{"id":178854,"date":"2016-09-14T15:08:43","date_gmt":"2016-09-14T15:08:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/article\/sovet-mogikanlarinin-gedisi-islahatlardan-xeber-verir\/"},"modified":"2016-09-14T15:08:43","modified_gmt":"2016-09-14T15:08:43","slug":"sovet-mogikanlarinin-gedisi-islahatlardan-xeber-verir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/az\/article\/sovet-mogikanlarinin-gedisi-islahatlardan-xeber-verir\/","title":{"rendered":"Sovet mogikanlar\u0131n\u0131n gedi\u015fi islahatlardan x\u0259b\u0259r verir"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n \"\"
<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\n
\n Postsovet m\u0259kan\u0131n\u0131n SSR\u0130-nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan 25 il ke\u00e7diyi v\u0259 yeni \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin m\u00fcst\u0259qil d\u00f6vl\u0259t \u0259n\u0259n\u0259l\u0259ri t\u0259cr\u00fcb\u0259si qazand\u0131\u011f\u0131, Q\u0259rb c\u0259miy\u0259ti il\u0259 ziddiyy\u0259tli d\u0259 olsa, birba\u015fa beyn\u0259lxalq dialoq qurdu\u011fu haz\u0131rki inki\u015faf m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259sind\u0259 sabitliyin pozulmas\u0131nda \u0259n az maraql\u0131 olan AB\u015e-d\u0131r
\n <\/i>\n<\/p>\n

\n M\u0259rk\u0259zi Asiyan\u0131n \u0259sas siyasi fiqurlar\u0131ndan biri olan \u0130slam K\u0259rimovun siyasi s\u0259hn\u0259d\u0259n gedi\u015fi t\u0259kc\u0259 \u00d6zb\u0259kistan\u0131n deyil, b\u00fct\u00fcn regionun yeni transformasiya m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259sind\u0259n x\u0259b\u0259r verir. Bu hadis\u0259 m\u0259ntiqi olaraq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc d\u00fcnyan\u0131 \u0259hat\u0259 ed\u0259n d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r z\u0259ncirin\u0259 daxildir.\n<\/p>\n

\n K\u0259rimovun gedi\u015fini b\u00fct\u00fcn Avrosiyaya toxunan d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r d\u00f6vr\u00fcn\u00fcn h\u00f6km\u00fc \u0259vv\u0259lc\u0259d\u0259n m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n edib v\u0259 bu v\u0259 ya dig\u0259r formada \u015f\u0259rq tipli avtoritar v\u0259 ya yar\u0131mavtoritar rejiml\u0259ri demokratiya\u00f6nc\u0259si v\u0259 ya demokratiya m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259sin\u0259 ke\u00e7irir.\n<\/p>\n

\n Avtoritar iqtisadiyyatlar\u0131n b\u00f6hran\u0131 SSR\u0130-nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra formala\u015fm\u0131\u015f yeni m\u00fcst\u0259qil \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 sistemli probleml\u0259r oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131q-a\u015fkar \u00fcz\u0259 \u00e7\u0131xard\u0131 v\u0259 onlar\u0131n t\u0259bii resurslar\u0131n istismar\u0131na v\u0259 korrupsiyaya \u0259saslanan \u0259vv\u0259lki rejiml\u0259 art\u0131q inki\u015faf etm\u0259k iqtidar\u0131nda olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 n\u00fcmayi\u015f etdirdi.\n<\/p>\n

\n SSR\u0130 d\u00f6vr\u00fcnd\u0259n hakimiyy\u0259ti q\u0259sb etmi\u015f sovet elitalar\u0131 \u00e7a\u015f-ba\u015f qal\u0131blar, d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r z\u0259rur\u0259tini v\u0259 bu d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259rin onlar\u0131n \u201c\u0259b\u0259di\u201d hakimiyy\u0259tinin sonu olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u0259rk edirl\u0259r. Onlar\u0131n \u0259ks\u0259riyy\u0259ti sivil d\u00fcnyan\u0131n demokratiyaya ke\u00e7id t\u0259klifl\u0259rini q\u0259bul ed\u0259 bilm\u0259dil\u0259r v\u0259 yanl\u0131\u015f olaraq (c\u0259miyy\u0259tl\u0259rin haz\u0131rki b\u00f6hran v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti bunu s\u00fcbut edir) d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r\u0259 m\u00fcqavim\u0259t v\u0259 klan d\u00f6vl\u0259tl\u0259rinin formala\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 yolundan getdil\u0259r.\n<\/p>\n

\n H\u0259l\u0259 \u0130ttifaq\u0131n da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra 2014-c\u00fc ild\u0259n etibar\u0259n b\u00fct\u00fcn postsovet m\u0259kan\u0131n\u0131 \u0259hat\u0259 ed\u0259n \u0259n geni\u015f miqyasl\u0131 b\u00f6hrana q\u0259d\u0259r elitalar h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 \u0259min idil\u0259r ki, tarixin gedi\u015fat\u0131n\u0131 onlara laz\u0131m olan \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 d\u00fcz\u0259ld\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259kl\u0259r. Az\u0259rbaycan prezidenti \u0130lham \u018fliyev d\u0259 rejimin \u0259sas qida m\u0259nb\u0259yi olan neftin y\u00fcks\u0259k qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin h\u0259l\u0259 \u0259n az 25 il bel\u0259 qalanaca\u011f\u0131ndan \u0259min idi. Amma bu yanl\u0131\u015f perspektiv onu, el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259 dig\u0259r postsovet d\u00f6vl\u0259tl\u0259rinin idar\u0259\u00e7il\u0259rini dalana girmi\u015f sisteml\u0259rd\u0259 islahatlar haqq\u0131nda m\u0259cburi q\u0259rarlar q\u0259bul etm\u0259y\u0259 vadar etdi.\n<\/p>\n

\n H\u0259l\u0259 d\u00fcn\u0259n el\u0259 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcrd\u00fc ki, sanki avtoritar rejiml\u0259r iqtisadiyyat\u0131 inhisarla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131b v\u0259 c\u0259miyy\u0259t \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 repressiv n\u0259zar\u0259t qurub, m\u00f6hk\u0259m dayan\u0131blar. H\u0259tta q\u0259rb siyas\u0259t\u00e7il\u0259ri v\u0259 analitikl\u0259ri Rusiya, Az\u0259rbaycan, Erm\u0259nistan v\u0259 M\u0259rk\u0259zi Asiya \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259 avtoritar t\u0259may\u00fcll\u0259rin getdikc\u0259 daha da m\u00f6hk\u0259ml\u0259ndiyini g\u00f6r\u0259r\u0259k, g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259yi b\u0259dbin qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirirdil\u0259r.\n<\/p>\n

\n 2014-c\u00fc ild\u0259 Pitsburqavdan olan Amerikal\u0131 ara\u015fd\u0131rma\u00e7\u0131 Cenifer Murtaza\u015fvili \u201c\u00dc\u00e7 s\u0259b\u0259b\u0259d\u0259n \u00f6zb\u0259kistanda inqilab olmayacaq\u201d adl\u0131 ara\u015fd\u0131rmas\u0131nda bel\u0259 bir fikir ifad\u0259 etmi\u015fdi (x\u00fcsusiyy\u0259tl\u0259ri b\u00fct\u00fcn postsovet avtoritar rejiml\u0259rin\u0259 aid etm\u0259k olard\u0131):\n<\/p>\n

\n – \u0130slam K\u0259rimovun rejimi m\u00f6hk\u0259mdir, \u00e7\u00fcnki, birincisi, onun siyas\u0259ti y\u00fcks\u0259k iqtisadi inki\u015faf tempini t\u0259min edib; ikincisi, klanlar v\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259t maraqlar\u0131 elastik \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 birl\u0259\u015fib; \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc, ist\u0259nil\u0259n naraz\u0131l\u0131q t\u0259zah\u00fcr\u00fcn\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 repressiv t\u0259dbirl\u0259r g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr;\n<\/p>\n

\n – hakimiyy\u0259t \u201cstasionar banditdir\u201d, o, el\u0259 bir nisb\u0259td\u0259 talay\u0131r ki, talanan \u015f\u0259xs h\u0259yatda qalmaq v\u0259 i\u015fl\u0259m\u0259y\u0259 davam edib \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc v\u0259 \u201cbanditi\u201d g\u0259lirl\u0259 t\u0259min etm\u0259k imkan\u0131na malik olsun;\n<\/p>\n

\n – sosial qeyri-b\u0259rab\u0259rlik s\u0259viyy\u0259sinin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 olmas\u0131 insanlar\u0131 qiyama\/inqilaba t\u0259\u015fviq etmir;\n<\/p>\n

\n – siyasi liderl\u0259r aras\u0131nda haz\u0131rki rejim\u0259 alternativ yoxdur;\n<\/p>\n

\n – \u0130.K\u0259rimov hakimiyy\u0259t\u0259 g\u0259ldiyi zaman onun n\u0259inki siyasi dair\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259, he\u00e7 v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015f c\u0259miyy\u0259tind\u0259 d\u0259 r\u0259qibi yox idi;\n<\/p>\n

\n – h\u00f6kum\u0259t resurslar\u0131 el\u0259 s\u0259m\u0259r\u0259li \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 payla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r ki, \u0259halinin m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n laz\u0131mi s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 h\u0259yat\u0131 var;\n<\/p>\n

\n – hakimiyy\u0259t \u0259haliy\u0259 n\u0259zar\u0259t etm\u0259k v\u0259 etiraz\u00e7\u0131 potensial\u0131n \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6st\u0259rm\u0259sinin qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 almaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn m\u0259h\u0259ll\u0259 institutundan m\u0259har\u0259tl\u0259 istifad\u0259 edir;\n<\/p>\n

\n – sosial d\u0259st\u0259k sistemi yarad\u0131l\u0131b v\u0259 bu, insanlar\u0131n hakimiyy\u0259t\u0259 etibar\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259min edir.\n<\/p>\n

\n Amma bu g\u00fcn b\u00f6hran \u015f\u0259raitind\u0259 b\u00fct\u00fcn qeyd edil\u0259n amill\u0259r s\u00fcr\u0259tli da\u011f\u0131lma prosesind\u0259n ke\u00e7ir, iqtisadiyyat\u0131n v\u0259 sosial rifah\u0131n daimi inki\u015faf\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 \u0259sass\u0131z perspektivl\u0259rl\u0259 aldad\u0131lm\u0131\u015f c\u0259miyy\u0259tin b\u00fct\u00fcn t\u0259b\u0259q\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259 inqilab \u0259hval-ruhiyy\u0259si formala\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r. Hakimiyy\u0259t art\u0131q siyasi opponentl\u0259rl\u0259 deyil, b\u00fct\u00fcn \u0259hali il\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131-qar\u015f\u0131yad\u0131r.\n<\/p>\n

\n Postsovet m\u0259kan\u0131n\u0131n SSR\u0130-nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan 25 il ke\u00e7diyi v\u0259 yeni \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin m\u00fcst\u0259qil d\u00f6vl\u0259t \u0259n\u0259n\u0259l\u0259ri t\u0259cr\u00fcb\u0259si qazand\u0131\u011f\u0131, Q\u0259rb c\u0259miy\u0259ti il\u0259 ziddiyy\u0259tli d\u0259 olsa, birba\u015fa beyn\u0259lxalq dialoq qurdu\u011fu haz\u0131rki inki\u015faf m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259sind\u0259 sabitliyin pozulmas\u0131nda \u0259n az maraql\u0131 olan AB\u015e-d\u0131r.\n<\/p>\n

\n SSSR-i da\u011f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 zaman AB\u015e ke\u00e7id d\u00f6vr\u00fcn\u00fcn qeyri-sabitliyind\u0259n postsovet m\u0259kan\u0131na n\u00fcfuz etm\u0259k v\u0259 \u00f6z t\u0259sirini fomala\u015fd\u0131rmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn m\u0259har\u0259tl\u0259 istifad\u0259 etdi. Onun bu t\u0259siri daim g\u00fccl\u0259nir, x\u00fcsus\u0259n d\u0259 iqtisadi b\u00f6hranlar zaman\u0131.\n<\/p>\n

\n Haz\u0131rki m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259d\u0259 AB\u015e stabil, proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lan, ortaq d\u0259y\u0259rl\u0259ri v\u0259 beyn\u0259lxalq h\u00fcquq v\u0259 \u00f6hd\u0259likl\u0259rl\u0259 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n edilmi\u015f davran\u0131\u015f normalar\u0131n\u0131 b\u00f6l\u00fc\u015f\u0259n t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015flar\u0131n formala\u015fmas\u0131nda maraql\u0131d\u0131r. AB\u015e prezidentinin milli t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik \u00fczr\u0259 ke\u00e7mi\u015f m\u00fc\u015faviri Zbiqnev Bjezinski h\u0259l\u0259 ilk postsovet ill\u0259rind\u0259 hesab edirdi ki, AB\u015e-\u0131n milli maraqlar\u0131n\u0131 yaln\u0131z demokratik rejiml\u0259r t\u0259min ed\u0259 bil\u0259r. Maraqlar dey\u0259rk\u0259n demokratiyadan bu c\u00fcr d\u00f6vl\u0259tl\u0259rin idar\u0259 edilm\u0259si al\u0259ti kimi istifad\u0259ni deyil, h\u0259r bir t\u0259r\u0259fin t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizliyini v\u0259 inki\u015faf\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259min ed\u0259n maraqlar konsensusu yarad\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tuturdu. Bu c\u00fcr model yarad\u0131lan Avropada v\u0259 d\u00fcnyan\u0131n dig\u0259r regionlar\u0131nda \u0130kinci D\u00fcnya M\u00fcharib\u0259sind\u0259n sonra bel\u0259 \u0259yani n\u00fcmun\u0259si ortaya \u00e7\u0131xd\u0131.\n<\/p>\n

\n Va\u015finqtonun Avrasiya m\u0259kan\u0131nda apard\u0131\u011f\u0131 son f\u0259al dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar g\u00f6st\u0259rir ki, g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259kd\u0259 AB\u015e avtoritarizml\u0259 demokratiya aras\u0131nda tranzaksiyada olan \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 yum\u015faq, amma ard\u0131c\u0131l t\u0259zyiq formulundan istifad\u0259 ed\u0259c\u0259k, bel\u0259 ki, sovet siyasi mogikanlar\u0131n\u0131n o biri d\u00fcnyaya getm\u0259sind\u0259n sonra \u00f6z milli t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik doktrinas\u0131n\u0131n h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irilm\u0259si \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn ciddi mane\u0259 hiss etmir.\n<\/p>\n

\n Putinin, Luka\u015fenkonun, Nazarbayevin, \u018fliyevin, Sarkisyan\u0131n, Rahmanovun v\u0259 ba\u015fqalar\u0131n\u0131n iqtisadi b\u00f6hrandan ir\u0259li g\u0259l\u0259n konstruktivliyi g\u00f6st\u0259rir ki, inqilab v\u0259 ya t\u0259kam\u00fcl amili qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda qalan liderl\u0259r ikinciy\u0259 daha \u00e7ox \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck verir. V\u0259 d\u00fcnya bu \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 m\u00fcxt\u0259lif n\u00f6v islahat t\u0259\u015f\u0259bb\u00fcsl\u0259rinin formala\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n \u015fahidi olur.\n<\/p>\n

\n Postsovet m\u0259kan\u0131nda apar\u0131c\u0131 oyun\u00e7u kimi Rusiya da h\u0259m \u00f6z islahatlar\u0131nda, h\u0259m d\u0259 s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259ri boyunca islahatlarda \u00e7ox maraql\u0131d\u0131r, bu, onun xarici t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizliyini g\u00fccl\u0259ndirir v\u0259 inki\u015faf etm\u0259kd\u0259 olan qon\u015fu bazarlara daxil olmaq v\u0259 yeni maliyy\u0259 v\u0259 maddi resurslar c\u0259lb etm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn daha \u0259lveri\u015fli \u015f\u0259rait yarad\u0131r.\n<\/p>\n

\n Prezident Vladimir Putinin S\u0259m\u0259rq\u0259nd\u0259 s\u0259f\u0259ri K\u0259rimovun xatir\u0259sinin yad edilm\u0259si il\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131, h\u0259m d\u0259 ham\u0131ya Moskvan\u0131n K\u0259rimovun raz\u0131la\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f x\u0259l\u0259fi \u015eavkat Mirz\u0259yevin idar\u0259 ed\u0259c\u0259yi \u00d6zb\u0259kistanda hadis\u0259l\u0259rin g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k inki\u015faf\u0131n\u0131 d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259diyi mesaj\u0131 idi.\n<\/p>\n

\n Moskva Karnegi M\u0259rk\u0259zi h\u0259l\u0259 K\u0259rimovun \u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnd\u0259n \u0259vv\u0259l onun gedi\u015find\u0259n sonra hakimiyy\u0259tin daha repressiv v\u0259 islahatlara daha \u00e7ox meylli olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259xmin etmi\u015fdi.\n<\/p>\n

\n M\u0259rk\u0259zin r\u0259yl\u0259ri \u0259sass\u0131z deyildi. 2015-ci ilin oktyabr\u0131nda d\u00f6vl\u0259t katibi Con Kerri S\u0259m\u0259rq\u0259ndd\u0259 yeni C5+1 (MA \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259ri + AB\u015e) format\u0131n\u0131 i\u015f\u0259 sal\u0131b. Format, maraql\u0131 da olsa, haz\u0131rda postsovet orta asiya respublikalar\u0131n\u0131n he\u00e7 n\u0259yin\u0259 etiraz etm\u0259dikl\u0259ri AB\u015e-\u0131n regionda rolunu g\u00fccl\u0259ndirm\u0259k m\u0259qs\u0259di da\u015f\u0131y\u0131r. Tacikistan\u0131n xarici i\u015fl\u0259r naziri Sirociddin Aslov bunu \u0259yani \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 g\u00f6st\u0259rdi, o, h\u0259mkarlar\u0131 qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bildirdi ki, AB\u015e-\u0131n M\u0259rk\u0259zi Asiya \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rinin iqtisadiyyat\u0131nda i\u015ftirak\u0131 iqtisadi inki\u015faf\u0131n v\u0259 regionda sabitliyin g\u00fccl\u0259nm\u0259sin\u0259 \u015f\u0259rait yaradacaq.\n<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Postsovet m\u0259kan\u0131n\u0131n SSR\u0130-nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan 25 il ke\u00e7diyi v\u0259 yeni \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin m\u00fcst\u0259qil d\u00f6vl\u0259t \u0259n\u0259n\u0259l\u0259ri t\u0259cr\u00fcb\u0259si qazand\u0131\u011f\u0131, Q\u0259rb c\u0259miy\u0259ti il\u0259 ziddiyy\u0259tli d\u0259 olsa, birba\u015fa beyn\u0259lxalq dialoq qurdu\u011fu haz\u0131rki inki\u015faf m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259sind\u0259 sabitliyin pozulmas\u0131nda \u0259n az maraql\u0131 olan AB\u015e-d\u0131r<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":67612,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_sitemap_exclude":false,"_sitemap_priority":"","_sitemap_frequency":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[51],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-178854","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analitika","infinite-scroll-item","generate-columns","tablet-grid-50","mobile-grid-100","grid-parent","grid-33","no-featured-image-padding"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nSovet mogikanlar\u0131n\u0131n gedi\u015fi islahatlardan x\u0259b\u0259r verir - 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