{"id":197684,"date":"2019-10-28T19:38:07","date_gmt":"2019-10-28T19:38:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/article\/gelen-ilin-dovlet-budcesinin-20-zeif-bendi\/"},"modified":"2019-10-28T19:38:07","modified_gmt":"2019-10-28T19:38:07","slug":"gelen-ilin-dovlet-budcesinin-20-zeif-bendi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/az\/article\/gelen-ilin-dovlet-budcesinin-20-zeif-bendi\/","title":{"rendered":"G\u0259l\u0259n ilin d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin 20 z\u0259if b\u0259ndi"},"content":{"rendered":"

\n Milli M\u0259clisd\u0259 b\u00fcdc\u0259 \u201cm\u00fczakir\u0259l\u0259ri\u201d ba\u015flamasa da Maliyy\u0259 Nazirliyi art\u0131q 2020-ci il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin layih\u0259sini t\u0259qdim edib. T\u0259qdimatdan b\u0259lli olur ki, g\u0259l\u0259n il d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0131sinin g\u0259lirl\u0259ri 24 milyard 134,5 milyon manat, x\u0259rcl\u0259ri 26 milyard 913,7 milyon manat olaccaq. N\u00f6vb\u0259ti ild\u0259 orta illik inflyasiyan\u0131n 4,6 faiz, manat\u0131n AB\u015e dollar\u0131na qar\u015f\u0131 m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259sinin 1,70 manat v\u0259 d\u00fcnya bazarlar\u0131nda xam neftin bir barelinin orta sat\u0131\u015f qiym\u0259tinin 55 AB\u015e dollar\u0131 m\u0259bl\u0259\u011find\u0259 t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259yi n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulub.\n<\/p>\n

\n B\u00fcdc\u0259 riskl\u0259rinin t\u0259hlili v\u0259 makrofiskal proqnozla\u015fd\u0131rma, b\u00fcdc\u0259 g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin daayan\u0131ql\u0131ql\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n, el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rin \u015f\u0259ffafl\u0131\u011f\u0131 v\u0259 s\u0259m\u0259r\u0259liliyininin qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirilm\u0259si n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 bel\u0259 m\u0259lum olur ki, 2020-cu ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259 \u0259n az\u0131 20 z\u0259if b\u0259nd m\u00f6vcuddur. Z\u0259if b\u0259ndl\u0259rin \u00e7ox olmas\u0131 n\u00f6vb\u0259ti ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259 idar\u0259\u00e7iliyinin keyfiyy\u0259tini, ba\u015fqa s\u00f6zl\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rin effektivliyi v\u0259 iqtisadi art\u0131ma t\u00f6hf\u0259sini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 sal\u0131r. H\u0259min b\u0259ndl\u0259ri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131dak\u0131 kimi t\u0259snifl\u0259\u015fdirm\u0259k olar.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 1) Az\u0259rbaycanda b\u00fcdc\u0259 dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar\u0131 apar\u0131lm\u0131r.
\n <\/b>
\n Oktyabr\u0131n 15-d\u0259 president yan\u0131nda ke\u00e7iril\u0259n social-iqtisadi m\u00fc\u015favir\u0259d\u0259 n\u00f6vb\u0259ti ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259si il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 m\u00fczakir\u0259l\u0259r t\u0259sdiq etdi ki, Az\u0259rbaycanda b\u00fcdc\u0259nin t\u0259rtibi bir qrupun r\u0259yi \u0259sas\u0131nda h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irilir. H\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259nin t\u0259rtibi Maliyy\u0259 Nazirliyi, \u0130qtisadiyyat Nazirliyi v\u0259 Prezident Adminstrasiyas\u0131n\u0131n n\u0259zar\u0259tind\u0259dir, bu prosesd\u0259 ayr\u0131-ayr\u0131 sah\u0259 v\u0259 x\u0259tti nazirlikl\u0259rin, eyni zamanda b\u00fcdc\u0259d\u0259n maliyy\u0259l\u0259\u015f\u0259n dig\u0259r d\u00f6vl\u0259t orqanlar\u0131n\u0131n da b\u00fcdc\u0259 haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 prosesind\u0259 i\u015ftirak\u0131 formal xarakter da\u015f\u0131y\u0131r. Maliyy\u0259 Nazirliyi v\u0259 \u0130qtisadiyyat Nazirliyi istisna olmaqla dig\u0259r d\u00f6vl\u0259t orqanlar\u0131 dem\u0259k olar ki, b\u00fcdc\u0259 dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar\u0131nda i\u015ftirak etmirl\u0259r.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 2) Parlamentin b\u00fcdc\u0259 prosesind\u0259 rolu nominal xaraakterlidir.
\n <\/b>
\n "B\u00fcdc\u0259 sistemi haqq\u0131nda" Az\u0259rbaycan Respublikas\u0131 Qanunun 13-c\u00fc madd\u0259sin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, n\u00f6vb\u0259ti b\u00fcdc\u0259 ili \u00fczr\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259si haqq\u0131nda qanun layih\u0259si ona \u0259lav\u0259 edilmi\u015f dig\u0259r s\u0259n\u0259dl\u0259rl\u0259 birlikd\u0259 cari ilin oktyabr ay\u0131n\u0131n 15-d\u0259n gec olmayaraq Az\u0259rbaycan Respublikas\u0131n\u0131n Konstitusiyas\u0131n\u0131n 109-cu madd\u0259sinin 2-ci b\u0259ndin\u0259 uy\u011fun olaraq Az\u0259rbaycan Respublikas\u0131n\u0131n Milli M\u0259clisinin m\u00fczakir\u0259sin\u0259 v\u0259 t\u0259sdiqin\u0259 t\u0259qdim edilir. Bu g\u00fcn oktyabr\u0131n 25-I olmas\u0131na baxmayaraq Az\u0259rbaycan Respublikas\u0131n\u0131n 2020-ci il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259si h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 parlamentd\u0259 m\u00fczakir\u0259si ba\u015flamay\u0131b. Halbuki, qon\u015fu G\u00fcrc\u00fcstanda v\u0259 Rusiyada b\u00fcdc\u0259nin parlament m\u00fczakir\u0259l\u0259ri \u00f6t\u0259n aydan start g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fcb v\u0259 davam edir. Az\u0259rbaycanda is\u0259 "B\u00fcdc\u0259 sistemi haqq\u0131nda" Az\u0259rbaycan Respublikas\u0131 Qanunun pozulmas\u0131 \u0259n\u0259n\u0259vi hal al\u0131b.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 3) \u201cN\u0259tic\u0259 \u0259sasl\u0131 b\u00fcdc\u0259\u201d h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 t\u0259rtib olunmur.
\n <\/b>
\n 2020-ci ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259si d\u0259 \u0259vv\u0259lki ill\u0259rd\u0259 oldu\u011fu kimi proqramlar \u00fczr\u0259 kodla\u015fd\u0131rma v\u0259 t\u0259snifat olmadan haz\u0131rlan\u0131b. Proqramlarla n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 v\u0259 onlar\u0131n \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclm\u0259sin\u0259 hesablamn\u0131\u015f b\u00fcdc\u0259 i\u015fi Az\u0259rbaycanda h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 qurulmay\u0131b. Odur ki, b\u00fcdc\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin s\u0259m\u0259r\u0259liliyi ild\u0259n-il\u0259 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr, onun t\u0259sir v\u0259 n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259rinin \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclm\u0259si \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn indikatorlar i\u015fl\u0259nilm\u0259diyind\u0259n v\u0259 m\u00fcst\u0259qil v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015f c\u0259miyy\u0259ti institutlar\u0131n\u0131n f\u0259aliyy\u0259ti \u0259ng\u0259ll\u0259ndiyind\u0259n b\u00fcdc\u0259 monitorinql\u0259ri v\u0259 social auditl\u0259r apar\u0131lm\u0131r. Bu is\u0259 birba\u015fa b\u00fcdc\u0259n\u0131n x\u0259rcl\u0259nm\u0259sind\u0259 icra\u00e7\u0131 t\u0259\u015fkilatlar\u0131n rolunu v\u0259 f\u0259aliyy\u0259tini qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirm\u0259y\u0259 imkan verm\u0131r.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 4) Yeni q\u0259bul olunan maliyy\u0259 qaydas\u0131 neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin x\u0259rcl\u0259nm\u0259sin\u0259 m\u0259hdudiyy\u0259t qoymur.
\n <\/b>
\n Bel\u0259 ki, 29 iyul 2018-ci il tarixd\u0259 \u201c\u201cB\u00fcdc\u0259 sistemi haqq\u0131nda\u201d Az\u0259rbaycan Respublikas\u0131n\u0131n Qanununda d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r edilm\u0259si bar\u0259d\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan Respublikas\u0131n\u0131n Qanunu\u201dnun 11-1.2. madd\u0259sind\u0259 ilk n\u00f6vb\u0259d\u0259, icmal b\u00fcdc\u0259nin x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin yuxar\u0131 h\u0259ddi m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n olunmu\u015fdur. H\u0259min h\u0259dd, cari ilin t\u0259sdiq olunmu\u015f icmal b\u00fcdc\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin 103 faizind\u0259n \u00e7ox olmamaqla x\u0259rcl\u0259n\u0259 bil\u0259n neft g\u0259lirl\u0259ri il\u0259 qeyri-neft v\u0259 dig\u0259r daxilolmalar\u0131n proqnozunun c\u0259min\u0259 \u0259sas\u0259n m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n edilmi\u015fdir. Fiskal qaydalara g\u00f6r\u0259, h\u0259r il x\u0259rcl\u0259n\u0259 bil\u0259n neft g\u0259lirl\u0259ri proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lan b\u00fcdc\u0259 ilinin \u0259vv\u0259lin\u0259 xalis maliyy\u0259 aktivl\u0259rinin 30 faizi il\u0259 neft g\u0259lirl\u0259ri aras\u0131nda yaranan f\u0259rqin 20 faizinin h\u0259min g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259rin ki\u00e7iyinin \u00fcz\u0259rin\u0259 g\u0259linm\u0259kl\u0259 hesablan\u0131r. 2020-ci ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259 layih\u0259sinin ilkin t\u0259qdimat\u0131 g\u00f6st\u0259rir ki, qeyri-resurs sektoru hesab\u0131na x\u0259rcl\u0259rin art\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n t\u0259min edilm\u0259si m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011fu t\u0259dqird\u0259, Az\u0259rbaycan h\u00f6k\u00fcm\u0259ti fiscal qaydalar\u0131n m\u00f6vcudlu\u011fu \u015f\u0259raitind\u0259 d\u0259 neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sin\u0259 transfertini y\u00fcks\u0259k s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 saxlay\u0131r. Bel\u0259 ki, g\u0259l\u0259n ARDNF-d\u0259n d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sin\u0259 transferl\u0259r 11,35 milyard manat v\u0259 ya b\u00fcdc\u0259 g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin 47 faizini t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 5) B\u00fcdc\u0259d\u0259 neftin h\u0259r barelinin qiym\u0259ti optimist senariy\u0259 \u0259saslan\u0131r, real deyil.
\n <\/b>
\n 2020-ci ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259 layih\u0259sinin m\u00fczakir\u0259si zaman\u0131 neftin qiym\u0259tinin d\u00fcnya bazarlar\u0131nda ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131 m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 edilir.. Odur ki, 2020-cu il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn neftin h\u0259r barellinin d\u00fcnya bazar qiym\u0259tinin orta hesabla 55 AB\u015e dollar\u0131 s\u0259viyy\u0259sinin q\u0259bulu optimist yana\u015fmad\u0131r. \u018fslind\u0259 b\u00fcdc\u0259 t\u0259rtib olunark\u0259n xam neftin 1 barelinin qym\u0259ti bir ne\u00e7\u0259 qiym\u0259t senarisi \u00fczr\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r ki, xarici \u015foklardan s\u0131\u011fortalanmaq, riskl\u0259ri idar\u0259 etm\u0259k m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olsun.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 6) B\u00fcdc\u0259 iqtisadiyyat\u0131n maliyy\u0259 potensial\u0131na adekvat deyildir.
\n <\/b>
\n Bel\u0259 ki,
\n
\n B\u00fcdc\u0259 g\u0259lirl\u0259ri
\n <\/a>
\n nin 43 faizi qeyri-neft sektorunun, 56,1 faizi neft sektorunun pay\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u0259c\u0259k. Baxmayaraq ki,
\n
\n \u0130qtisadiyyat Nazirliyi
\n <\/a>
\n nin haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 orta m\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vrd\u0259 (2020-2023-c\u00fc ill\u0259rd\u0259) \u00dcDM-in t\u0259rkibind\u0259 qeyri-neft sektoru 65,8 faiz, neft sektoru is\u0259 34,2 faiz proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131b. \u0130qtisadiyyat\u0131n maliyy\u0259 potensial\u0131ndan z\u0259if istifad\u0259ni ke\u00e7mi\u015f SSR\u0130-nin neft v\u0259 qazla z\u0259ngin olan \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259ri il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 d\u0259 ayd\u0131n g\u00f6rm\u0259k olar. Bel\u0259 ki, 2020-ci ild\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n b\u00fcdc\u0259 g\u0259lirl\u0259ri 293,2 mlrd. dollar v\u0259 h\u0259r adama 2027 dollar, Qazax\u0131stan\u0131n b\u00fcdc\u0259 g\u0259lirl\u0259ri 30,3 mlrd. dollar v\u0259 h\u0259r adama 1666 dollar oldu\u011fu halda, Az\u0259rbaycan b\u00fcdc\u0259 g\u0259lirl\u0259ri 14,2 mlrd. dollar v\u0259 h\u0259r adama 1377 dollar g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 7) B\u00fcdc\u0259nin neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rind\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131r.
\n <\/b>
\n B\u00fcdc\u0259 g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin formala\u015fmas\u0131nda D\u00f6vl\u0259t Neft Fondunun (DNF) transfertl\u0259ri h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 \u0259sas m\u0259nb\u0259 olaraq qal\u0131r. Bel\u0259 ki, n\u00f6vb\u0259ti il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lan g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin 47 faizi D\u00f6vl\u0259t Neft Fondundan daxilolmalar\u0131n, 32,6 faizi Az\u0259rbaycan Respublikas\u0131n\u0131n Vergil\u0259r Nazirliyinin, 16,6 faizi Az\u0259rbaycan Respublikas\u0131n\u0131n D\u00f6vl\u0259t G\u00f6mr\u00fck Komit\u0259sinin, 3,8 faizi is\u0259 dig\u0259r m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259rin pay\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr. Vergil\u0259r Nazirliyinin b\u00fcdc\u0259 g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin formala\u015fmas\u0131nda pay\u0131 2015-ci ild\u0259ki 40,7 faizd\u0259n n\u00f6vb\u0259ti ild\u0259 32,6 faiz\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r azalacaq.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 8) B\u00fcdc\u0259d\u0259n neft qoxusu g\u0259lir.
\n <\/b>
\n 2020-ci il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lan Az\u0259rbaycan d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin h\u0259r 100 manat\u0131ndan 56 manat 10 q\u0259piyi neft, 43 manat 90 q\u0259piyi is\u0259 qeyri-neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rind\u0259n formala\u015facaq. B\u00fcdc\u0259 g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin h\u0259r 100 manat\u0131ndan 47 manat\u0131n\u0131 ARDNF, 32 manat 60 q\u0259piyini Vergil\u0259r Nazirliyi, 16 manat 60 q\u0259piyini D\u00f6vl\u0259t G\u00f6mr\u00fck Komit\u0259si y\u0131\u011facaq, b\u00fcdc\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7atacaq h\u0259r 100 manatdan 3 manat 50 q\u0259piyi d\u0259 c\u0259rim\u0259 v\u0259 sanksiyalar hesab\u0131na toplanacaq. B\u00fcdc\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u0259linc\u0259, h\u0259r 100 manatdan 64 manat 20 q\u0259pik birba\u015fa cari x\u0259rcl\u0259r\u0259, y\u0259ni istehlaka, 29 manat\u0131 \u0259sasl\u0131 x\u0259rcl\u0259r\u0259, y\u0259ni inki\u015fafa, 6 manat 80 q\u0259piyi is\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259t borcuna xidm\u0259tl\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 x\u0259rcl\u0259r\u0259 y\u00f6n\u0259ldil\u0259c\u0259k.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 9) B\u00fcdc\u0259 g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin y\u0131\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131 x\u0259rcl\u0259ri ild\u0259n-il\u0259 \u00e7oxal\u0131r.
\n <\/b>
\n Hesablama Palatas\u0131n\u0131n hesablamalar\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, h\u0259r 100,0 min manat m\u0259bl\u0259\u011find\u0259 b\u00fcdc\u0259 g\u0259lirinin y\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131na Vergil\u0259r Nazirliyinin x\u0259rcl\u0259ri (b\u00fcdc\u0259d\u0259nk\u0259nar x\u0259rcl\u0259r daxil olmaqla) 2017-ci il \u00fczr\u0259 1,8 min manat, 2018-ci il \u00fczr\u0259 2,1 min manat olub, bu g\u00f6st\u0259rici 2019-cu il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn 3,1 min manat proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131b. El\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259 G\u00f6mr\u00fck Komit\u0259sinin h\u0259r 100,0 min manat m\u0259bl\u0259\u011find\u0259 b\u00fcdc\u0259 g\u0259lirinin y\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131na x\u0259rcl\u0259m\u0259l\u0259ri (b\u00fcdc\u0259d\u0259nk\u0259nar x\u0259rcl\u0259r daxil olmaqla) 2017-ci il \u00fczr\u0259 3,0 min manat, 2018-ci il \u00fczr\u0259 3,6 min manat olub, 2019-cu il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn x\u0259rcl\u0259rin 3,8 min manat q\u0259d\u0259r art\u0131m\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. Haz\u0131rda Vergil\u0259r Nazirliyinin l\u0259\u011fv edilm\u0259si v\u0259 bu funksiyan\u0131n \u0130qtisadiyyat Nazirliyin\u0259 verilm\u0259si n\u00f6vb\u0259ti il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bu c\u00fcr hesablamalar\u0131 h\u0259l\u0259 ki, m\u00fcmk\u00fcns\u00fcz edir.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 10) ARDHF-d\u0259n b\u00fcdc\u0259y\u0259 transfertl\u0259r \u00fczr\u0259 ard\u0131c\u0131l siyas\u0259t yoxdur
\n <\/b>
\n . 2014-c\u00fc ild\u0259n 2019-cu il\u0259d\u0259k azalan transferl\u0259rin cari ild\u0259ki art\u0131m\u0131 n\u00f6vb\u0259ti ild\u0259 d\u0259 davam ed\u0259c\u0259k. 2018-ci ilin d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259 ARDNF-nin transferl\u0259ri 10.995 milyon manat olub, bu il il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn is\u0259 11.364 milyon manat, g\u0259l\u0259n il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn is\u0259 11,35 milyard manat proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131b. Bu is\u0259 o dem\u0259kdir, g\u0259l\u0259n ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259 ARDNF-nin transfertl\u0259rinin pay\u0131 47 faiz olacaq, bundan \u0259lav\u0259 ADRN\u015e-d\u0259n b\u00fcdc\u0259 \u00f6d\u0259ni\u015fl\u0259ri 1450 milyon manat v\u0259 AB\u018f\u015e-in \u00f6d\u0259ni\u015fl\u0259ri 730 milyon manat olacaq ki, bu da neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin c\u0259mi g\u0259lirl\u0259rd\u0259 pay\u0131n\u0131 56,1 faiz\u0259 \u00e7atd\u0131racaq.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 11) N\u00f6vb\u0259ti ild\u0259 c\u0259rim\u0259 v\u0259 sanksiyalardan daxilolmalar artacaq
\n <\/b>
\n . 2020-ci ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259 b\u00fcdc\u0259 t\u0259\u015fkilatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6d\u0259ni\u015fli xidm\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259n 839,5 milyon manat v\u0259saitin daxil olaca\u011f\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulur ki, bu da cari ilin proqnozu il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 212,9 milyon manat v\u0259 ya 34 faiz \u00e7oxdur. Bu daxilolmalar\u0131n art\u0131m\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b vergi qanunvericiliyinin pozulmas\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259 t\u0259tbiq edil\u0259n maliyy\u0259 sanksiyalar\u0131n\u0131n, g\u00f6mr\u00fck y\u0131\u011f\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n, d\u00f6vl\u0259t r\u00fcsumlar\u0131n\u0131n v\u0259 inzibat\u0131 x\u0259talara g\u00f6r\u0259 c\u0259rim\u0259l\u0259rin art\u0131mla proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131d\u0131r. Odur ki, n\u00f6vb\u0259ti ild\u0259 sahibkarlar\u0131n daha \u00e7ox c\u0259rim\u0259 v\u0259 sanskiyalar g\u00f6zl\u0259yir.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 12) B\u00fcdc\u0259 g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin formala\u015fmas\u0131nda regionlar\u0131n t\u00f6hf\u0259si yen\u0259 d\u0259 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131d\u0131r.
\n <\/b>
\n 2020-ci ilin d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259 m\u0259rk\u0259zl\u0259\u015fdirilmi\u015f g\u0259lirl\u0259r \u00fcmumi g\u0259lirl\u0259rin 96,7 faizini t\u0259\u015fkil etdiyind\u0259n yerli g\u0259lirl\u0259rin pay\u0131 3,3 faiz olacaq.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 13) B\u00fcdc\u0259d\u0259n rayonlara dotasiyalar art\u0131r.
\n <\/b>
\n 2020-ci ild\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin yerli x\u0259rcl\u0259ri 850,1 milyon manat m\u0259bl\u0259\u011find\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r ki, bu da 2019-cu ill\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 7,3 milyon manat v\u0259 ya 0,9 faiz \u00e7oxdur. Lakin, bu ar\u0131ma baxmayaraq, n\u00f6vb\u0259ti ild\u0259 39 rayon v\u0259 \u015f\u0259h\u0259rl\u0259r x\u0259rcl\u0259rini \u00f6z g\u0259lirl\u0259i hesab\u0131na t\u0259min ed\u0259c\u0259k ki, bu da c\u0259mi rayon v\u0259 \u015f\u0259h\u0259rl\u0259rin yar\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7oxunun h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 dotasiya il\u0259 ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dem\u0259y\u0259 \u0259sas verir.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 14) B\u00fcdc\u0259nin cari x\u0259rcl\u0259rin art\u0131m tempi qeyri-neft \u00dcDM-in nominal art\u0131m tempini \u00fcst\u0259l\u0259yir.
\n <\/b>
\n 2020-ci ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin strukturuna daxil olan cari x\u0259rcl\u0259rin d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin x\u0259rcl\u0259rind\u0259 x\u00fcsusi \u00e7\u0259kisi 64,2 faiz h\u0259cmind\u0259 v\u0259 ya 17275,9 milyon manat olacaq. Cari x\u0259crl\u0259rin art\u0131m tempinin qeyri-neft sektorunun nominal art\u0131m tempini b\u0259ndi \u00fcst\u0259l\u0259m\u0259si g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. 2020-ci ild\u0259 b\u00fct\u00fcn m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n qeyri-neft g\u0259lirl\u0259ri 10604,5 milyon manat proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r ki, bu da cari x\u0259rcl\u0259rin 61,4 faizini t\u0259\u015fkil edir. Bu is\u0259 o dem\u0259kdir ki, neft g\u0259lirl\u0259r n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 al\u0131nmadan formala\u015fan b\u00fcdc\u0259 cari x\u0259rcl\u0259rin h\u0259r 3 manat\u0131ndan 2 manat\u0131n\u0131 maliyy\u0259l\u0259\u015fdirm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7at\u0131r.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 15) B\u00fcdc\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin b\u00f6lg\u00fcs\u00fc \u0259dal\u0259tsizdir.
\n <\/b>
\n 2020-ci il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lan b\u00fcdc\u0259nin h\u0259r 100 manat\u0131ndan 21 manat 60 q\u0259piyi m\u00fcdafi\u0259, milli t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik, h\u00fcquq m\u00fchafiz\u0259, m\u0259hk\u0259m\u0259 v\u0259 prokurorluq orqanlar\u0131n\u0131n saxlan\u0131lmas\u0131, 18 manat\u0131 20 q\u0259piyi tikinti, 12 manat 10 q\u0259piyi sosial m\u00fcdafi\u0259, 11 manat 70 q\u0259piyi t\u0259hsil, 7 manat 40 q\u0259piyi idar\u0259etm\u0259, 6 manat 80 q\u0259piyi d\u00f6vl\u0259t borcuna xidm\u0259t, 5 manat 10 q\u0259piyi s\u0259hiyy\u0259, 4 manat 40 q\u0259piyi k\u0259nd t\u0259r\u0259rr\u00fcfat\u0131, m\u0259nzil v\u0259 kommunal t\u0259s\u0259rr\u00fcfat\u0131, 1 manat 60 q\u0259piyi m\u0259d\u0259niyy\u0259t, inc\u0259s\u0259n\u0259t, b\u0259d\u0259n t\u0259rbiy\u0259si v\u0259 informasiya, 1 manat\u0131 \u0259traf m\u00fchitin m\u00fchafiz\u0259sin\u0259, 70 q\u0259piyi elm\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259n\u0259c\u0259k.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 16)
\n <\/b>
\n
\n B\u00fcdc\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin yar\u0131ya q\u0259d\u0259rinin a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131 yoxdur.
\n <\/b>
\n N\u00f6vb\u0259ti ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259 21,6 faiz\u0259 malik olan m\u00fcdafi\u0259, milli t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik, h\u00fcquq m\u00fchafiz\u0259, m\u0259hk\u0259m\u0259 v\u0259 prokurorluq orqanlar\u0131n\u0131n saxlan\u0131lmas\u0131 x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin, 18,6 faiz x\u00fcsusi \u00e7\u0259kiy\u0259 malik olan s\u0259naye, tikinti v\u0259 faydal\u0131 qaz\u0131nt\u0131lar x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin, 3,7 faiz x\u00fcsusi \u00e7\u0259kisi olan \u0259sas b\u00f6lm\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 aid edilm\u0259y\u0259n xidm\u0259tl\u0259rin, 2,6 faiz pay\u0131 olan iqtisadi f\u0259aliyy\u0259t x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin n\u0259 iqtisadi, n\u0259 d\u0259 funskional t\u0259snifat\u0131 var. Bu is\u0259 o dem\u0259kdir ki, b\u00fcdc\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin 46,5 faizi qapal\u0131d\u0131r. Bu bar\u0259d\u0259 n\u0259inki ictimaiyy\u0259t, h\u0259tta parlament \u00fczvl\u0259ri bel\u0259 m\u0259lumatl\u0131 deyil.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 17) G\u0259l\u0259n ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259si inflyasiya yaradacaq.
\n <\/b>
\n G\u0259l\u0259n ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259 m\u0259daxil m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259ri \u00fczr\u0259 m\u00fctl\u0259q ifad\u0259d\u0259 \u0259sas art\u0131mlar \u0259lav\u0259 d\u0259y\u0259r vergisi (226 milyon manat), fiziki \u015f\u0259xsl\u0259rin g\u0259lir vergisin\u0259 (295 milyon manat), aksizl\u0259r (147 milyon manat) v\u0259 b\u00fcdc\u0259 t\u0259\u015fkilatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6d\u0259ni\u015fli xidm\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259n daxilolmalara (212,9 milyob manat) m\u0259xsus olacaq. N\u00f6vb\u0259ti ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259 faiz ifad\u0259sind\u0259 is\u0259 g\u00f6mr\u00fck r\u00fcsumlar\u0131 \u00fczr\u0259 5,6 faiz, idxala \u0259lav\u0259 d\u0259y\u0259r vergisi \u00fczr\u0259 13,2 faiz, yol vergisi \u00fczr\u0259 40,6 faiz art\u0131m n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulub. G\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fcy\u00fc kimi g\u0259l\u0259n ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259 art\u0131m\u0131 t\u0259min ed\u0259n qeyri-neft g\u0259lirl\u0259ri \u0259sas\u0259n istehlak\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin \u00e7oxalmas\u0131 say\u0259sind\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131b. Bu is\u0259, x\u00fcsusil\u0259 d\u0259 idxal mallar\u0131n\u0131n qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin bahala\u015fmas\u0131 zaman\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Odur ki, g\u0259l\u0259n il inflyasiyan\u0131n 4,6 faiz olaca\u011f\u0131 real deyil.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 18) Qapal\u0131 b\u00fcdc\u0259 korrupsiyan\u0131n h\u0259cmini y\u00fcks\u0259ld\u0259c\u0259k.
\n <\/b>
\n N\u00f6vb\u0259ti ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin 46,5 faizinin qapal\u0131 olmas\u0131, n\u0259 iqtisadi, n\u0259 d\u0259 funksional t\u0259snifat\u0131n parlament m\u00fczakir\u0259sin\u0259 \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131lmamas\u0131, b\u00fcdc\u0259 v\u0259saitl\u0259rinin qeyri-\u015f\u0259ffaf v\u0259 hesabats\u0131z istifad\u0259si korrupsiya riskl\u0259rini art\u0131r\u0131r. Qapal\u0131 x\u0259rcl\u0259r aras\u0131nda 4,9 milyard manatl\u0131q tikinti x\u0259rcl\u0259ri korrupsiya riskl\u0259rini daha da art\u0131r\u0131r.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 19)
\n <\/b>
\n
\n N\u00f6vb\u0259ti ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259si xarici \u015foklardan s\u0131\u011fortalanmay\u0131b, k\u0259nar riskl\u0259rin t\u0259sir dair\u0259sind\u0259n \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131lmay\u0131b.
\n <\/b>
\n D\u00fcnya bazar\u0131nda neftin qiym\u0259tinin g\u0259l\u0259n ild\u0259n g\u00f6zl\u0259nil\u0259n ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131 2020-ci ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259sin\u0259 ARDN\u015e v\u0259 AB\u018f\u015e t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n \u00f6d\u0259ni\u015fl\u0259r\u0259 m\u0259nfi t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259 bil\u0259r. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 qiym\u0259tl\u0259rl\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131 neft hasilat\u0131nda g\u00f6zl\u0259nil\u0259n azalma ARDNF-nin b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259 k\u0259sirin yaranmas\u0131na g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xara bil\u0259r. 2019-cu ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259si bu tip neqativ t\u0259sirl\u0259r\u0259 m\u0259ruz qala bil\u0259r.\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n 20)
\n <\/b>
\n
\n G\u0259l\u0259n il b\u00fcdc\u0259nin k\u0259siri b\u00f6hran h\u0259ddini ke\u00e7\u0259c\u0259k.
\n <\/b>
\n N\u00f6vb\u0259ti ild\u0259 b\u00fcdc\u0259 k\u0259siri \u00dcDM-in 3,3 faizi h\u0259cmind\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Bu is\u0259 Avropa m\u0259kan\u0131nda olan \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Mastrix sazi\u015fi il\u0259 n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulan 3 faizlik b\u00f6hran h\u0259ddinin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 dem\u0259kdir. G\u0259l\u0259n il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn b\u00fcdc\u0259 k\u0259siri \u00f6t\u0259n il\u0259 nisb\u0259t\u0259n 12,5 d\u0259f\u0259 \u00e7ox olacaq. Art\u0131m tendensiyas\u0131 cari ild\u0259 ba\u015flay\u0131b. Bel\u0259 ki, 2019-cu ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin g\u00f6zl\u0259nil\u0259n k\u0259siri \u00f6t\u0259n ilin faktiki k\u0259siri il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 9 d\u0259f\u0259d\u0259n d\u0259 art\u0131q olacaq. G\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fcy\u00fc kimi bu il v\u0259 g\u0259l\u0259n il b\u00fcdc\u0259 k\u0259siri kosmik s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259 artacaq.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Z\u0259if b\u0259ndl\u0259rin \u00e7ox olmas\u0131 n\u00f6vb\u0259ti ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259 idar\u0259\u00e7iliyinin keyfiyy\u0259tini, ba\u015fqa s\u00f6zl\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rin effektivliyi v\u0259 iqtisadi art\u0131ma t\u00f6hf\u0259sini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 sal\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":132203,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_sitemap_exclude":false,"_sitemap_priority":"","_sitemap_frequency":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-197684","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-iqtisadiyyat","infinite-scroll-item","generate-columns","tablet-grid-50","mobile-grid-100","grid-parent","grid-33","no-featured-image-padding"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nG\u0259l\u0259n ilin d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin 20 z\u0259if b\u0259ndi - MEYDAN.TV<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/az\/article\/gelen-ilin-dovlet-budcesinin-20-zeif-bendi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"az_AZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"G\u0259l\u0259n ilin d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin 20 z\u0259if b\u0259ndi - 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