{"id":316707,"date":"2024-09-30T12:35:54","date_gmt":"2024-09-30T08:35:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/?p=316707"},"modified":"2024-09-30T13:09:03","modified_gmt":"2024-09-30T09:09:03","slug":"biznesi-vergi-yuku-altinda-ezmekle-qeyri-neft-sektorunu-inkisaf-etdirmek-olmaz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/az\/article\/biznesi-vergi-yuku-altinda-ezmekle-qeyri-neft-sektorunu-inkisaf-etdirmek-olmaz\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cBiznesi vergi y\u00fck\u00fc alt\u0131nda \u0259zm\u0259kl\u0259 qeyri-neft sektorunu inki\u015faf etdirm\u0259k olmaz”"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

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R\u00f6v\u015f\u0259n A\u011fayev: “Dolay\u0131 vergil\u0259r h\u00f6kum\u0259tin \u0259lind\u0259 daimi qeyri-neft sektorunun vergil\u0259rini art\u0131rmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259n rahat kanald\u0131r”<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nazirl\u0259r Kabineti 2025-ci ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259 layih\u0259sini Prezident\u0259 t\u0259qdim edib.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu bar\u0259d\u0259 h\u00f6kum\u0259tin m\u0259lumat\u0131nda qeyd olunub.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u0259lumatda 2025-ci il v\u0259 sonrak\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7 il \u00fczr\u0259 iqtisadi v\u0259 sosial inki\u015faf konsepsiyas\u0131 v\u0259 proqnoz g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259rinin b\u0259y\u0259nildiyi bildirilir.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u0259s, bu inki\u015faf konsepsiyas\u0131 v\u0259 g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259r do\u011frudan da q\u0259na\u0259tb\u0259x\u015fdirmi?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131 R\u00f6v\u015f\u0259n A\u011fayev Meydan TV-nin bu m\u00f6vzu il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 suallar\u0131n\u0131 cavabland\u0131r\u0131b.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

– R\u00f6v\u015f\u0259n b\u0259y, 2025-ci ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin ilkin g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259ri a\u00e7\u0131qlan\u0131b. G\u0259l\u0259n ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259sini 2023 v\u0259 2024-c\u00fc ill\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 nec\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirirsiniz? X\u00fcsusil\u0259, neft v\u0259 qazdan daxil olacaq g\u0259lirl\u0259rd\u0259 azalma proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6vrd\u0259 h\u00f6kum\u0259t g\u0259lirl\u0259rd\u0259ki art\u0131m\u0131 hans\u0131 m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259r hesab\u0131na qar\u015f\u0131laya bil\u0259c\u0259k?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

– \u018fslind\u0259, ciddi f\u0259rq olmayan b\u00fcdc\u0259dir, h\u0259r iki ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259si h\u0259m g\u0259lirl\u0259ri, h\u0259m d\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259ri m\u0259bl\u0259\u011f etibar\u0131 il\u0259 yax\u0131nd\u0131r. D\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin x\u0259rcl\u0259r hiss\u0259sind\u0259 ki\u00e7ik azalma, g\u0259lirl\u0259r hiss\u0259sind\u0259 is\u0259 c\u00fczi art\u0131m var. Cari ill\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 2025-ci ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin g\u0259lirl\u0259rd\u0259 art\u0131m 0,6 faiz, yaxud 228 milyon manat, x\u0259rcl\u0259rd\u0259ki azalma is\u0259 0,2 faiz v\u0259 ya 75 milyon manat t\u0259\u015fkil edir. O bax\u0131mdan m\u00fcqayis\u0259 ed\u0259nd\u0259 m\u0259bl\u0259\u011f, el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259 ancaq struktur n\u00f6qteyi-n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259n ciddi f\u0259rq yoxdur. D\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin g\u0259lirl\u0259r hiss\u0259sin\u0259 baxanda yar\u0131s\u0131 neft, yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n is\u0259 qeyri-neft hesab\u0131na formala\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcr\u00fck. X\u0259rcl\u0259r\u0259 g\u0259ldikd\u0259 b\u0259zi x\u0259rcl\u0259rd\u0259 art\u0131m, b\u0259zil\u0259rind\u0259 azalma var. M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, m\u00fcdafi\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259ri 2024-c\u00fc ill\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 468 milyon manat azd\u0131r, \u0259v\u0259zind\u0259 t\u0259hsil x\u0259rcl\u0259rind\u0259 400 milyon manata yax\u0131n, sosial m\u00fcdafi\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rind\u0259 600 milyon manata yax\u0131n, \u00fcmumd\u00f6vl\u0259t xidm\u0259ti x\u0259rcl\u0259rind\u0259 700 milyon manata yax\u0131n, h\u00fcquq-m\u00fchafiz\u0259 orqanlar\u0131nda 120 milyon manata yax\u0131n art\u0131m var. \u0130nvestisiya x\u0259rcl\u0259rind\u0259 d\u0259 art\u0131m n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulur. Bel\u0259 ki, 2024-c\u00fc ild\u0259 i\u015f\u011faldan azad edilmi\u015f \u0259razil\u0259rin b\u0259rpas\u0131 da n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 al\u0131nmaqla b\u00fcdc\u0259 investisiyalar\u0131na 8,1 milyard manat ayr\u0131lmas\u0131 t\u0259sdiql\u0259nib. 2025-ci ild\u0259 h\u0259min m\u0259bl\u0259\u011f t\u0259xmin\u0259n 345 milyon manat art\u0131r\u0131laraq 8,5 milyard manata \u00e7atd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Amma bu art\u0131m i\u015f\u011faldan azad edilmi\u015f \u0259razil\u0259rin b\u0259rpas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 investisiya x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin deyil, dig\u0259r layih\u0259l\u0259rin hesab\u0131na ba\u015f ver\u0259c\u0259k. Azalan neft-qaz g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin yerinin hans\u0131 m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259r hesab\u0131na doldurulaca\u011f\u0131na g\u0259ldikd\u0259, qeyd etdiyim kimi, b\u00fcdc\u0259nin g\u0259lirl\u0259r hiss\u0259sind\u0259 \u00e7ox az art\u0131m var. Neft Fondundan b\u00fcdc\u0259y\u0259 h\u0259m cari ild\u0259, h\u0259m d\u0259 g\u0259l\u0259n il eyni m\u0259bl\u0259\u011fd\u0259 – 12 milyard 781 milyon manat transfert n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutuldu\u011funu n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alsaq, neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rind\u0259ki azalma \u0259sas\u0259n neft \u015firk\u0259tl\u0259rinin vergi g\u0259lirl\u0259ri hesab\u0131na olacaq. \u00dcmumilikd\u0259 xarici neft-qaz \u015firk\u0259tl\u0259rinin m\u0259nf\u0259\u0259t vergisind\u0259ki azalmalar hesab\u0131na neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rind\u0259 700 milyondan bir q\u0259d\u0259r art\u0131q azalma proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. \u018fv\u0259zind\u0259 959 milyon manat qeyri-neftd\u0259n art\u0131m var. Bu art\u0131m\u0131n \u0259sas m\u0259nb\u0259yi bilavasit\u0259 \u0259halinin cibind\u0259n \u00e7\u0131xan dolay\u0131 vergil\u0259rdir. S\u00f6hb\u0259t \u0259lav\u0259 d\u0259y\u0259r vergisi, aksizl\u0259r, g\u00f6mr\u00fck r\u00fcsumlar\u0131 kimi t\u0259diy\u0259 n\u00f6vl\u0259rind\u0259n gedir. Y\u0259ni faktiki olaraq, g\u0259l\u0259n il qeyri-neft m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259ri hesab\u0131na b\u00fct\u00fcn art\u0131mlar\u0131n 75 faiz\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259ri bilavasit\u0259 dolay\u0131 vergil\u0259r, y\u0259ni istehlak\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n, m\u00fc\u015ft\u0259ril\u0259rin, v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015flar\u0131n ald\u0131qlar\u0131 m\u0259hsul v\u0259 xidm\u0259tl\u0259rin \u00fcz\u0259rin\u0259 g\u0259l\u0259n y\u0131\u011f\u0131mlar hesab\u0131na ba\u015f ver\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– 2025-2028-ci ill\u0259r b\u00fcdc\u0259 proqnozlar\u0131na baxd\u0131qda ARDFN-d\u0259n transferl\u0259rd\u0259 c\u00fczi d\u0259 olsa, azalma proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Sizc\u0259, qeyri-neft sektorunun z\u0259if inki\u015faf etm\u0259si fonunda h\u00f6kum\u0259t bu proqnoza sadiq ola bil\u0259c\u0259kmi?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

– \u018fvv\u0259la, h\u00f6kum\u0259tin proqnozlar\u0131 etibarl\u0131 deyil, \u00f6nc\u0259ki ill\u0259rin proqnozlar\u0131na baxsan\u0131z, \u00e7ox ciddi d\u00fcz\u0259ltm\u0259l\u0259r oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u0259rsiniz. H\u0259tta n\u00f6vb\u0259ti bir ilin proqnozu normal icra olunmur. Fikir verin, h\u00f6kum\u0259t h\u0259r ilin ortas\u0131nda d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sini d\u0259yi\u015fir, o ki qala 4 illik b\u00fcdc\u0259nin proqnozu etibarl\u0131 deyil. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 m\u0259n he\u00e7 vaxt b\u00fcdc\u0259 proqnozlar\u0131nda orta m\u00fcdd\u0259t\u0259 v\u0259 uzun m\u00fcdd\u0259t\u0259 deyil, daha \u00e7ox n\u00f6vb\u0259ti il\u0259 bax\u0131ram. Qeyri-neft sektorunun art\u0131m potensial\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fck\u0259ndiyi \u015f\u0259raitd\u0259 \u0259sas\u0259n tikinti v\u0259 turizm \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259n artan bir iqtisadiyyat\u0131n qeyri-neft sektoru azalan neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rini kompensasiya ed\u0259 bilm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259yini qar\u015f\u0131dak\u0131 ill\u0259rd\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259c\u0259yik. Son 4 ild\u0259 biznesi v\u0259 \u0259halini b\u00f6y\u00fck vergi y\u00fck\u00fc alt\u0131nda \u0259zm\u0259kl\u0259, el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259k inflyasiya say\u0259sind\u0259 qeyri-neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rind\u0259 art\u0131m uzun zaman davam ed\u0259 bilm\u0259z. X\u00fcsus\u0259n biznesin d\u00f6z\u00fcm limiti \u00e7ox m\u0259hduddur. H\u0259tta m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 kompensasiya ets\u0259 bel\u0259, bu iqtisadiyyat\u0131n effektiv inki\u015faf\u0131, g\u0259lir potensial\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 hesab\u0131na olmayacaq. Yen\u0259 d\u0259 v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015flar\u0131n, dolay\u0131 vergil\u0259rin hesab\u0131na art\u0131m olacaq. M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, 2019-2024-c\u00fc ill\u0259rd\u0259 qeyri-neft sektorunun artan b\u00fcdc\u0259 g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin t\u0259xmin\u0259n \u00fc\u00e7d\u0259 ikisi m\u0259hz dolay\u0131 vergil\u0259r hesab\u0131na olub. Bu, onu g\u00f6st\u0259rir ki, dolay\u0131 vergil\u0259r h\u00f6kum\u0259tin \u0259lind\u0259 daimi qeyri-neft sektorunun vergil\u0259rini art\u0131rmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259n rahat kanald\u0131r. Xarakter etibar\u0131 il\u0259 dolay\u0131 vergil\u0259r h\u0259m inflyasiyan\u0131, h\u0259m d\u0259 yoxsullu\u011fu art\u0131ran amildir.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"R\u00f6v\u015f\u0259n
Foto: Meydan TV<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

– 2025-ci ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259 neftin bir barelinin qiym\u0259ti 70 dollardan hesablan\u0131b. Sizc\u0259, bel\u0259 bir orta qiym\u0259t n\u0259 d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 risklidir?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

– H\u00f6kum\u0259tin bu sah\u0259d\u0259 d\u0259 proqnozlar\u0131n\u0131 ilin ortas\u0131nda da korreksiya etdiyi h\u0259r k\u0259s\u0259 m\u0259lumdur. M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, bu il 1 barrel 90 dollardan g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fclm\u00fc\u015fd\u00fc, 75 dollara endirildi. F\u0259rqli ill\u0259rd\u0259 h\u00f6kum\u0259t d\u00fcnya bazar\u0131ndan as\u0131l\u0131 olaraq neftin qiym\u0259tini korreksiya edir v\u0259 buna uy\u011fun olaraq b\u00fcdc\u0259 parametrl\u0259rind\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fiklik olunur. 70 dollar o q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259 riskli deyil. Neftin qiym\u0259ti artsa, h\u00f6kum\u0259t \u0259lav\u0259 qazanc \u0259ld\u0259 ed\u0259c\u0259k v\u0259 ayd\u0131nd\u0131r ki, bu halda riskd\u0259n s\u00f6hb\u0259t getmir. Risk neftin qiym\u0259tinin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 halda meydana \u00e7\u0131x\u0131r. Neftin k\u0259skin ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131na hans\u0131sa fors-major, m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, yeni bir qlobal pandemiya, m\u00fcxt\u0259lif \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin neft bazarlar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 qada\u011falar\u0131n yum\u015fald\u0131lmas\u0131, Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 fasil\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 raz\u0131la\u015fmalar s\u0259b\u0259b ola bil\u0259r. Lakin bunlar\u0131n olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 halda, indiki geopolitik \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259rd\u0259n, neft bazar\u0131nda t\u0259l\u0259b-t\u0259klifl\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 m\u00f6vcud g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259rd\u0259n baxd\u0131qda, q\u0131sam\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vrd\u0259 neftin qiym\u0259tin 70 dollarl\u0131q s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259n \u00e7ox da uzaqlamas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259r azd\u0131r. \u018fn kritik halda, m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, neftin qiym\u0259ti 50 dollara ens\u0259 d\u0259, \u0259n az\u0131ndan g\u0259l\u0259n il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn b\u00fcdc\u0259nin icras\u0131na risk t\u00f6r\u0259tmir. Risk qiym\u0259tin 2-3 il v\u0259 daha uzun m\u00fcdd\u0259t\u0259 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 qalaca\u011f\u0131 halda d\u0259rinl\u0259\u015f\u0259c\u0259k. \u00c7\u00fcnki g\u0259l\u0259n ilin g\u0259lir proqnozlar\u0131na baxd\u0131qda, 20 dollar d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259si \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn h\u00f6kum\u0259t\u0259 t\u0259xmin\u0259n 1 milyard dollara yax\u0131n itki dem\u0259kdir. H\u00f6kum\u0259t bu itkinin yerini x\u0259rcl\u0259r\u0259 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n ixtisarlar etm\u0259kl\u0259 v\u0259 Neft Fondundan transfertl\u0259ri art\u0131rmaqla doldura bil\u0259r. Y\u0259ni o bax\u0131mdan 1 illik q\u0131sa d\u00f6vrd\u0259 70 dollar riskli deyil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– B\u00fcdc\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259ri 2025-c\u00fc ild\u0259 45,8 milyard manat proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r. Bu da 2024-c\u00fc ill\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 240 milyon, v\u0259 ya 0,5 faiz \u00e7oxdur. H\u00f6kum\u0259tin \u0259n \u00e7ox \u00f6n\u0259m verdiyi m\u00fcdafi\u0259 v\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik, tikinti x\u0259rcl\u0259rind\u0259 g\u0259l\u0259n il azalma proqnozlad\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. O zaman dig\u0259r istiqam\u0259tl\u0259rd\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rin art\u0131m\u0131 h\u00f6kum\u0259tin b\u00fcdc\u0259 siyas\u0259tind\u0259 \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli d\u0259yi\u015fiklik etdiyini dem\u0259k olar?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Bu, d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259si yox, icmal b\u00fcdc\u0259nin x\u0259rcl\u0259ridir. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 \u0259sas\u0259n d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sin\u0259 fokuslanmal\u0131y\u0131q v\u0259 vacib olan d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin x\u0259rcl\u0259ridir. Bu is\u0259 \u00e7ox az, c\u0259mi 0,2 faiz, 75 milyon manat art\u0131r. B\u0259li, h\u00f6kum\u0259t m\u00fcdafi\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rini bir q\u0259d\u0259r azald\u0131b, amma dig\u0259r istiqam\u0259tl\u0259r\u0259 art\u0131m var. Bunun da \u0259sas s\u0259b\u0259bi odur ki, h\u00f6kum\u0259t 2020-2024-c\u00fc ill\u0259rd\u0259 m\u00fcdafi\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rini kifay\u0259t q\u0259d\u0259r art\u0131rm\u0131\u015fd\u0131, h\u0259tta bu ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259sini d\u0259yi\u015f\u0259nd\u0259, proqnozla m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 m\u00fcdafi\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rind\u0259 yenid\u0259n art\u0131ma getdi. Y\u0259ni son 4 ild\u0259 m\u00fcdafi\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259ri \u00e7ox \u00fcst\u00fcn s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259 gedib, lakin postpandemiya d\u00f6vr\u00fcnd\u0259 h\u0259ssas sosial t\u0259b\u0259q\u0259l\u0259rin ehtiyaclar\u0131na baxmayaraq sosial m\u00fcdafi\u0259 v\u0259 dig\u0259r sosial x\u0259rcl\u0259ri art\u0131m\u0131 is\u0259 m\u00fcdafi\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rind\u0259n xeyli geri qalm\u0131\u015fd\u0131. Bir \u00e7ox m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 h\u00f6kum\u0259tin c\u0259miyy\u0259t\u0259 etinas\u0131z yana\u015fd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 sezs\u0259k d\u0259, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr, balans yaratmaq z\u0259rur\u0259ti hiss edirl\u0259r. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 m\u00fcdafi\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin art\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 bir q\u0259d\u0259r azald\u0131r, art\u0131m tempini dayand\u0131r\u0131r v\u0259 dig\u0259r istiqam\u0259tl\u0259r\u0259 \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck verm\u0259yi prioritet se\u00e7ir. N\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 al\u0131n ki, son 5 ild\u0259 h\u0259tta h\u00f6kum\u0259tin \u00e7ox etibar edilm\u0259y\u0259n statistikas\u0131 il\u0259 baxd\u0131qda x\u00fcsus\u0259n kas\u0131blar\u0131n v\u0259 yoxsullar\u0131n hiss ed\u0259c\u0259yi qiym\u0259t art\u0131m\u0131 m\u0259cmu halda 60 faiz \u0259traf\u0131nda olub. Ancaq sosial m\u00fcdafi\u0259 v\u0259 s\u0259hiyy\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rin art\u0131m\u0131 bunun yar\u0131s\u0131 q\u0259d\u0259r olub. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 h\u00f6kum\u0259t tam olmasa da, m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 sosial x\u0259rcl\u0259rin qiym\u0259tl\u0259r\u0259 uy\u011fun indeksasiyas\u0131na getm\u0259y\u0259 m\u0259cburdur. Hesab etmir\u0259m ki, h\u00f6kum\u0259tin 2025-ci ild\u0259 b\u00fcdc\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rind\u0259 art\u0131m dinamikas\u0131nda etdiyi d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r b\u00fcdc\u0259 siyas\u0259tind\u0259 \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r say\u0131la bil\u0259r. Bu o zaman \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli d\u0259yi\u015fiklik ola bil\u0259rdi ki, m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, sosial x\u0259rcl\u0259rin b\u00fcdc\u0259d\u0259 pay\u0131 dig\u0259r istiqam\u0259tl\u0259rd\u0259n k\u0259skin f\u0259rql\u0259n\u0259rdi. M\u00fcqayis\u0259 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn deyim ki, 2020-ci ild\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259si x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin 18,5 faizi bilavasit\u0259 \u0259halinin sosial m\u00fcdafi\u0259sin\u0259 v\u0259 sa\u011flaml\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n qorunmas\u0131na y\u00f6n\u0259ldilmi\u015fdi. Amma g\u0259l\u0259n il x\u0259rcl\u0259rin\u0259 nisb\u0259td\u0259 bu g\u00f6st\u0259rici 17,5 faiz \u0259traf\u0131ndad\u0131r. G\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fcy\u00fc kimi, he\u00e7 d\u0259 sosial m\u00fcdafi\u0259 v\u0259 s\u0259hiyy\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259ri bax\u0131m\u0131ndan b\u00fcdc\u0259nin x\u0259rc prioritetl\u0259rind\u0259 \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli d\u0259yi\u015fiklikd\u0259n s\u00f6hb\u0259t getmir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– B\u00fcdc\u0259nin \u0259sas x\u0259rc y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fcn xarici borclar oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rm\u0259k olur. Bu borclar\u0131 b\u00fcdc\u0259 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259li saymaq olarm\u0131?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

– B\u0259li, d\u00f6vl\u0259t borclar\u0131nda 2024-c\u00fc ill\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 iki d\u0259f\u0259y\u0259 yax\u0131n art\u0131m var. M\u00fctl\u0259q r\u0259q\u0259ml\u0259 b\u00fcdc\u0259d\u0259n borclar\u0131n qaytar\u0131lmas\u0131na \u00e7\u0259kil\u0259n x\u0259rcl\u0259rin m\u0259bl\u0259\u011fi 1.3 milyarddan 2.5 milyarda manata q\u0259d\u0259r art\u0131r. Bu t\u0259xmin\u0259n b\u00fcdc\u0259nin 6-7 faiz\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259rdir. \u018fvv\u0259lki ill\u0259rd\u0259 daha \u00e7ox, d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin 10 faiz\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259rinin borclara y\u00f6n\u0259ldildiyi ill\u0259r olub. Do\u011frudur, beyn\u0259lxalq praktika il\u0259 g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u0259nd\u0259 bu y\u00fcks\u0259k g\u00f6st\u0259ricidir. M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, s\u0259hiyy\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rind\u0259n daha b\u00f6y\u00fck m\u0259bl\u0259\u011fd\u0259 v\u0259sait borca s\u0259rf olunacaq b\u00f6y\u00fckd\u00fcr. Lakin b\u00fcdc\u0259nin indiki imkanlar\u0131 \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 b\u00fcdc\u0259 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn risk yaradacaq s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 deyil. \u018fn az\u0131 2025-ci ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259 imkanlar\u0131 bu h\u0259dd borc y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fc risk olmadan qar\u015f\u0131laya bil\u0259c\u0259k. Uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vrd\u0259, y\u0259ni neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin azalaca\u011f\u0131 t\u0259qdird\u0259 davaml\u0131 olaraq h\u0259r il bu q\u0259d\u0259r borc y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6t\u00fcrm\u0259k is\u0259 ba\u015fqa suald\u0131r. Lakin \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcz d\u0259 g\u00f6rd\u00fcn\u00fcz ki, son m\u00fc\u015favir\u0259d\u0259 \u201cm\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011fu q\u0259d\u0259r xarici borclar\u0131 azald\u0131r\u0131q\u201d fikri vur\u011fuland\u0131. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 h\u00f6kum\u0259t postneft d\u00f6vr\u00fc \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bu riskl\u0259ri g\u00f6rd\u00fcy\u00fcnd\u0259n xarici borclardan qurtulub daha \u00e7ox daxili borclanmaya getm\u0259k strategiyas\u0131 yeridir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

R\u00f6v\u015f\u0259n A\u011fayev: “Dolay\u0131 vergil\u0259r h\u00f6kum\u0259tin \u0259lind\u0259 daimi qeyri-neft sektorunun vergil\u0259rini … <\/p>\n

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