{"id":188527,"date":"2018-02-06T13:04:11","date_gmt":"2018-02-06T13:04:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/article\/tomas-de-vaal-qerar-gozlenilmez-ancaq-mentiqli-idi\/"},"modified":"2018-02-06T13:04:11","modified_gmt":"2018-02-06T13:04:11","slug":"tomas-de-vaal-qerar-gozlenilmez-ancaq-mentiqli-idi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/az\/article\/tomas-de-vaal-qerar-gozlenilmez-ancaq-mentiqli-idi\/","title":{"rendered":"Tomas de Vaal: Q\u0259rar g\u00f6zl\u0259nilm\u0259z, ancaq m\u0259ntiqli idi"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n \"\"
<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\n
\n Ekspertl\u0259r n\u00f6vb\u0259d\u0259nk\u0259nar prezident se\u00e7kisi q\u0259rar\u0131na m\u00fcxt\u0259lif yana\u015f\u0131rlar
\n <\/i>\n<\/p>\n

\n Q\u0259rargah\u0131 Londonda yerl\u0259\u015f\u0259n Karnegi Beyn\u0259xalq S\u00fclh Fondunun apar\u0131c\u0131 eksperti Tomas de Vaal Az\u0259rbaycan prezidenti \u0130lham \u018fliyevin n\u00f6vb\u0259d\u0259nk\u0259nar prezident se\u00e7kil\u0259ri ke\u00e7irm\u0259k q\u0259rar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6zl\u0259nilm\u0259z, ancaq kifay\u0259t q\u0259d\u0259r m\u0259ntiqli oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcr.\n<\/p>\n

\n Apreld\u0259 se\u00e7ki ke\u00e7irm\u0259k q\u0259rar\u0131n\u0131
\n
\n Amerikan\u0131n s\u0259si
\n <\/a>
\n radiosuna \u015f\u0259rh ed\u0259n ekspert hesab edir ki, \u0130lham \u018fliyevin n\u00f6qteyi n\u0259z\u0259rind\u0259n, ba\u015fqalar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6zl\u0259m\u0259diyi, haz\u0131r olmadl\u011f\u0131 v\u0259 onun \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn s\u0259rf\u0259li bir m\u0259qamda se\u00e7kini ke\u00e7irm\u0259k yax\u015f\u0131 fikirdir.\n<\/p>\n

\n De Vaal\u0131n fikrinc\u0259, Az\u0259rbaycanda siyasi elitan\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnc\u0259 prosesin\u0259 \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f m\u0259hdud oldu\u011fundan q\u0259rar\u0131n motivl\u0259rini d\u0259qiq dem\u0259k \u00e7\u0259tindir.\n<\/p>\n

\n Ekspert hesab edir ki, s\u0259sverm\u0259nin aprel ay\u0131na t\u0259yin olunmas\u0131nda daxili v\u0259 xarici faktorlar rol oynay\u0131r. Bir t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n \u00f6lk\u0259 m\u00fcxalif\u0259ti prezident se\u00e7kil\u0259rin\u0259 haz\u0131r deyil v\u0259 onun \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcn toparlamaq imkanlar\u0131 kifay\u0259t q\u0259d\u0259r m\u0259hddudur. S\u0259sverm\u0259y\u0259 namiz\u0259d qismind\u0259 qat\u0131la bil\u0259c\u0259k REAL h\u0259r\u0259kat\u0131n\u0131n lideri \u0130lqar M\u0259mm\u0259dov haz\u0131rda h\u0259bsd\u0259dir. Se\u00e7kil\u0259rin aprel ay\u0131nda ke\u00e7irilm\u0259si M\u0259mm\u0259dovu effektiv olaraq se\u00e7ki prosesind\u0259n k\u0259narla\u015fd\u0131rm\u0131\u015f olur.\n<\/p>\n

\n Dig\u0259r xarici amill\u0259r s\u0131ras\u0131nda Tomas de Vaal h\u00f6kum\u0259tin aprel ay\u0131nda Rusiyan\u0131n \u00f6z se\u00e7kil\u0259rin\u0259 ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131n qar\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 v\u0259 proses\u0259 m\u00fcdaxil\u0259 ed\u0259 bilm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259yini g\u00fcman etdiyini s\u00f6yl\u0259yir. Habel\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan konstitutional ke\u00e7id d\u00f6vr\u00fcn\u00fc ya\u015fayacaq.\n<\/p>\n

\n \u201cO bilir ki, indi se\u00e7kil\u0259ri ke\u00e7irm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259siz vaxtd\u0131r. Ciddi iqtisadi probleml\u0259r yoxdur. Kim bilir bir ne\u00e7\u0259 aydan sonra v\u0259ziyy\u0259t nec\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015f\u0259 bil\u0259r. \u0130ndi sonradan daha yax\u015f\u0131d\u0131r\u201d, de Vaal deyib.\n<\/p>\n

\n De Vaal \u018fliyev h\u00f6kum\u0259tinin \u201cdaim narahatl\u0131q\u201d ke\u00e7irdiyini bildirir.\n<\/p>\n

\n \u201cOnlar bilmirl\u0259r ki, m\u00fcxalif\u0259t haradan ba\u015f qald\u0131racaq. Odur ki, situasiyaya m\u00fcmk\u00fcn q\u0259d\u0259r n\u0259zar\u0259t etm\u0259y\u0259, opponentl\u0259rini \u00fcst\u0259l\u0259m\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rlar\u201d.\n<\/p>\n

\n Bu m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f ed\u0259n dig\u0259r bir ekspert, Rusiya Elml\u0259r Akademiyas\u0131 n\u0259zdind\u0259 D\u00f6vl\u0259t Qullu\u011fu v\u0259 \u0130dar\u0259etm\u0259si \u0130nstitutunda \u015f\u00f6b\u0259 r\u0259isi, Mill\u0259tl\u0259raras\u0131 M\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259r \u00fczr\u0259 Prezident \u015euras\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczv\u00fc Vya\u00e7eslav Mixaylov \u201c
\n
\n EurAsia daily
\n <\/a>
\n \u201d portal\u0131na m\u00fcsahib\u0259sind\u0259 bu q\u0259rar\u0131n Da\u011fl\u0131q Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259siyl\u0259 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcman edir.\n<\/p>\n

\n \u201cYerli m\u00fcxalif\u0259t t\u0259\u0259cc\u00fcbl\u0259ndi v\u0259 fakt qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda qald\u0131. \u018fliyevin xarici t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259\u0259cc\u00fcbl\u0259ndirm\u0259y\u0259 d\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259bi yox idi. Onlar \u00f6z probleml\u0259riyl\u0259 m\u0259\u015f\u011fuldurlar v\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda prezident se\u00e7kisinin vaxt\u0131 vecl\u0259rin\u0259 d\u0259 deyil. Amma Qaraba\u011f \u0259traf\u0131ndak\u0131 durum ba\u015fqa m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259dir. Burada iki \u0259sas ssenari var v\u0259 h\u0259r ikisi d\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n siyasi r\u0259hb\u0259rliyinin v\u0259 h\u0259rbi komandanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n Qaraba\u011f planlar\u0131yla s\u0131x ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r\u201d, \u2013 m\u00fc\u0259llif yaz\u0131r.\n<\/p>\n

\n V.Mixaylov Bak\u0131dak\u0131 m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 istinadla Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n Qaraba\u011f s\u00fclh prosesind\u0259 \u201cMadrid prinsipl\u0259ri\u201dnin t\u0259tbiqini s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259ndirm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 qeyd edir.\n<\/p>\n

\n \"\u0130lham
\n \u0130lham \u018fliyev v\u0259 Serj S\u0259rkisyan
\n <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\n T\u0259hlil\u00e7i \u00f6t\u0259n il oktyabr\u0131n 16-da Cenevr\u0259d\u0259 dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar\u0131nda sensasiyal\u0131 b\u0259yanat verilm\u0259diyini yada sal\u0131r. Amma onun fikrinc\u0259, \u018fliyevl\u0259 Sarqsyan\u0131n paket h\u0259ll sxemin\u0259 m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259li yana\u015fma \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 spesifik prosesl\u0259ri s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259ndirm\u0259kl\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 raz\u0131l\u0131\u011fa g\u0259ldikl\u0259ri istisna olunmur.\n<\/p>\n

\n \u201cBu m\u00f6vqed\u0259n baxanda, \u018fliyevin n\u00f6vb\u0259d\u0259nk\u0259nar se\u00e7ki q\u0259rar\u0131 m\u00fcharib\u0259y\u0259 deyil, s\u00fclh\u0259 \u2013 n\u00f6vb\u0259ti bir ne\u00e7\u0259 ay \u0259rzind\u0259 \u015f\u0259rti \u201cyol x\u0259rit\u0259si\u201dn\u0259 yol a\u00e7maq m\u0259ntiqin\u0259 uy\u011fun g\u0259lir. D\u00fczd\u00fcr, adam\u0131n buna inanma\u011f\u0131 g\u0259lmir. Bel\u0259 anla\u015fmadan \u00f6tr\u00fc m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259ri aras\u0131nda yet\u0259rinc\u0259 inam olmal\u0131d\u0131r ki, bu da indiy\u0259d\u0259k m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 edilm\u0259yib. Amma bir m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 var ki, Cenevr\u0259 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u0259n b\u0259ri Qaraba\u011fda t\u0259mas x\u0259ttind\u0259 toqqu\u015fmalar s\u0259ngiyib\u201d, \u2013 t\u0259hlil\u00e7i yaz\u0131r.\n<\/p>\n

\n M\u00fc\u0259llif ikinci ssenarinin s\u00fclh\u0259 deyil, m\u00fcharib\u0259y\u0259 apard\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 qeyd edir. Bel\u0259 ki, \u018fliyev yayad\u0259k m\u00f6vqeyini m\u00f6hk\u0259ml\u0259ndirir v\u0259 Bak\u0131 2016-c\u0131 ilin aprelind\u0259n sonra yeni irimiqyasl\u0131 h\u0259rbi h\u00fccuma ke\u00e7ir. \u0130yunun 26-da Az\u0259rbaycan ordusu 100 illiyini qeyd edir. Bu, r\u0259hb\u0259rlik v\u0259 h\u0259rbi komandanl\u0131qdan \u00f6tr\u00fc yubileyi yaln\u0131z h\u0259rbi paradla bayram etm\u0259m\u0259y\u0259 yax\u015f\u0131 f\u00fcrs\u0259tdir. \u201c\u0130yun-iyul aylar\u0131nda Qaraba\u011fda c\u0259bh\u0259 x\u0259ttind\u0259 g\u0259rginlik artacaq. Sual onun m\u00fcdd\u0259tinin d\u00f6rd g\u00fcnl\u00fck aprel d\u00f6y\u00fc\u015fl\u0259rini k\u00f6lg\u0259d\u0259 qoyaca\u011f\u0131 v\u0259 daha intensiv m\u00fcharib\u0259y\u0259 ke\u00e7ib-ke\u00e7m\u0259y\u0259c\u0259yidir\u201d, \u2013 Mixaylov yaz\u0131r.\n<\/p>\n

\n Siyas\u0259t\u00e7i bu il iyunun 14-d\u0259n iyulun 15-d\u0259k Rusiyada ke\u00e7iril\u0259c\u0259k futbol \u00fczr\u0259 d\u00fcnya \u00e7empionat\u0131n\u0131n Bak\u0131n\u0131n \u201cm\u00fcharib\u0259 partisi\u201dnin xeyrin\u0259 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia edir. Bel\u0259 ki, Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259sind\u0259 xarici q\u00fcvv\u0259 olan Rusiyan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131 idman t\u0259dbirin\u0259 qar\u0131\u015facaq.\n<\/p>\n

\n \u201cN\u00f6vb\u0259d\u0259nk\u0259nar se\u00e7ki t\u0259yin etm\u0259kl\u0259, \u018fliyev h\u0259r iki ssenariy\u0259 \u0259l atmaq h\u00fcququnu saxlay\u0131r\u201d, – siyas\u0259t\u00e7i yaz\u0131r (t\u0259rc\u00fcm\u0259 AzadliqRadiosunundur).\n<\/p>\n

\n Fevral\u0131n 5-d\u0259 president \u0130lham \u018fliyev Az\u0259rbaycanda n\u00f6vb\u0259d\u0259nk\u0259nar prezident se\u00e7kil\u0259ri t\u0259yin edib. Se\u00e7kil\u0259r aprelin 11-d\u0259 n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulub.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ekspertl\u0259r n\u00f6vb\u0259d\u0259nk\u0259nar prezident se\u00e7kisi q\u0259rar\u0131na m\u00fcxt\u0259lif yana\u015f\u0131rlar<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":99088,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_sitemap_exclude":false,"_sitemap_priority":"","_sitemap_frequency":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[51],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-188527","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analitika","infinite-scroll-item","generate-columns","tablet-grid-50","mobile-grid-100","grid-parent","grid-33","no-featured-image-padding"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nTomas de Vaal: Q\u0259rar g\u00f6zl\u0259nilm\u0259z, ancaq m\u0259ntiqli idi - MEYDAN.TV<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/az\/article\/tomas-de-vaal-qerar-gozlenilmez-ancaq-mentiqli-idi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"az_AZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Tomas de Vaal: Q\u0259rar g\u00f6zl\u0259nilm\u0259z, ancaq m\u0259ntiqli idi - 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