{"id":344275,"date":"2026-04-24T14:22:51","date_gmt":"2026-04-24T10:22:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/?p=344275"},"modified":"2026-04-24T15:14:58","modified_gmt":"2026-04-24T11:14:58","slug":"g%c9%99rginlik-kolg%c9%99sind%c9%99-yaxinlasma-goruntusu-rusiya-az%c9%99rbaycan-qarsidurmasinda-taym-aut","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/az\/article\/g%c9%99rginlik-kolg%c9%99sind%c9%99-yaxinlasma-goruntusu-rusiya-az%c9%99rbaycan-qarsidurmasinda-taym-aut\/","title":{"rendered":"G\u0259rginlik k\u00f6lg\u0259sind\u0259 yax\u0131nla\u015fma g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fc: Rusiya\u2013Az\u0259rbaycan qar\u015f\u0131durmas\u0131nda taym-aut?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Son g\u00fcnl\u0259rd\u0259 Bak\u0131 il\u0259 Moskva aras\u0131nda diqq\u0259t\u00e7\u0259k\u0259n diplomatik aktivlik m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunur. T\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259rin Aktauda ba\u015f vermi\u015f AZAL-a m\u0259xsus t\u0259yyar\u0259 q\u0259zas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 kompensasiya \u00f6d\u0259nilm\u0259si \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn raz\u0131l\u0131\u011fa g\u0259lm\u0259si, ard\u0131nca h\u0259r iki \u00f6lk\u0259nin h\u00f6kum\u0259tl\u0259raras\u0131 komissiyas\u0131n\u0131n birg\u0259 iclas\u0131 v\u0259 iqtisadi \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131qla ba\u011fl\u0131 mesajlar\u0131n verilm\u0259si iki \u00f6lk\u0259 aras\u0131nda m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rin normalla\u015fd\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u0259\u0259ss\u00fcrat\u0131n\u0131 yarad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rusiya\u2013Az\u0259rbaycan m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259 m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunan yum\u015falma ilk bax\u0131\u015fda ziddiyy\u0259tli m\u0259nz\u0259r\u0259 yarad\u0131r. Bir t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, 2024-c\u00fc ilin dekabr\u0131nda ba\u015f vermi\u015f v\u0259 38 n\u0259f\u0259rin \u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc il\u0259 n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259n\u0259n AZAL t\u0259yyar\u0259 q\u0259zas\u0131 iki \u00f6lk\u0259 aras\u0131nda ciddi siyasi g\u0259rginlik do\u011furmu\u015f, qar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ql\u0131 ittihamlar v\u0259 s\u0259rt b\u0259yanatlarla m\u00fc\u015fayi\u0259t olunmu\u015fdu. Bak\u0131 r\u0259smi \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131 hadis\u0259y\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259 m\u0259suliyy\u0259t da\u015f\u0131maqda ittiham edir, kompensasiya v\u0259 g\u00fcnahkarlar\u0131n c\u0259zaland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259l\u0259b edirdi. Bu fonda Rusiyada Az\u0259rbaycan diasporuna qar\u015f\u0131 \u0259m\u0259liyyatlar, Bak\u0131da is\u0259 Rusiya v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n, o c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n \u201cSputnik Az\u0259rbaycan\u201d \u0259m\u0259kda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n saxlan\u0131lmas\u0131 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri daha da k\u0259skinl\u0259\u015fdirmi\u015fdi. B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri son 30 ilin \u0259n g\u0259rgin m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259sin\u0259 g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xarm\u0131\u015fd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Aprelin 16-da Bak\u0131da ke\u00e7iril\u0259n Az\u0259rbaycan\u2013Rusiya H\u00f6kum\u0259tl\u0259raras\u0131 Komissiyas\u0131n\u0131n iclas\u0131nda ba\u015f nazirin m\u00fcavini \u015eahin Mustafayevin s\u0259sl\u0259ndirdiyi r\u0259q\u0259ml\u0259r is\u0259 g\u0259rginliyin art\u0131q gerid\u0259 qald\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u0259\u0259ss\u00fcrat\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fccl\u0259ndirir. Ba\u015f nazirin m\u00fcavini bildirmi\u015fdi ki, Rusiyan\u0131n Az\u0259rbaycan iqtisadiyyat\u0131na yat\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 investisiyalar\u0131n \u00fcmumi h\u0259cmi 10.7 milyard dollar\u0131 \u00f6t\u00fcr, ticar\u0259t d\u00f6vriyy\u0259si is\u0259 2025-ci ild\u0259 4.9 milyard dollara \u00e7at\u0131b. Rusiyan\u0131n ba\u015f nazirinin m\u00fcavini Aleksey Over\u00e7ukun Bak\u0131ya s\u0259f\u0259ri zaman\u0131 s\u0259sl\u0259ndiril\u0259n \u201c\u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n inki\u015faf\u0131\u201d b\u0259yanatlar\u0131, h\u0259m\u00e7inin Az\u0259rbaycan r\u0259smil\u0259rinin \u201cmehriban qon\u015fuluq v\u0259 strateji t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015fl\u0131q\u201d ritorikas\u0131na qay\u0131tmas\u0131 g\u0259rginliyin arxada qald\u0131\u011f\u0131 mesaj\u0131n\u0131 verir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Foto: Az\u0259rtac<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Bu iki paralel x\u0259tt,  y\u0259ni yax\u0131n ke\u00e7mi\u015fin g\u0259rginliyi v\u0259 indiki normalla\u015fma mesajlar\u0131 yeni bir sual ortaya \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131r:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Bak\u0131 il\u0259 Moskva aras\u0131nda m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunan bu yax\u0131nla\u015fma h\u0259qiq\u0259t\u0259n d\u0259rinl\u0259\u015f\u0259n strateji \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n g\u00f6st\u0259ricisidir, yoxsa t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259rin regional v\u0259 qlobal \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259rd\u0259n do\u011fan m\u0259cburi siyasi gedi\u015fidir? <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

\u0130lk bax\u0131\u015fda iki \u00f6lk\u0259 aras\u0131ndak\u0131 b\u00f6hran\u0131n \u0259sas s\u0259b\u0259bi AZAL t\u0259yyar\u0259sinin q\u0259zas\u0131 v\u0259 bununla ba\u011fl\u0131 yaranan diplomatik qar\u015f\u0131durma kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr. Lakin m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 t\u0259kc\u0259 bu hadis\u0259 il\u0259 m\u0259hdudla\u015fm\u0131r. T\u0259yyar\u0259 b\u00f6hran\u0131 \u0259slind\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259r aras\u0131nda art\u0131q m\u00f6vcud olan naraz\u0131l\u0131qlar\u0131 \u00fcz\u0259 \u00e7\u0131xaran katalizator rolunu oynad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Son ill\u0259rd\u0259 Qaraba\u011fdan sonra formala\u015fan yeni geosiyasi reall\u0131q ( Avropa Birliyinin v\u0259 daha sonra AB\u015e-nin Az\u0259rbaycan v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan aras\u0131ndak\u0131 s\u00fclh dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar\u0131nda f\u0259al i\u015ftirak\u0131) Moskvan\u0131n C\u0259nubi Qafqazdak\u0131 \u0259n\u0259n\u0259vi t\u0259sir mexanizml\u0259rini z\u0259ifl\u0259dib. Bak\u0131 \u0259vv\u0259lki d\u00f6vrl\u0259rl\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 Rusiya faktorunu uzaq tutma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r, Moskva is\u0259 bunu \u00f6z t\u0259sir dair\u0259sinin daralmas\u0131 kimi q\u0259bul edir.
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G\u0259rginlik fonunda ba\u015f ver\u0259n hadis\u0259l\u0259r: qar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ql\u0131 t\u0259zyiq al\u0259tl\u0259ri<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Son bir ild\u0259 Bak\u0131 il\u0259 Moskva aras\u0131nda m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rd\u0259 g\u0259rginlik t\u0259kc\u0259 diplomatik b\u0259yanatlarla m\u0259hdudla\u015fmay\u0131b. T\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259r paralel \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 h\u0259m informasiya, h\u0259m h\u00fcquqi, h\u0259m d\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik m\u00fcst\u0259visind\u0259 bir-birin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 t\u0259zyiq al\u0259tl\u0259rini i\u015f\u0259 sal\u0131blar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2025-ci ilin yanvar\u0131nda Bak\u0131da f\u0259aliyy\u0259t g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259n \u201cRus Evi\u201d kimi tan\u0131nan \u201cRossotrudni\u00e7estvo\u201d n\u00fcmay\u0259nd\u0259liyi \u0259traf\u0131nda yaranan qalmaqal bu x\u0259ttin ilk a\u00e7\u0131q epizodlar\u0131ndan biri oldu. Hakimiyy\u0259ty\u00f6nl\u00fc mediada qurum \u201ck\u0259\u015ffiyyat f\u0259aliyy\u0259ti\u201d il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ndirildikd\u0259n sonra Az\u0259rbaycan Xarici \u0130\u015fl\u0259r Nazirliyi t\u0259\u015fkilat\u0131n h\u00fcquqi qeydiyyat\u0131n\u0131n olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u0259sas g\u0259tir\u0259r\u0259k onun f\u0259aliyy\u0259tini faktiki dayand\u0131rd\u0131. Ard\u0131nca \u201cRossotrudni\u00e7estvo\u201d n\u00fcmay\u0259nd\u0259liyi r\u0259smi \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 f\u0259aliyy\u0259tini dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131qlad\u0131. Moskva bu add\u0131m\u0131 \u201cs\u0259hv\u201d adland\u0131rd\u0131 v\u0259 m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259ni siyasi dialoq vasit\u0259sil\u0259 h\u0259ll etm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi. Qar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ql\u0131 olaraq s\u0259firl\u0259rin X\u0130N-l\u0259r\u0259 \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131laraq nota verilm\u0259si is\u0259 hadis\u0259nin s\u0131rf h\u00fcquqi yox, a\u00e7\u0131q diplomatik qar\u015f\u0131durma xarakteri da\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6st\u0259rdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eyni d\u00f6vrd\u0259 informasiya m\u00fcst\u0259visind\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131durma daha da s\u0259rtl\u0259\u015fdi. 2025-ci ilin fevral\u0131nda Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n Xarici \u0130\u015fl\u0259r Nazirliyi \u201cSputnik Az\u0259rbaycan\u201d\u0131n akkreditasiyas\u0131n\u0131 l\u0259\u011fv etdi. \u0130yunun 30-da is\u0259 Daxili \u0130\u015fl\u0259r Nazirliyi agentliyin Bak\u0131 ofisind\u0259 \u0259m\u0259liyyat ke\u00e7ir\u0259r\u0259k 7 n\u0259f\u0259ri saxlad\u0131, onlardan ikisi \u2014 ba\u015f redaktor \u0130qor Kartav\u0131x v\u0259 Yevgeni Belousov h\u0259bs edildi. R\u0259smi versiyada s\u0259b\u0259b \u201cqanunsuz maliyy\u0259l\u0259\u015fm\u0259 v\u0259 akkreditasiyas\u0131z f\u0259aliyy\u0259t\u201d kimi g\u00f6st\u0259rils\u0259 d\u0259, h\u00f6kum\u0259ty\u00f6nl\u00fc mediada saxlan\u0131lan \u015f\u0259xsl\u0259rin Rusiya Federal T\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik Xidm\u0259ti il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259li oldu\u011fu iddialar\u0131 s\u0259sl\u0259ndirildi. Moskva is\u0259 bu add\u0131m\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131q \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 siyasi m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 kimi qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndir\u0259r\u0259k saxlan\u0131lanlar\u0131n azad olunmas\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259l\u0259b etdi. Daha sonra h\u0259min \u015f\u0259xsl\u0259r azadl\u0131\u011fa burax\u0131ld\u0131 v\u0259 Rusiyaya geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu hadis\u0259l\u0259rin fonunda Rusiyada az\u0259rbaycanl\u0131lara qar\u015f\u0131 zorak\u0131l\u0131q epizodlar\u0131 da artd\u0131. 2025-ci ilin iyununda Yekaterinburqda ke\u00e7iril\u0259n polis \u0259m\u0259liyyat\u0131 zaman\u0131 iki az\u0259rbaycanl\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fclm\u0259si Bak\u0131 t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n \u201cn\u00fcmayi\u015fkaran\u0259 q\u0259tl\u201d kimi qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirildi v\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan Ba\u015f Prokurorlu\u011fu cinay\u0259t i\u015fi a\u00e7d\u0131. Hadis\u0259 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 r\u0259smi Bak\u0131n\u0131n s\u0259rt reaksiyas\u0131 iki \u00f6lk\u0259 aras\u0131nda g\u0259rginliyi daha da art\u0131rd\u0131. Bu ilin aprelin 13-d\u0259  az\u0259rbaycanl\u0131 diaspor n\u00fcmay\u0259nd\u0259l\u0259ri \u015eahin \u015e\u0131xlinskiy\u0259 \u00fcmumilikd\u0259 24 il, o\u011flu Mutval\u0131 \u015e\u0131xlinskiy\u0259 is\u0259 8 il h\u0259bs c\u0259zas\u0131 verilm\u0259si Rusiyada diaspor \u00fczvl\u0259rin\u0259 a\u011f\u0131r c\u0259zalar\u0131n t\u0259tbiq olundu\u011funu g\u00f6st\u0259rir. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Daxili siyasi m\u00fcst\u0259vid\u0259 is\u0259 \u201cRusiya faktoru\u201dnun t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259si kimi t\u0259qdim edilm\u0259si diqq\u0259t \u00e7\u0259kir. 2025-ci ilin oktyabr\u0131nda uzun ill\u0259r hakimiyy\u0259tin \u0259sas fiqurlar\u0131ndan biri olmu\u015f Ramiz Mehdiyev\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 d\u00f6vl\u0259t\u0259 x\u0259yan\u0259t v\u0259 hakimiyy\u0259tin zorla \u0259l\u0259 ke\u00e7irilm\u0259sin\u0259 c\u0259hd kimi a\u011f\u0131r ittihamlarla cinay\u0259t i\u015fi a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 bu bax\u0131mdan simvolik add\u0131m idi. Mediaya v\u0259 siyasi diskursa paralel \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 onun \u201cRusiyan\u0131n Az\u0259rbaycandak\u0131 t\u0259sir \u015f\u0259b\u0259k\u0259sinin n\u00fcmay\u0259nd\u0259si\u201d kimi t\u0259qdim olunmas\u0131 bu i\u015fi t\u0259kc\u0259 h\u00fcquqi yox, h\u0259m d\u0259 siyasi mesaj kimi \u00f6n\u0259 \u00e7\u0131xard\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Ramiz Mehdiyev, M\u0259nb\u0259: https:\/\/science.gov.az\/<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Eyni i\u015f \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259nin \u0259sas apar\u0131c\u0131 m\u00fcxalif\u0259t partiyas\u0131 hesab olunan Az\u0259rbaycan Xalq C\u0259bh\u0259si Partiyas\u0131n\u0131n s\u0259dri \u018fli K\u0259rimli, partiya funksionerl\u0259rinin h\u0259bsl\u0259ri is\u0259 \u201cRusiya il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259\u201d ittiham\u0131n\u0131n daha geni\u015f siyasi kontekstd\u0259 istifad\u0259 olundu\u011funu g\u00f6st\u0259rdi. Bu is\u0259 daxili m\u00fcxalif\u0259t\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 t\u0259zyiq al\u0259ti il\u0259 xarici siyasi x\u0259ttin k\u0259si\u015fdiyi n\u00f6qt\u0259 kimi qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndiril\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u0259hz bu kontekstd\u0259 Rusiyada az\u0259rbaycanl\u0131 diaspor n\u00fcmay\u0259nd\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 t\u0259zyiql\u0259r, Bak\u0131da rusiyap\u0259r\u0259st strukturlar\u0131n f\u0259aliyy\u0259tinin m\u0259hdudla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 v\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259 daxilind\u0259 \u201cRusiya il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259r\u201d ittiham\u0131 il\u0259 apar\u0131lan h\u0259bsl\u0259r m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rd\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ql\u0131 g\u00fcc n\u00fcmayi\u015finin elementl\u0259ri kimi ortaya \u00e7\u0131x\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu bax\u0131mdan g\u0259rginlik t\u0259kc\u0259 diplomatik insident deyil, iki \u00f6lk\u0259 aras\u0131nda d\u0259yi\u015f\u0259n g\u00fcc balans\u0131n\u0131n v\u0259 t\u0259sir u\u011frunda m\u00fcbariz\u0259nin n\u0259tic\u0259si kimi ba\u015fa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fclm\u0259lidir.
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Rusiyan\u0131n Az\u0259rbaycana t\u0259sir al\u0259tl\u0259ri: s\u0259rt g\u00fccd\u0259n yum\u015faq t\u0259sir\u0259<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Rusiyan\u0131n \u0259n m\u00fch\u00fcm t\u0259sir al\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259n biri iqtisadi sah\u0259dir. Rusiya uzun ill\u0259rdir Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n \u0259sas ticar\u0259t t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015flar\u0131ndan biri olaraq qal\u0131r. Son r\u0259smi m\u0259lumatlara g\u00f6r\u0259, iki \u00f6lk\u0259 aras\u0131nda ticar\u0259t d\u00f6vriyy\u0259si milyardlarla dollarla \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcr, Rusiyan\u0131n Az\u0259rbaycan iqtisadiyyat\u0131na yat\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 investisiyalar is\u0259 10 milyard dollardan art\u0131qd\u0131r. Bu, Moskvan\u0131n iqtisadi r\u0131\u00e7aqlar vasit\u0259sil\u0259 Bak\u0131 il\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rd\u0259 t\u0259sir imkanlar\u0131n\u0131 qorudu\u011funu g\u00f6st\u0259rir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bununla yana\u015f\u0131, miqrasiya faktoru Rusiyan\u0131n \u0259lind\u0259 m\u00fch\u00fcm sosial-iqtisadi t\u0259sir vasit\u0259sidir. On minl\u0259rl\u0259 az\u0259rbaycanl\u0131 Rusiyada \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r v\u0259 ail\u0259l\u0259rini oradan g\u00f6nd\u0259ril\u0259n v\u0259saitl\u0259 t\u0259min edir. Bu as\u0131l\u0131l\u0131q potensial olaraq Moskvan\u0131n qeyri-r\u0259smi t\u0259zyiq mexanizmi kimi \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f ed\u0259 bil\u0259r. Yekaterinburq hadis\u0259l\u0259ri fonunda diaspor \u00fczvl\u0259rin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 s\u0259rt davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131n artmas\u0131 bu al\u0259tin nec\u0259 istifad\u0259 oluna bil\u0259c\u0259yini a\u00e7\u0131q \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 g\u00f6st\u0259rdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Humanitar v\u0259 m\u0259d\u0259ni t\u0259sir d\u0259 az \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli deyil. Az\u0259rbaycanda rusdilli t\u0259hsil sektoru geni\u015f olaraq qal\u0131r, rus dili h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 \u015f\u0259h\u0259r m\u00fchitind\u0259 v\u0259 elita daxilind\u0259 aktiv istifad\u0259 olunur. Bu is\u0259 Rusiyaya uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli \u201cyum\u015faq g\u00fcc\u201d t\u0259siri verir. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yax\u0131nla\u015fman\u0131n s\u0259b\u0259bl\u0259ri: geosiyasi v\u0259 regional kontekst<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Bak\u0131 il\u0259 Moskva aras\u0131nda m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunan son normalla\u015fma yaln\u0131z ikit\u0259r\u0259fli m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rin daxili dinamikas\u0131 il\u0259 izah olunmur. Bu proses daha geni\u015f \u2014 regional v\u0259 qlobal geosiyasi d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259rin t\u0259siri alt\u0131nda formala\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130lk n\u00f6vb\u0259d\u0259, C\u0259nubi Qafqazda son ill\u0259rd\u0259 yaranm\u0131\u015f yeni g\u00fcc balans\u0131 diqq\u0259t \u00e7\u0259kir. Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259sinin bitm\u0259si Moskvan\u0131n \u0259n\u0259n\u0259vi t\u0259sir imkanlar\u0131n\u0131 m\u0259hdudla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131b. Rusiya \u0259vv\u0259lki kimi regionun \u0259sas t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik t\u0259minat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 rolunu tam \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 icra ed\u0259 bilmir v\u0259 bu, onun Bak\u0131 il\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rd\u0259 daha ehtiyatl\u0131 davranmas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b olur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eyni zamanda, Erm\u0259nistan faktorunun transformasiyas\u0131 da bu balans\u0131 d\u0259yi\u015fir. Yerevan\u0131n t\u0259dric\u0259n Rusiyadan uzaqla\u015faraq Q\u0259rb\u0259 inteqrasiya istiqam\u0259tind\u0259 add\u0131mlar atmas\u0131 Moskvan\u0131n regiondak\u0131 dayaqlar\u0131n\u0131 z\u0259ifl\u0259dir. Bu \u015f\u0259raitd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan Rusiya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn daha \u00f6n\u0259mli t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015fa \u00e7evrilir \u2014 \u0259n az\u0131 regional t\u0259sirini qorumaq bax\u0131m\u0131ndan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Qlobal s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 is\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n Ukrayna m\u00fcharib\u0259si fonunda artan t\u0259cridi m\u00fch\u00fcm rol oynay\u0131r. Q\u0259rbl\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131durma \u015f\u0259raitind\u0259 Moskva \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn yax\u0131n regionlarda sabit v\u0259 praqmatik m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259r saxlamaq prioritet\u0259 \u00e7evrilib. Bu, x\u00fcsusil\u0259 n\u0259qliyyat, logistika v\u0259 alternativ iqtisadi \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259r bax\u0131m\u0131ndan \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tlidir. Az\u0259rbaycan is\u0259 bu kontekstd\u0259 h\u0259m co\u011frafi, h\u0259m d\u0259 siyasi bax\u0131mdan vacib tranzit v\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015f \u00f6lk\u0259 kimi \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f edir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, Az\u0259rbaycan da balans siyas\u0259tini davam etdirm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. Bak\u0131 bir t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n Q\u0259rb institutlar\u0131 v\u0259 T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 il\u0259 \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 geni\u015fl\u0259ndirir, dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n is\u0259 Rusiya il\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri k\u0259skin qar\u015f\u0131durma h\u0259ddin\u0259 \u00e7atd\u0131rmaqdan \u00e7\u0259kinir. Bu, x\u00fcsusil\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik v\u0259 iqtisadi sabitlik bax\u0131m\u0131ndan riskl\u0259rin idar\u0259 olunmas\u0131 strategiyas\u0131 kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

N\u0259qliyyat d\u0259hlizl\u0259ri v\u0259 regional layih\u0259l\u0259r d\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259ri \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131\u011fa m\u0259cbur ed\u0259n amill\u0259r s\u0131ras\u0131ndad\u0131r. \u015eimal\u2013C\u0259nub n\u0259qliyyat mar\u015frutu kimi t\u0259\u015f\u0259bb\u00fcsl\u0259r h\u0259m Rusiya, h\u0259m d\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn strateji \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259t da\u015f\u0131y\u0131r v\u0259 bu sah\u0259d\u0259 \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131q qar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ql\u0131 maraqlar\u0131n \u00fcst-\u00fcst\u0259 d\u00fc\u015fd\u00fcy\u00fc nadir istiqam\u0259tl\u0259rd\u0259n biridir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bel\u0259likl\u0259, m\u00f6vcud yax\u0131nla\u015fma daha \u00e7ox t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259rin d\u0259yi\u015f\u0259n geosiyasi reall\u0131qlara uy\u011funla\u015fmaq c\u0259hdi kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr. Bu is\u0259 onu g\u00f6st\u0259rir ki, m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rd\u0259ki yum\u015falma d\u0259rin strateji transformasiyadan \u00e7ox, xarici t\u0259zyiql\u0259r v\u0259 regional z\u0259rur\u0259tl\u0259r n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 formala\u015fan praqmatik uzla\u015fmad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Moskvan\u0131n son add\u0131mlar\u0131 daha \u00e7ox z\u0259rur\u0259td\u0259n ir\u0259li g\u0259lir<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Meydan TV-y\u0259 dan\u0131\u015fan siyasi \u015f\u0259rh\u00e7i Elxan \u015eahino\u011flu da bildirir ki, Ukrayna m\u00fcharib\u0259si fonunda Rusiyan\u0131n manevr imkanlar\u0131n\u0131n daralmas\u0131 Bak\u0131 il\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri normalla\u015fd\u0131rma\u011f\u0131 z\u0259ruri edir:<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Elxan
Elxan \u015eahino\u011flu. Foto: Meydan TV<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cG\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr, Rusiya hakimiyy\u0259ti art\u0131q bel\u0259 bir q\u0259na\u0259t\u0259 g\u0259lir ki, Ukraynaya qar\u015f\u0131 apard\u0131\u011f\u0131 m\u00fcharib\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n sanksiyalarla \u00fczl\u0259\u015f\u0259n v\u0259 d\u00fcnya bazarlar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f\u0131 m\u0259hdudla\u015fan Rusiya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Az\u0259rbaycan kimi C\u0259nubi Qafqaz\u0131n \u0259sas d\u00f6vl\u0259tini itirm\u0259k m\u0259qs\u0259d\u0259uy\u011fun deyil. M\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rin g\u0259rginl\u0259\u015fm\u0259si Rusiyan\u0131n maraqlar\u0131na cavab vermir\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Onun s\u00f6zl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, bu kontekstd\u0259 AZAL t\u0259yyar\u0259 q\u0259zas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 kompensasiya m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259sinin h\u0259llin\u0259 getm\u0259k Moskvan\u0131n praqmatik add\u0131m\u0131 kimi qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndiril\u0259 bil\u0259r. \u015eahino\u011flu h\u0259m\u00e7inin qeyd edir ki, Rusiyan\u0131n regionda artan maraqlar\u0131, x\u00fcsusil\u0259 n\u0259qliyyat layih\u0259l\u0259ri il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 planlar\u0131 da Bak\u0131 il\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri sabitl\u0259\u015fdirm\u0259k ehtiyac\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131r:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cOla bilsin ki, Rusiya n\u0259qliyyat yollar\u0131n\u0131n tikintisi v\u0259 istifad\u0259sind\u0259 d\u0259 daha f\u0259al rol almaq ist\u0259yir\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bununla yana\u015f\u0131, o vur\u011fulay\u0131r ki, normalla\u015fma h\u0259l\u0259 tam deyil v\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ql\u0131 probleml\u0259r qalmaqdad\u0131r:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cBu, o dem\u0259k deyil ki, siyasi m\u00fcst\u0259vid\u0259 b\u00fct\u00fcn m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259l\u0259r tam h\u0259ll olunub. Rusiyada az\u0259rbaycanl\u0131lara qar\u015f\u0131 t\u0259zyiql\u0259r h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 davam edir, h\u0259bsd\u0259 olan soyda\u015flar\u0131m\u0131z var, h\u0259tta g\u00fcnahs\u0131z insanlar\u0131n \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fclm\u0259si hallar\u0131 da ba\u015f verib\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

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Foto: Nahid C\u0259f\u0259rovun \u015f\u0259xsi “Facebook” s\u0259hif\u0259si<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Ke\u00e7mi\u015f diplomat Nahid C\u0259f\u0259rov is\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rin dinamikas\u0131n\u0131 yaln\u0131z Moskva\u2013Bak\u0131 x\u0259tti il\u0259 deyil, daha geni\u015f g\u00fcc balans\u0131 prizmas\u0131ndan izah edir. Onun fikrinc\u0259, g\u0259rginliyin artmas\u0131nda Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n alternativ xarici siyas\u0259t istiqam\u0259tl\u0259rin\u0259 y\u00f6n\u0259lm\u0259si m\u00fch\u00fcm rol oynay\u0131b:

\u201cM\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rin k\u0259skinl\u0259\u015fm\u0259sinin \u0259sas s\u0259b\u0259bl\u0259rind\u0259n biri, m\u0259nc\u0259, Az\u0259rbaycan\u2013AB\u015e m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rinin inki\u015faf\u0131, Tramp\u0131n regiona maraq g\u00f6st\u0259rm\u0259si v\u0259 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n layih\u0259l\u0259rin g\u00fcnd\u0259m\u0259 g\u0259lm\u0259si idi\u201d.

<\/em>C\u0259f\u0259rov hesab edir ki, sonradan beyn\u0259lxalq v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259 ba\u015f ver\u0259n d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r Bak\u0131n\u0131n hesablamalar\u0131na da t\u0259sir edib:

\u201cAB\u015e\u2013\u0130ran qar\u015f\u0131durmas\u0131 fonunda AB\u015e-nin Avropaya, o c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n Ukraynaya d\u0259st\u0259yinin azalmas\u0131 Rusiyaya \u0259lav\u0259 imkanlar yaratd\u0131 v\u0259 onun bu m\u00fcharib\u0259d\u0259 qalib g\u0259lm\u0259 ehtimal\u0131n\u0131 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n q\u0259d\u0259r art\u0131rd\u0131. Bu da \u0130lham \u018fliyevin hesablamalar\u0131na t\u0259sir ed\u0259 bil\u0259r: y\u0259ni m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri indid\u0259n normalla\u015fd\u0131rmaq\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Onun fikrinc\u0259, bu normalla\u015fma h\u0259m d\u0259 ehtiyatlanma xarakteri da\u015f\u0131ya bil\u0259r ki, \u201cg\u0259l\u0259c\u0259kd\u0259 Rusiya m\u00fcharib\u0259d\u0259n qalib \u00e7\u0131xarsa, Az\u0259rbaycan n\u00f6vb\u0259ti h\u0259d\u0259f\u0259 \u00e7evrilm\u0259sin\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Strateji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f, yoxsa taktiki balans?<\/strong>
<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Ekspert daxild\u0259 ba\u015f ver\u0259n prosesl\u0259rl\u0259 Rusiya amilinin birba\u015fa \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ndirilm\u0259sin\u0259 ehtiyatla yana\u015f\u0131r. Nahid C\u0259f\u0259rov hesab edir ki, siyasi h\u0259bsl\u0259r daha \u00e7ox daxili v\u0259 Q\u0259rbl\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259r kontekstind\u0259 izah olunmal\u0131d\u0131r:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cD\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcr\u0259m ki, bu h\u0259bsl\u0259rin k\u00f6k\u00fcnd\u0259 Rusiya\u2013Az\u0259rbaycan m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rinin g\u0259rginliyi dayan\u0131r. \u018fsas s\u0259b\u0259b Avropan\u0131n Az\u0259rbaycana olan ehtiyac\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131d\u0131r\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Onun fikrinc\u0259, bu \u015f\u0259raitd\u0259 hakimiyy\u0259t daxild\u0259 n\u0259zar\u0259ti g\u00fccl\u0259ndirm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u0130lham \u018fliyev bunu f\u00fcrs\u0259t\u0259 \u00e7evirm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r v\u0259 daxild\u0259 b\u00fct\u00fcn naraz\u0131 q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259ri, azad m\u0259tbuat\u0131 v\u0259 \u00fcmumilikd\u0259 b\u00fct\u00fcn m\u00fcst\u0259qil s\u0259sl\u0259ri m\u0259hdudla\u015fd\u0131rma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ekspert d\u0259 bildirir ki, Bak\u0131\u2013Moskva m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259ki dinamika il\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259daxili prosesl\u0259r aras\u0131nda \u0259laq\u0259 m\u00f6vcud olsa da, bu \u0259laq\u0259 birba\u015fa xarakter da\u015f\u0131m\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bir s\u00f6zl\u0259, Bak\u0131 il\u0259 Moskva aras\u0131nda m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259r n\u0259 tam qar\u015f\u0131durma, n\u0259 d\u0259 sabit strateji \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131q m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259sind\u0259dir. Daha real m\u0259nz\u0259r\u0259 \u201cidar\u0259 olunan r\u0259qab\u0259t\u201d modelin\u0259 uy\u011fundur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Son normalla\u015fma add\u0131mlar\u0131 fundamental ziddiyy\u0259tl\u0259rin aradan qalxmas\u0131ndan \u00e7ox, t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259rin riskl\u0259ri idar\u0259 etm\u0259k c\u0259hdini \u0259ks etdirir. \u018fm\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131q v\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131durma elementl\u0259ri paralel \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 m\u00f6vcuddur: iqtisadi \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259r davam edir, eyni zamanda siyasi v\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik sah\u0259sind\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ql\u0131 \u015f\u00fcbh\u0259 qal\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu bax\u0131mdan, m\u00f6vcud yax\u0131nla\u015fman\u0131 uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli strateji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f kimi qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirm\u0259k \u00e7\u0259tindir. Daha \u00e7ox bu, t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259rin artan riskl\u0259r fonunda se\u00e7diyi taktiki uzla\u015fmad\u0131r, y\u0259ni  n\u00f6vb\u0259ti g\u0259rginlik m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259sin\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r uzanan fasil\u0259.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Son g\u00fcnl\u0259rd\u0259 Bak\u0131 il\u0259 Moskva aras\u0131nda diqq\u0259t\u00e7\u0259k\u0259n diplomatik aktivlik m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 … <\/p>\n

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