{"id":213167,"date":"2021-10-06T11:05:11","date_gmt":"2021-10-06T11:05:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/article\/azerbaycan-son-sansdan-istifade-etmese-kasib-olkeye-cevrilecek\/"},"modified":"2021-10-06T11:05:11","modified_gmt":"2021-10-06T11:05:11","slug":"azerbaycan-son-sansdan-istifade-etmese-kasib-olkeye-cevrilecek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/az\/article\/azerbaycan-son-sansdan-istifade-etmese-kasib-olkeye-cevrilecek\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cAz\u0259rbaycan son \u015fansdan istifad\u0259 etm\u0259s\u0259, kas\u0131b \u00f6lk\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7evril\u0259c\u0259k\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

\n
\n D\u00fcnya bazar\u0131nda neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri qalx\u0131r
\n <\/i>\n<\/p>\n

\n Az\u0259rbaycan neftinin qiym\u0259ti 3,08 dollar bahala\u015f\u0131b v\u0259 83,56 dollara \u00e7at\u0131b.\n<\/p>\n

\n D\u00fcnya birjalar\u0131nda olan b\u00fct\u00fcn neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri bahala\u015f\u0131b. M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, Londonun ICE (\u201cInterContinental Exchange Futures\u201d) birjas\u0131nda \u201cBrent\u201d markal\u0131 neftin bir bareli 0,59 dollar qalx\u0131b. 83,15 dollardan t\u0259klif edilir.\n<\/p>\n

\n Nyu-Yorkun NYMEX (\u201cNew York Mercantile Exchange\u201d) birjas\u0131nda \u201cLight\u201d markal\u0131 neftin bir barelinin qiym\u0259ti is\u0259 0,52 dollar bahala\u015faraq 79,45 dollara \u00e7at\u0131b.\n<\/p>\n

\n \u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131 Natiq C\u0259f\u0259rli deyir ki, d\u00fcnyada alternativ enerjiy\u0259 ke\u00e7id s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259ndikc\u0259 \u0259n\u0259n\u0259vi enerji da\u015f\u0131y\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131na t\u0259l\u0259bat art\u0131r. Bu da onlar\u0131n qiym\u0259tinin artmas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b olur: \u201cSon h\u0259ft\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 d\u00fcnya bazarlar\u0131nda t\u0259bii qaz\u0131n qiym\u0259ti tarixi rekord s\u0259viyy\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 qalx\u0131b. D\u00fcn\u0259n Avropa birjalar\u0131nda noyabr ay\u0131 qaz fyu\u00e7ersl\u0259ri h\u0259r 1000m3 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn 1228 dollar oldu. Yax\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u0259rd\u0259 dekabr ay\u0131na olan qaz t\u0259hcizat\u0131 fyu\u00e7ersl\u0259ri sat\u0131\u015fa \u00e7\u0131xacaq, qiym\u0259tin 1500 dollara yax\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. Neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri d\u0259 son 3 ild\u0259n b\u0259ri ilk d\u0259f\u0259 80 dollar\u0131 ke\u00e7ib\u201d.\n<\/p>\n

\n \u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcr ki, qaz v\u0259 neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin art\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6z f\u0259rqli alqoritmi v\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259bl\u0259ri olsa da, trend olaraq \u0259n\u0259n\u0259vi enerji da\u015f\u0131y\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n qiym\u0259t art\u0131m\u0131ndan udan v\u0259 uduzan t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259r var.\n<\/p>\n

\n Onun fikrinc\u0259, h\u0259r iki istiqam\u0259td\u0259 qiym\u0259t art\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n \u201ctrigger\u201d-i v\u0259 \u0259sas \u201cbenefisiar\u201d-\u0131, h\u0259l\u0259 ki, Rusiyad\u0131r: \u201cBu qiym\u0259tl\u0259r Rusiyaya qar\u015f\u0131 q\u0259bul edilmi\u015f b\u00fct\u00fcn sanksiyalar\u0131 m\u0259nas\u0131zla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r. Moskvan\u0131 h\u0259m iqtisadi, h\u0259m d\u0259 siyasi c\u0259h\u0259td\u0259n g\u00fccl\u0259ndirir\u201d.\n<\/p>\n

\n Natiq C\u0259f\u0259rli bildirir ki, bel\u0259 olan halda sual yaran\u0131r: n\u0259 ba\u015f verir ki, alternativ enerjiy\u0259 ke\u00e7id s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259ndikc\u0259, \u0259n\u0259n\u0259vi enerji da\u015f\u0131y\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 bahala\u015f\u0131r?\n<\/p>\n

\n "Alternativ enerjiy\u0259 ke\u00e7id \u00e7ox bahal\u0131 prosesdir. H\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 bu ke\u00e7id subsidiyalara g\u00f6r\u0259 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olur. El\u0259 bunlara g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259, ke\u00e7idin orqanik olmas\u0131 v\u0259 biznes m\u0259ntiqi il\u0259 ba\u015f tutmas\u0131, g\u0259lirliliyi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259n\u0259n\u0259vi enerji da\u015f\u0131y\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 baha olmal\u0131d\u0131r. Neft 40-45 dollara, qaz\u0131n h\u0259r 1000m3-i 200 dollara olan zaman he\u00e7 kim alternativ enerjiy\u0259 yat\u0131r\u0131m etm\u0259k ist\u0259mir. Bu zaman da biznes m\u0259ntiqi i\u015fl\u0259mir, investorlar daha ucuz v\u0259 da\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131 \u0259lveri\u015fli olan \u0259n\u0259n\u0259vi enerji da\u015f\u0131y\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131na \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck verir. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 yax\u0131n 5-10 ild\u0259 alternativ enerjiy\u0259 ke\u00e7idin s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259nm\u0259si \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn neft-qaz baha olmal\u0131d\u0131r. \u0130lk v\u0259 \u0259n maraql\u0131 paradoks el\u0259 budur\u201d, – Natiq C\u0259f\u0259rli bel\u0259 deyir.\n<\/p>\n

\n Onun s\u00f6zl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin\u0259 t\u0259sir ed\u0259n \u0259sas amill\u0259rd\u0259n biri d\u0259 OPEC+ anla\u015fmas\u0131, s\u00fcni qiym\u0259t art\u0131m\u0131 prosesidir: \u201cFaktiki olaraq OPEC+ hasilat\u0131 azaltmaqla, qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri s\u00fcni \u00e7\u0259kild\u0259 qald\u0131r\u0131r v\u0259 buna he\u00e7 kim m\u00fcqavim\u0259t g\u00f6st\u0259rmir. \u00c7\u00fcnki baha neft AB\u015e-a da s\u0259rf edir, \u201cslans\u201d neftin\u0259 maya qoyanlar art\u0131r, hasilat\u0131 y\u00fcks\u0259lir ki, bundan AB\u015e da qazan\u0131r\u201d.\n<\/p>\n

\n Natiq C\u0259f\u0259rli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcr ki, qaz qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin bahala\u015fmas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 durum da ox\u015fard\u0131r. Rusiyan\u0131n Ukrayna \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259n Avropaya \u00f6t\u00fcrd\u00fcy\u00fc qaz\u0131n h\u0259cmi azal\u0131b, \u201cQazprom\u201d bu ilin ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131 v\u0259 g\u0259l\u0259n il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn qaz h\u0259cml\u0259rinin \u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fclm\u0259 bronunu azald\u0131b, yeni h\u0259cml\u0259r bron etm\u0259yib: \u201cHava \u015f\u0259raiti d\u0259 t\u0259sir etdi v\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259r y\u00fcks\u0259ldi. Udan Rusiyad\u0131r, amma t\u0259k o, deyil, AB\u015e \u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck qaz hasilat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131ndan biridir, amma Avropaya s\u0131x\u0131lm\u0131\u015f qaz satmaq ist\u0259y\u0259rk\u0259n Rusiyan\u0131n ucuz qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin\u0259 tu\u015f g\u0259lirdi. S\u0131x\u0131lm\u0131\u015f qaz\u0131n s\u0259rf\u0259li olmas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn qiym\u0259ti y\u00fcks\u0259lm\u0259li idi ki, bu g\u00fcn ba\u015f ver\u0259nl\u0259r h\u0259m d\u0259 AB\u015e-a s\u0259rf edir\u201d.\n<\/p>\n

\n \"natiq
\n Natiq C\u0259f\u0259rli
\n <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\n \u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131 deyir ki, eyni zamanda, d\u00fcnyaya pandemiya il\u0259 m\u00fcbariz\u0259 ad\u0131 alt\u0131nda 17 trilyon dollar pul s\u0259pilib: "O pullar\u0131n da bir qismi toplanmal\u0131d\u0131r ax\u0131. Odur ki, kriptovalyuta kimi m\u0259nas\u0131z aktivl\u0259rin qiym\u0259tl\u0259rini qald\u0131rd\u0131lar. 1,5 trilyon dollar orada sterilizasiya edildi, amma t\u0259bii, bu, yet\u0259rli deyildi. Hans\u0131sa vacib aktivl\u0259rin qiym\u0259ti qalxmal\u0131d\u0131r ki, s\u0259pil\u0259n pullar sterilizasiya olunsun. Bu da t\u0259bii neft-qazd\u0131r, \u00e7\u00fcnki bir \u00e7ox \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 s\u0259rf edir. Enerji da\u015f\u0131y\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n qiym\u0259t art\u0131m\u0131 inflyasiyan\u0131 y\u00fcks\u0259ldir ax\u0131. Bu da Q\u0259rb \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rinin iqtisadiyyatlar\u0131na laz\u0131md\u0131r. Y\u00fcks\u0259k (t\u0259qrib\u0259n, 5%-lik) inflyasiya iqtisadiyyatda dopinq effekti yarad\u0131r, iqtisadi aktivliyi art\u0131ran amil\u0259 \u00e7evrilir\u201d.\n<\/p>\n

\n Bu prosesin n\u0259 zamanad\u0259k davam etm\u0259sin\u0259 g\u0259linc\u0259, iqtisad\u00e7\u0131 hesab edir ki, bunu anlamaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn d\u00fcnya iqtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131n tarixin\u0259 n\u0259z\u0259r salmaq laz\u0131md\u0131r: \u201cSiyasi tarixi analiz ets\u0259k, SSR\u0130-nin \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcn\u0259 g\u0259tirs\u0259k ciddi bir qanunauy\u011funluq, analogiya aparmaq olar. 1973-\u0441\u00fc ild\u0259 \u201cneft b\u00f6hran\u0131\u201d ya\u015fand\u0131, \u0259r\u0259b \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259 neft hasilat\u0131 azald\u0131, AB\u015e-a neft sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 dayand\u0131. H\u0259min zaman Amerikada benzin b\u00f6hran\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131, neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri tarixi maksimum s\u0259viyy\u0259y\u0259 qalxd\u0131. H\u0259min vaxt SSR\u0130-nin \u201cq\u0131z\u0131l d\u00f6vr\u00fc\u201d ba\u015flad\u0131, pul sel kimi axd\u0131. T\u0259qrib\u0259n 10 il sonra is\u0259 neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri k\u0259skin ucuzla\u015fd\u0131, SSR\u0130-d\u0259 \u0259rzaq q\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131, talonla \u0259rzaq b\u00f6lg\u00fcs\u00fc yarand\u0131. N\u0259tic\u0259sini d\u0259 ham\u0131 bilir: SSR\u0130 \u00e7\u00f6kd\u00fc\u201d.\n<\/p>\n

\n Natiq C\u0259f\u0259rlinin q\u0259na\u0259tinc\u0259, \u0259g\u0259r indi d\u0259 b\u0259nz\u0259r ssenari i\u015fl\u0259s\u0259, yax\u0131n 10 ild\u0259 (2030-cu il\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r) neft-qaz qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri y\u00fcks\u0259k s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 qalacaq: "Bu vaxta q\u0259d\u0259r alternativ enerjiy\u0259 tam ke\u00e7id ba\u015f ver\u0259c\u0259k, sonra da neft-qaz qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri k\u0259skin en\u0259c\u0259k. N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259 enerji \u201ciyn\u0259sin\u0259\u201d oturan \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fck t\u0259lat\u00fcml\u0259r ya\u015fanacaq. Bu ssenaril\u0259rd\u0259n biri kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr. Ba\u015fqa izah\u0131n\u0131, h\u0259l\u0259 ki, g\u00f6rm\u0259k m\u00fcmk\u00fcn deyil\u201d.\n<\/p>\n

\n Neft \u00f6lk\u0259si olan Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n v\u0259ziyy\u0259tin\u0259 g\u0259linc\u0259, iqtisad\u00e7\u0131 bildirir ki, yax\u0131n 10 ild\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fck g\u0259lirl\u0259r \u0259ld\u0259 ed\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259k: \u201cBu d\u00f6vr is\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259nin d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259si \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn son \u015fans\u0131d\u0131r. Bu \u015fans\u0131 da 2004-2015-ci ill\u0259rd\u0259 oldu\u011fu kimi \u0259ld\u0259n buraxsa, sonra \u00e7ox \u00e7\u0259tin olacaq. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u0259n kas\u0131b \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259n birin\u0259 \u00e7evrilib, qeyri-sabit d\u00f6vl\u0259t kimi x\u0259rit\u0259d\u0259 yer alacaq…\u201d.\n<\/p>\n

\n Az\u0259rbaycan neftinin bir barelinin minimum qiym\u0259ti 2020-ci il aprelin 21-d\u0259 m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 edilib. 15,81 dollardan t\u0259klif edilib.\n<\/p>\n

\n Son iki il \u0259rzind\u0259 maksimum qiym\u0259t is\u0259 bu il sentyabr\u0131n 27-d\u0259 qeyd\u0259 al\u0131n\u0131b. 80,77 dollardan sat\u0131l\u0131b.\n<\/p>\n

\n M\u00fct\u0259x\u0259ssisl\u0259r daim m\u00fcsahib\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259 neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin art\u0131m\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b \u0259ks\u0259r \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 COVID-19-la ba\u011fl\u0131 yum\u015falmalar\u0131n t\u0259tbiqi oldu\u011funu deyirl\u0259r. H\u0259min yum\u015falmalar\u0131n s\u0259b\u0259binins\u0259 vaksinasiya prosesinin s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259nm\u0259si oldu\u011fu t\u0259xmin edilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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