u0131n m\u0259qal\u0259sind\u0259 qeyd edilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Bel\u0259likl\u0259, AB\u015e-nin s\u0259rt pul siyas\u0259ti il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259rin dollar\u0131 g\u00fccl\u0259ndirm\u0259si neft v\u0259 q\u0131z\u0131l\u0131n qiym\u0259tin\u0259 t\u0259zyiq g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259n s\u0259b\u0259bl\u0259rd\u0259n biridir. Dollar\u0131n \u00f6t\u0259n h\u0259ft\u0259 1 faizd\u0259n \u00e7ox bahala\u015fmas\u0131 neftl\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131, q\u0131z\u0131l\u0131n qiym\u0259tin\u0259 d\u0259 t\u0259sir edib. Q\u0131z\u0131l v\u0259 neft dollarla qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirildiyin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, g\u00fccl\u00fc dollar dig\u0259r valyutalardak\u0131 al\u0131c\u0131lar \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bu m\u0259hsullar\u0131 bahala\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r v\u0259 t\u0259l\u0259bi z\u0259ifl\u0259d\u0259 bilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Xat\u0131rladaq ki, AB\u015e-nin \u0130rana h\u00fccumundan sonra qlobal bazarlarda qeyri-sabit v\u0259ziyy\u0259tin yaranmas\u0131 m\u0259rk\u0259zi banklar\u0131n q\u0131z\u0131l al\u0131\u015f\u0131na mara\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rm\u0131\u015fd\u0131. Bel\u0259 geosiyasi g\u0259rginlik d\u00f6vrl\u0259rind\u0259 q\u0131z\u0131l \u0259sas t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259siz liman hesab olunur. N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259 son bir ild\u0259 q\u0131z\u0131l\u0131n qiym\u0259ti rekord h\u0259dd\u0259 \u00e7atm\u0131\u015fd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Lakin y\u00fcks\u0259k inflyasiya t\u0259zyiql\u0259ri v\u0259 faiz d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259l\u0259rinin y\u00fcks\u0259k olmas\u0131 q\u0131z\u0131l\u0131n saxlanma x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin artmas\u0131na v\u0259 faiz g\u0259liri g\u0259tirm\u0259m\u0259si s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n ona olan t\u0259l\u0259bin azalmas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b olub.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Bel\u0259likl\u0259, bazar ert\u0259si \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 birjalar\u0131nda q\u0131z\u0131l\u0131n bir troya unsiyas\u0131n\u0131n qiym\u0259ti 36,4 dollar azalaraq 4 388,5 dollara q\u0259d\u0259r d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb. G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn qiym\u0259ti is\u0259 0,62 dollar azalaraq 66,53 dollara enib. Ekspertl\u0259r bu ucuzla\u015fman\u0131n davam ed\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259yini proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlarla yana\u015f\u0131 neftin ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131na t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259n dig\u0259r amill\u0259rd\u0259n biri d\u0259 AB\u015e v\u0259 \u0130ran aras\u0131nda dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131d\u0131r. Q\u0259t\u0259r Xarici \u0130\u015fl\u0259r Nazirliyinin s\u00f6z\u00e7\u00fcs\u00fc Macid \u0259l-\u018fnsari yerli mediaya verdiyi a\u00e7\u0131qlamada bildirib<\/a> ki, t\u0259xmin\u0259n iki h\u0259ft\u0259dir Va\u015finqtonla Tehran aras\u0131nda dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar\u0131n yenid\u0259n ba\u015flamas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn m\u00fcxt\u0259lif ideyalar \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 i\u015f apar\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n B\u00f6lg\u0259d\u0259 sabitliyi t\u0259min ed\u0259c\u0259k bir h\u0259ll\u0259 v\u0259 H\u00f6rm\u00fcz bo\u011faz\u0131 kimi strateji su yollar\u0131n\u0131 qoruyacaq beyn\u0259lxalq yana\u015fmaya ehtiyac oldu\u011funu vur\u011fulayan \u018fnsari bildirib ki, su yollar\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n bir \u00f6lk\u0259nin suverenliyin\u0259 tabe edilm\u0259si v\u0259 silah kimi istifad\u0259 olunmas\u0131 h\u0259r k\u0259s \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259 yarad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Beyn\u0259lxalq analitikl\u0259r\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, Va\u015finqtonun raz\u0131la\u015fma \u0259ld\u0259 etm\u0259k ist\u0259yin\u0259 dair a\u00e7\u0131qlamalar\u0131 AB\u015e-\u0130ran g\u0259rginliyinin azala bil\u0259c\u0259yi v\u0259 regionda t\u0259dar\u00fck riskl\u0259rinin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259yi il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259ri g\u00fccl\u0259ndirib. Bu da neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 istiqam\u0259td\u0259 h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259tini d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259yib.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, Y\u0259m\u0259nd\u0259 f\u0259aliyy\u0259t g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259n husil\u0259rin S\u0259udiyy\u0259 \u018fr\u0259bistan\u0131n\u0131n \u015e\u0259rq-Q\u0259rb neft boru k\u0259m\u0259rin\u0259 h\u00fccumlar\u0131ndan sonra bazarlarda m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n g\u0259rginlik yaranm\u0131\u015fd\u0131. Bununla yana\u015f\u0131, S\u0259udiyy\u0259 \u018fr\u0259bistan\u0131 neft ixrac\u0131n\u0131n h\u0259cmini art\u0131r\u0131b. Xarici mediada yer alan m\u0259lumatlara g\u00f6r\u0259, S\u0259udiyy\u0259 \u018fr\u0259bistan\u0131n\u0131n sentyabr ay\u0131nda xam neftin g\u00fcnd\u0259lik ixrac h\u0259cmi 4 milyon barel t\u0259\u015fkil edib. Bu, 2013-c\u00fc ild\u0259n b\u0259ri \u0259n y\u00fcks\u0259k g\u00f6st\u0259ricidir. M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, avqust ay\u0131nda bu g\u00f6st\u0259rici g\u00fcnd\u0259lik 2,4 milyon barel\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015fd\u00fc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Art\u0131q bir m\u00fcdd\u0259tdir ki, neft v\u0259 q\u0131z\u0131l\u0131n qiym\u0259tind\u0259 m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 edil\u0259n … <\/p>\nAB\u015e v\u0259 \u0130ran raz\u0131l\u0131\u011fa g\u0259lir?<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n