{"id":336413,"date":"2025-10-16T14:15:57","date_gmt":"2025-10-16T10:15:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/?p=336413"},"modified":"2025-10-16T14:15:59","modified_gmt":"2025-10-16T10:15:59","slug":"2026-ci-ilin-dovl%c9%99t-budc%c9%99sind%c9%99-kiml%c9%99ri-n%c9%99-gozl%c9%99yir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/az\/article\/2026-ci-ilin-dovl%c9%99t-budc%c9%99sind%c9%99-kiml%c9%99ri-n%c9%99-gozl%c9%99yir\/","title":{"rendered":"2026-ci ilin d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259 kiml\u0259ri n\u0259 g\u00f6zl\u0259yir?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

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2026-c\u0131 il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn icmal b\u00fcdc\u0259nin g\u0259lirl\u0259ri 44 milyard 969,4 milyon manat m\u0259bl\u0259\u011find\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Bu, 2025-ci ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259 proqnozlar\u0131 il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 2,3 faiz v\u0259 ya 1 milyard 18 milyon manat \u00e7oxdur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130cmal b\u00fcdc\u0259nin x\u0259rcl\u0259ri is\u0259 48 milyard 839,3 milyon manat m\u0259bl\u0259\u011find\u0259 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir ki, bu da 2025-ci ilin t\u0259sdiq olunmu\u015f b\u00fcdc\u0259 proqnozundan 2,5 faiz v\u0259 ya 1 milyard 209 milyon manat art\u0131qd\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130cmal b\u00fcdc\u0259d\u0259 3 milyard 870 milyon manat m\u0259bl\u0259\u011find\u0259 k\u0259sir proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, icmal b\u00fcdc\u0259nin t\u0259rkibin\u0259 D\u00f6vl\u0259t B\u00fcdc\u0259si, Nax\u00e7\u0131van Muxtar Respublikas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcdc\u0259si, D\u00f6vl\u0259t Neft Fondu, \u0130\u015fsizlikd\u0259n S\u0131\u011forta Fondu, \u0130cbari Tibbi S\u0131\u011forta Fondu v\u0259 D\u00f6vl\u0259t Sosial M\u00fcdafi\u0259 Fondunun g\u0259lir v\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259ri daxildir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neft Fondundan transfertl\u0259r <\/strong>12,8 faiz <\/strong>azal\u0131r, vergi g\u0259lirl\u0259ri 8,2 faiz artacaq<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

2026-c\u0131 ilin d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin g\u0259lirl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u0259linc\u0259, c\u0259mi 0,7 faiz b\u00f6y\u00fcm\u0259 olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. Bel\u0259 ki, g\u0259l\u0259n il d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin g\u0259lirl\u0259ri 38 milyard 609 milyon manat m\u0259bl\u0259\u011find\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r ki, bu da 2025-ci ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259 proqnozu il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 c\u0259mi 253 milyon manat \u00e7oxdur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00f6vl\u0259t Neft Fondundan b\u00fcdc\u0259y\u0259 transfertl\u0259rin 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 12,8 faiz azalaca\u011f\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Bel\u0259 ki, g\u0259l\u0259n il transfertl\u0259rin h\u0259cmi 12 milyard 835 milyon manat t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k. Bu, 2025-ci ilin t\u0259sdiq olunmu\u015f b\u00fcdc\u0259sin\u0259 nisb\u0259t\u0259n 1,6 milyard manat az, lakin 2024-c\u00fc ilin icra olunmu\u015f b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259ki transfertl\u0259rd\u0259n 0,4 faiz \u00e7oxdur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259ki art\u0131m\u0131n \u0259sas\u0259n vergi daxilolmalar\u0131 hesab\u0131na ba\u015f ver\u0259c\u0259yi g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. \u00dcmumilikd\u0259, vergi g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin 8,2 faiz artaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. Burada \u0130qtisadiyyat Nazirliyi yan\u0131nda D\u00f6vl\u0259t Vergi Xidm\u0259ti (DVX) x\u0259tti il\u0259 1 milyard 410 milyon manat (8,3 faiz), D\u00f6vl\u0259t G\u00f6mr\u00fck Komit\u0259si x\u0259tti il\u0259 is\u0259 262 milyon manat (3,8 faiz) art\u0131m proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00f6vl\u0259t Vergi Xidm\u0259tinin 2026-c\u0131 il \u00fczr\u0259 daxilolmalar\u0131 16 milyard 910 milyon manat m\u0259bl\u0259\u011find\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Daxilolmalarda \u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck pay\u0131n fiziki \u015f\u0259xsl\u0259rin g\u0259lir vergisi, \u0259lav\u0259 d\u0259y\u0259r vergisi v\u0259 h\u00fcquqi \u015f\u0259xsl\u0259rin m\u0259nf\u0259\u0259t vergisi \u00fczr\u0259 olmas\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, 2026-c\u0131 ilin 1 yanvar tarixind\u0259n fiziki \u015f\u0259xsl\u0259rin g\u0259lir vergisin\u0259 dair g\u00fcz\u0259\u015ftl\u0259rin l\u0259\u011fvi bu istiqam\u0259t \u00fczr\u0259 b\u00fcdc\u0259y\u0259 390 milyon manat h\u0259cmind\u0259 \u0259lav\u0259 g\u0259lir yaradaca\u011f\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Bel\u0259 ki, 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 fiziki \u015f\u0259xsl\u0259rin g\u0259lir vergisind\u0259n daxilolmalar 2 milyard 379 milyon manat olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u00fcquqi \u015f\u0259xsl\u0259rin m\u0259nf\u0259\u0259t vergisind\u0259n daxilolmalar 6 milyard 580 milyon manat m\u0259bl\u0259\u011find\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r ki, bu da 2025-ci ilin g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259ri il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 3,6 faiz \u00e7oxdur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Daha ciddi art\u0131m\u0131n \u0259lav\u0259 d\u0259y\u0259r vergisi (\u018fDV) \u00fczr\u0259 daxilolmalarda ba\u015f ver\u0259c\u0259yi proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r – 4 milyard 466 milyon manat. Bu, 2025-ci ilin t\u0259sdiq olunmu\u015f b\u00fcdc\u0259si il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 t\u0259xmin\u0259n 16 faiz art\u0131m dem\u0259kdir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neft hasilat\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131 bu istiqam\u0259t \u00fczr\u0259 m\u0259d\u0259n vergisind\u0259n daxilolmalara da t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259rir. Bel\u0259 ki, 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 m\u0259d\u0259n vergisind\u0259n daxilolmalar\u0131n 151 milyon manat olaca\u011f\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r ki, bu da cari ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259 proqnozlar\u0131na nisb\u0259t\u0259n 6 faiz azalma dem\u0259kdir. \u00dcmumilikd\u0259, bu istiqam\u0259td\u0259 daxilolmalar\u0131n dinamikas\u0131 ild\u0259n-il\u0259 azalmaqda davam edir. M\u00fcqayis\u0259 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn qeyd ed\u0259k ki, 2024-c\u00fc ilin icra olunmu\u015f b\u00fcdc\u0259si il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 bu g\u00f6st\u0259rici \u00fczr\u0259 t\u0259xmin\u0259n 13 faiz azalma m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunur. Hasilat\u0131n azalmas\u0131 h\u0259m 2025-ci, h\u0259m d\u0259 2026-c\u0131 ill\u0259rin b\u00fcdc\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259 bu istiqam\u0259t \u00fczr\u0259 tam icran\u0131n t\u0259min edilm\u0259sind\u0259 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n t\u0259r\u0259dd\u00fcdl\u0259r yarad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00f6vl\u0259t G\u00f6mr\u00fck Komit\u0259sinin (DGK) x\u0259tti il\u0259 daxilolmalar 6 milyard 862 milyon manat m\u0259bl\u0259\u011find\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Bu da cari ilin proqnoz g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259ri il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 3,8 faiz \u00e7oxdur. Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, 2025-ci ilin 9 ay\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcdc\u0259 icras\u0131na dair m\u0259lumatlara \u0259sas\u0259n, DGK x\u0259tti il\u0259 daxilolmalar \u00fczr\u0259 proqnozlar tam icra olunmay\u0131b. Bu bax\u0131mdan, b\u00fcdc\u0259nin real icras\u0131 zaman\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lan art\u0131mlar\u0131n n\u0259 d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 do\u011frulaca\u011f\u0131, h\u00f6kum\u0259tin h\u0259yata ke\u00e7ir\u0259c\u0259yi vergi\u2013r\u00fcsum siyas\u0259tind\u0259n v\u0259 d\u00fcnya bazar\u0131nda neftin qiym\u0259tind\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131 olacaq.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u00fcdc\u0259 t\u0259\u015fkilatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6d\u0259ni\u015fli xidm\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259n daxilolmalar \u00fczr\u0259 is\u0259 13,8 faiz art\u0131m proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Bel\u0259 ki, bu istiqam\u0259td\u0259 1 milyard 21 milyon manat m\u0259bl\u0259\u011find\u0259 g\u0259lir g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u0259hml\u0259rind\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259tin pay\u0131 olan m\u00fc\u0259ssis\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n al\u0131nan dividendl\u0259r niy\u0259 azalacaq?<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

B\u00fcdc\u0259 daxilolmalar\u0131nda diqq\u0259t \u00e7\u0259k\u0259n m\u0259qamlardan biri, s\u0259hml\u0259rind\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259tin pay\u0131 olan m\u00fc\u0259ssis\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n al\u0131nan dividendl\u0259rin azalmas\u0131d\u0131r. 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 bu kimi m\u00fc\u0259ssis\u0259l\u0259rin d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sin\u0259 \u00f6d\u0259y\u0259c\u0259yi dividendl\u0259rin h\u0259cmi 600 milyon manat proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Maliyy\u0259 Nazirliyi t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n bir ne\u00e7\u0259 bankda d\u00f6vl\u0259tin s\u0259hm pay\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 \u0259vv\u0259lki ill\u0259rd\u0259 dividend daxilolmalar\u0131n\u0131 bir ne\u00e7\u0259 d\u0259f\u0259 art\u0131rm\u0131\u015fd\u0131. Lakin g\u0259l\u0259n il bu istiqam\u0259td\u0259 daxilolmalarda 2 faiz v\u0259 ya 12,2 milyon manat azalma proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu azalma, b\u00f6y\u00fck ehtimalla, d\u00f6vl\u0259tin b\u0259zi banklardak\u0131 s\u0259hm pay\u0131n\u0131 azaltmas\u0131 v\u0259 h\u0259min m\u00fc\u0259ssis\u0259l\u0259rin t\u0259dric\u0259n \u00f6z\u0259ll\u0259\u015fdirm\u0259y\u0259 verilm\u0259si il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 olacaq.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u00fcdafi\u0259, m\u0259hk\u0259m\u0259, h\u00fcquq-m\u00fchafiz\u0259 v\u0259 prokurorluq orqanlar\u0131na ay\u0131rmalar art\u0131b, \u201cJEK\u201d x\u0259rcl\u0259ri azald\u0131l\u0131b<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

2026-c\u0131 il d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin x\u0259rcl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u0259linc\u0259, bu istiqam\u0259td\u0259 d\u0259 c\u0259mi 0,7 faiz art\u0131m g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. Bel\u0259 ki, g\u0259l\u0259n il d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin x\u0259rcl\u0259ri 41 milyard 703,6 milyon manat m\u0259bl\u0259\u011find\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r ki, bu da 2025-ci ilin t\u0259sdiq olunmu\u015f g\u00f6st\u0259ricisi il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 296 milyon manat \u00e7oxdur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u018fsas sosial x\u0259rcl\u0259r hesab edil\u0259n cari x\u0259rcl\u0259r \u00fczr\u0259 art\u0131m\u0131n 1,6 faiz olaca\u011f\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Bel\u0259 ki, cari x\u0259rcl\u0259rin h\u0259cmi 25 milyard 161,2 milyon manat t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k. Bu istiqam\u0259td\u0259 407,3 milyon manat art\u0131m g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cari x\u0259rcl\u0259rin funksional t\u0259snifat\u0131na n\u0259z\u0259r yetirdikd\u0259, pensiya v\u0259 sosial m\u00fcavin\u0259tl\u0259rd\u0259 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n art\u0131mlar\u0131n olaca\u011f\u0131 q\u0259na\u0259tin\u0259 g\u0259lm\u0259k olar. Bel\u0259 ki, sosial m\u00fcdafi\u0259 v\u0259 sosial t\u0259minat x\u0259rcl\u0259rind\u0259  121 milyon manat v\u0259 ya 2,5 faizlik art\u0131m proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. \u00c7ox g\u00fcman ki, bu art\u0131m pensiya v\u0259 t\u0259qa\u00fcdl\u0259rin illik inflyasiyaya uy\u011fun indeksl\u0259\u015fdirilm\u0259si n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 h\u0259yata ke\u00e7iril\u0259c\u0259k. Bu t\u0259snifat \u00fczr\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rin \u00fcmumi h\u0259cmi 4 milyard 873 milyon manat t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u00fcdafi\u0259 v\u0259 milli t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik x\u0259rcl\u0259ri 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 8 milyard 714 milyon manat m\u0259bl\u0259\u011find\u0259 t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k. Bu da cari ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259 proqnozu il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 3,7 faiz v\u0259 ya 318,6 milyon manat \u00e7oxdur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u0259hk\u0259m\u0259, h\u00fcquq-m\u00fchafiz\u0259 v\u0259 prokurorluq orqanlar\u0131 \u00fczr\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259r 3 milyard 343 milyon manat proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r ki, bu da 2025-ci ilin t\u0259sdiq olunmu\u015f b\u00fcdc\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259ri il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 151,6 milyon manatl\u0131q art\u0131m dem\u0259kdir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u0259hsil v\u0259 s\u0259hiyy\u0259 sektorlar\u0131nda \u0259m\u0259khaqq\u0131 art\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dey\u0259 bil\u0259rik. Bel\u0259 ki, g\u0259l\u0259n ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259 t\u0259hsil x\u0259rcl\u0259ri 5 milyard 15 milyon manat proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Bu, cari ilin proqnozu il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 c\u0259mi 78 milyon manat v\u0259 ya 1,6 faizlik art\u0131m dem\u0259kdir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u0259hiyy\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rind\u0259 is\u0259 c\u0259mi 30 milyon manatl\u0131q (1,5 faiz) art\u0131m proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 s\u0259hiyy\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin \u00fcmumi h\u0259cmi 2 milyard 24 milyon manat olacaq.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Maraql\u0131d\u0131r ki, g\u0259l\u0259n il M\u0259nzil-Kommunal \u0130stismar Sah\u0259sin\u0259 ayr\u0131lan v\u0259saitl\u0259rd\u0259 azalma g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. M\u0259nzil v\u0259 kommunal t\u0259s\u0259rr\u00fcfat x\u0259rcl\u0259r 334,5 milyon manat t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k ki, bu da cari ill\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 35,4 milyon manat v\u0259 ya 10,6 faiz azd\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u00fcdc\u0259nin \u0259sasl\u0131 x\u0259rcl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u0259linc\u0259, Maliyy\u0259 Nazirliyinin m\u0259lumat\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, bu g\u00f6st\u0259rici 14 milyard 84,8 milyon manat olacaq. Bu da 2025-ci ill\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 169,3 milyon manat v\u0259 ya 1,2 faiz azd\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu istiqam\u0259td\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259r aras\u0131nda d\u00f6vl\u0259t investisiyalar\u0131 2,7 milyard manat m\u0259bl\u0259\u011find\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Diqq\u0259t \u00e7\u0259k\u0259n azalmalardan biri, \u0259sas b\u00f6lm\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 aid edilm\u0259y\u0259n xidm\u0259t x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin 7,7 faiz v\u0259 ya 135 milyon manat azalmas\u0131d\u0131r. Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, bu b\u00f6lm\u0259y\u0259 Prezidentin Ehtiyat Fondu, b\u00fcdc\u0259nin ehtiyat fondu v\u0259 dig\u0259r ox\u015far ehtiyat m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259ri daxildir. G\u0259l\u0259n il d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259n bu fondlara k\u00f6\u00e7\u00fcr\u00fcl\u0259c\u0259k v\u0259sait 1 milyard 752 milyon manat olacaq.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2026-c\u0131 ilin d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin k\u0259siri 3 milyard 94 milyon manat m\u0259bl\u0259\u011find\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2026-c\u0131 il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn icmal b\u00fcdc\u0259nin g\u0259lirl\u0259ri 44 milyard 969,4 milyon … <\/p>\n

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