{"id":199944,"date":"2020-04-01T15:30:52","date_gmt":"2020-04-01T15:30:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/article\/qlobal-bohranda-azerbaycani-ne-gozleyir\/"},"modified":"2020-04-01T15:30:52","modified_gmt":"2020-04-01T15:30:52","slug":"qlobal-bohranda-azerbaycani-ne-gozleyir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/az\/article\/qlobal-bohranda-azerbaycani-ne-gozleyir\/","title":{"rendered":"Qlobal b\u00f6hranda Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131 n\u0259 g\u00f6zl\u0259yir?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\n Beyn\u0259lxalq Valyuta Fondunun (BVF) icrac\u0131 direktoru Kristalina Giorgievan\u0131n BVF v\u0259 Maliyy\u0259 Komit\u0259sinin direktorlar \u015furas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u0259n sonra m\u0259tbuata verdiyi a\u00e7\u0131qlmas\u0131nda qlobal b\u00f6hran\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 elan etdi. O \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bildirdi ki, biz 2020 v\u0259 2021-ci ill\u0259rin art\u0131m perspektivl\u0259rini n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 ke\u00e7irdik v\u0259 b\u0259lli oldu ki, d\u00fcnya iqtisadiyyat\u0131 art\u0131q t\u0259n\u0259zz\u00fcl\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259m qoyub, bu d\u0259f\u0259ki b\u00f6hran\u0131n 2009-cu ild\u0259n pis v\u0259 ya daha pis olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. O qeyd edib ki, 2021-ci ild\u0259 t\u0259n\u0259zz\u00fcld\u0259n \u00e7\u0131xma virusun d\u00fcnya miqyas\u0131nda n\u0259 zaman dayan\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131ndan as\u0131l\u0131 olacaq. COV\u0130D-19-la m\u00fcbariz\u0259 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn BVF-nin f\u00f6vq\u0259lada fondunun 2 d\u0259f\u0259 art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 q\u0259rar\u0131n\u0131 ver\u0259n direktorlar \u015furas\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczvl\u0259rinin \u0259sas narahatl\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fcnya iqtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131n q\u0259fild\u0259n dayanmas\u0131n\u0131n yaratd\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6d\u0259m\u0259 qabliyy\u0259ti probleminin likvidliy\u0259 t\u0259siridir. Onun yaratd\u0131\u011f\u0131 m\u00fcflisl\u0259\u015fm\u0259 dal\u011fas\u0131 iqtisadiyyat\u0131n b\u0259rpa olunmas\u0131 prosesinin l\u0259ngitl\u0259km\u0259kl\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131, c\u0259miyy\u0259tin strukturunu da da\u011f\u0131da bil\u0259r. BVF-nin direktoru bildirib ki, haz\u0131rda inki\u015faf etm\u0259kd\u0259 olan bazarlar\u0131n maliyy\u0259 ehtiyac\u0131 2,5 trilyon dollar qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirirlir. Onun fikrinc\u0259, xarici valyutan\u0131n \u0259sas ax\u0131n\u0131n t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259n turizmin, mallar\u0131n ixrac\u0131n\u0131n dayanmas\u0131 qlobal t\u0259l\u0259bd\u0259 \u015foklar yarad\u0131r. O eyni zamanda xammal ixrac ed\u0259n \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin qiym\u0259t \u015foklar\u0131ndan ciddi t\u0259sirl\u0259n\u0259c\u0259yini d\u0259 b\u0259yan edib.
\n
\n Kristina Giorgiyeva
\n <\/a>
\n hesab edir ki, d\u00fcnya iqtisadiyyat\u0131nda t\u0259n\u0259zz\u00fcl\u00fcn davaml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 v\u0259 d\u0259rinliyi iki faktordan as\u0131l\u0131 olacaq: virusun dayand\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131ndan v\u0259 b\u00f6hrana reaksiyan\u0131n effektiv kordinasiya edilm\u0259sind\u0259n.\n<\/p>\n

\n Bununla yana\u015f\u0131,
\n
\n Moody's
\n <\/a>
\n \u0130nvestisiya xidm\u0259ti COVID-19 pandemiyas\u0131n\u0131n t\u0259sirl\u0259rin\u0259 dair hesabat a\u00e7\u0131qlay\u0131b v\u0259 h\u0259min hesabatda "B\u00f6y\u00fck \u0130yirmilik" (G20) iqtisadiyyat\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn 2020-ci il \u00fczr\u0259 proqnozlar\u0131 yenil\u0259nib. Agentlik cari ild\u0259 d\u00fcnya iqtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131n 45 faizini \u00f6z\u00fcnd\u0259 birl\u0259\u015fdir\u0259n bu \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r \u00fczr\u0259 \u00fcmumilkd\u0259 0.5 faiz ki\u00e7ilm\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r. Moody's \u0130nvestisiya xidm\u0259tinin \u00e7ox m\u00fchafiz\u0259kar v\u0259 nikbin xarakter da\u015f\u0131yan ssenari \u00fczr\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirm\u0259sind\u0259 G20-nin 13 \u00f6lk\u0259sind\u0259 – Argentina: (-3.9%), Meksika: (-3.7%), Almaniya: (-3.0%), \u0130talya: (-2.7%), Birl\u0259\u015fmi\u015f Krall\u0131q: (-2.6%), CAR: (-2.5%), Yaponya: (-2.4%), Kanada: (-2.2%), AB\u015e: (-2%), Brazilya: (-1.6%), Fransa: (-1.4%), T\u00fcrkiy\u0259: (-1.4%) – \u00dcDM istehsal\u0131nda azalma, 6 \u00f6lk\u0259sind\u0259 – \u0130ndoneziya (+3,7%), \u00c7in (+3,3%), Hindistan (+2,5), S\u0259udiyy\u0259 \u018fr\u0259bistan\u0131 (+1,5), Rusiya (+0,5), C\u0259nubi Koreya (+0,1) art\u0131m – 1 \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 – Avstaliyada is\u0259 iqtisadiyyatda n\u0259 art\u0131m, n\u0259 d\u0259 t\u0259n\u0259zz\u00fcl proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131b.\n<\/p>\n

\n AB\u015e-\u0131n
\n
\n Standard&Poor\u2019s
\n <\/a>
\n (S&P) beyn\u0259lxalq kredit agentliyi is\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n suveren reytinqini BB+ s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 saxlan\u0131b. Bu s\u0259viyy\u0259 beyn\u0259lxalq kredit agentlikl\u0259rind\u0259 investisiya reytinqli \u00f6lk\u0259 statusunda olmayan Az\u0259rbaycanda kredit riskl\u0259rinin artmas\u0131 fonunda onu idar\u0259 etm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn alternativ resursa \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f imkanlar\u0131n\u0131n m\u00f6vcud olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6z\u00fcnd\u0259 ehtiva edir. S&P-nin hesabat\u0131nda diqq\u0259ti \u00e7\u0259k\u0259n m\u0259qamlardan biri d\u0259 d\u00fcnya bazar\u0131nda neftin qiym\u0259tinin uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vrd\u0259 ucuz olmas\u0131n\u0131n manat\u0131n dollara n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259n m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259sind\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fikliy\u0259 g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xaraca\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. S&P hesab edir ki, Az\u0259rbaycan hakimiyy\u0259ti 2015-ci ild\u0259n f\u0259rqli olaraq haz\u0131rda valyuta ehtiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 itirilm\u0259m\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bel\u0259 add\u0131m ata bil\u0259r. Bu add\u0131m\u0131n at\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259ndir\u0259n ba\u015fqa amill\u0259r\u0259 g\u0259linc\u0259, S&P-nin qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirm\u0259sin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, bu il t\u0259diyy\u0259 balans\u0131n\u0131n cari hesab\u0131nda g\u00f6zl\u0259nil\u0259n defisit \u00dcDM-nin 7.5%-i s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r. Halbuki
\n
\n \u0130qtisadiyyat Nazirliyi
\n <\/a>
\n nin proqnozlar\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, 2020-ci il \u00fczr\u0259 cari \u0259m\u0259liyyatlar balans\u0131nda 2,5 milyard AB\u015e dollar\u0131 v\u0259 ya \u00dcDM-in 5,2 faizi s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 profisit g\u00f6zl\u0259nilirdi.\n<\/p>\n

\n Az\u0259rbaycanda iqtisadi art\u0131m \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259 yaln\u0131z COV\u0130D-19 t\u0259sirind\u0259n yaranm\u0131\u015f m\u0259hdudiyy\u0259tl\u0259rl\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 deyil, h\u0259m d\u0259 d\u00fcnya xammal bazar\u0131ndak\u0131 qiym\u0259t \u015fokundan yaran\u0131b. Bir t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n turizm, qonaqlama, \u0259yl\u0259nc\u0259 v\u0259 maarifl\u0259ndirm\u0259 s\u0259nayesini dem\u0259k olar ki, 100 faiz dayand\u0131ran COV\u0130D dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n d\u0259 ticar\u0259t, xidm\u0259t v\u0259 ictimai ia\u015f\u0259 sektorunda al\u0131c\u0131l\u0131q qabliyy\u0259tini k\u0259skin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 sal\u0131b. Bununla yana\u015f\u0131, d\u00fcnya bazar\u0131nda neftin qiym\u0259tinin ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131 s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n ixrac g\u0259lirl\u0259rind\u0259n g\u00f6zl\u0259nil\u0259n valyuta hasilat\u0131n\u0131n 5 d\u0259f\u0259y\u0259d\u0259k azalmas\u0131, el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259 qeyri-neft m\u0259hsullar\u0131n\u0131n beyn\u0259lxalq ticar\u0259tind\u0259ki m\u0259hdudiyy\u0259tl\u0259r yaln\u0131z \u00dcDM-in art\u0131m\u0131na deyil, h\u0259m\u00e7inin maliyy\u0259 ax\u0131nlar\u0131na da neqativ t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259rir. Bel\u0259 ki, 2020-ci ild\u0259 \u00dcDM-in 34,5 faizinin neft sektorunda, 65,5 faizinin is\u0259 qeyri-neft sektorunda formala\u015faca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilirdi.\n<\/p>\n

\n Bundan ba\u015fqa, ki\u00e7ik biznesin (s\u0259yah\u0259t b\u00fcrolar\u0131n\u0131n, restoranlar\u0131n, t\u0259dbir t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259n agentl\u0259rin, s\u0259rni\u015fin da\u015f\u0131nma xidm\u0259tinin, x\u0131rda ticar\u0259t v\u0259 xidm\u0259t obyektl\u0259rinin) f\u0259aliyy\u0259tini dayand\u0131rmas\u0131 i\u015fsizlik v\u0259 yoxsulluq g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259rinin pisl\u0259\u015fm\u0259sini \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259ndirib. He\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcbh\u0259siz ki, bu obyektl\u0259rd\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n b\u00f6y\u00fck \u0259ks\u0259riyy\u0259ti i\u015f yerl\u0259rini itir\u0259c\u0259k v\u0259 yoxsullar siyah\u0131s\u0131na \u0259lav\u0259 olunacaq.\n<\/p>\n

\n Bu d\u00f6vrd\u0259 COV\u0130D-19-la m\u00fcbariz\u0259 m\u0259qs\u0259dil\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259t resurslar\u0131ndan istifad\u0259 fiskal x\u0259rcl\u0259rin d\u0259 art\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259ndirib. D\u00f6v\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259n bu m\u0259qs\u0259dl\u0259 ayr\u0131lan 1 milyard manat v\u0259saitin iqtisadiyyat\u0131n qar\u015f\u0131la\u015fd\u0131\u011f\u0131 iri h\u0259cmi probleml\u0259rin h\u0259llind\u0259 maliyy\u0259 t\u0259minat\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn yet\u0259rli rol oynamas\u0131 \u015f\u00fcbh\u0259li g\u00f6rs\u0259ndiyind\u0259n, \u0259lav\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259r fiskal dayan\u0131ql\u0131\u011fa riskl\u0259r yaradacaq.\n<\/p>\n

\n B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar 2020-ci ild\u0259
\n
\n \u0130qtisadiyyat Nazirliyi
\n <\/a>
\n t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n Az\u0259rbaycan iqtisadiyyat\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lan 3 faizlik art\u0131m\u0131n h\u0259tta t\u0259n\u0259zz\u00fcl s\u0259viyy\u0259sin\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r azalaca\u011f\u0131 q\u0259na\u0259tin\u0259 g\u0259lm\u0259y\u0259 \u0259saslar yarad\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnki, \u0130qtisadiyyat Nazirliyi cari ilin iqtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131n sektorlar \u00fczr\u0259 inki\u015faf\u0131nda informasiya v\u0259 rabit\u0259d\u0259n sonra \u0259n y\u00fcks\u0259k art\u0131m\u0131 turistl\u0259rin yerl\u0259\u015fdirilm\u0259si v\u0259 ictimai ia\u015f\u0259d\u0259 (6 faiz) proqnozla\u015fd\u0131rm\u0131\u015fd\u0131. Bu sektor x\u00fcsusil\u0259 d\u0259 karantin \u015f\u0259raitind\u0259 f\u0259aliyy\u0259tini \u0259sas\u0259n dayand\u0131rmq m\u0259cburiyy\u0259tind\u0259dir.\n<\/p>\n

\n Az\u0259rbaycanda on-line xidm\u0259tl\u0259rin v\u0259 ticar\u0259tin inki\u015faf etm\u0259m\u0259si haz\u0131rk\u0131 v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259n \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f yollar\u0131n\u0131 daha da darald\u0131r. \u00d6d\u0259ni\u015f sisteml\u0259rind\u0259 na\u011fds\u0131z \u0259m\u0259liyyatlar\u0131n t\u0259tbiqinin m\u0259hdudlu\u011fu, r\u0259q\u0259msal iqtisadi sistemin v\u0259 infrastrukturun z\u0259ifliyi, elektron idar\u0259\u00e7iliyin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 s\u0259viyy\u0259si gizli iqtisadiyyat v\u0259 korrupsiya il\u0259 m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunan milli iqtisadiyyat\u0131n xammal bazar\u0131ndak\u0131 qiym\u0259t \u015foklar\u0131ndan as\u0131l\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015f\u0259raitind\u0259 problemd\u0259n \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f yollar\u0131n\u0131 xeyli daraltm\u0131\u015fd\u0131r. B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar\u0131n \u00fcz\u0259rin\u0259 qlobal b\u00f6hrandan qaynaqlanan probleml\u0259rin \u0259lav\u0259 olunmas\u0131 h\u00f6k\u00fcm\u0259td\u0259n \u00e7evik v\u0259 d\u00fczg\u00fcn q\u0259rarlar\u0131n q\u0259bulunu t\u0259l\u0259b edir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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