{"id":173787,"date":"2016-02-19T12:40:50","date_gmt":"2016-02-19T12:40:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/article\/idxal-azaldi-manat-rahatlaya-bilermi\/"},"modified":"2016-02-19T12:40:50","modified_gmt":"2016-02-19T12:40:50","slug":"idxal-azaldi-manat-rahatlaya-bilermi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/az\/article\/idxal-azaldi-manat-rahatlaya-bilermi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130dxal azald\u0131: manat rahatlaya bil\u0259rmi?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\n \u00d6lk\u0259y\u0259 kapital ax\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259n kapital ax\u0131n\u0131ndan azd\u0131rsa, bel\u0259 \u015f\u0259raitd\u0259 n\u0259inki ticar\u0259t balans\u0131n\u0131n, h\u0259tta cari hesablar balans\u0131n\u0131n saldosun m\u00fcsb\u0259t olmas\u0131 da milli valyutan\u0131n sabitliyi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn yet\u0259rli olmaya bil\u0259r
\n <\/i>\n<\/p>\n

\n \u0130st\u0259nil\u0259n \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 milli valyutan\u0131n sabitliyi \u00f6d\u0259m\u0259 balans\u0131n\u0131n durumundan as\u0131l\u0131d\u0131r.\n<\/p>\n

\n Sad\u0259 dill\u0259 deyils\u0259, \u00f6d\u0259m\u0259 balans\u0131 \u00f6lk\u0259y\u0259 \u0259n m\u00fcxt\u0259lif kanallarla daxil olan v\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259n \u00e7\u0131xan xarici valyuta ax\u0131nlar\u0131n\u0131n nisb\u0259tini \u0259ks etdirir.\n<\/p>\n

\n Daxil olan valyuta \u00e7\u0131xan xarici valyutadan \u00e7ox olanda milli valyuta ucuzla\u015fm\u0131r, h\u0259m d\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259nin valyuta ehtiyatlar\u0131 art\u0131r.\n<\/p>\n

\n \u00d6lk\u0259d\u0259n \u00e7\u0131xan valyuta daxil olan xarici valyutadan \u00e7ox olanda is\u0259 milli valyuta ucuzla\u015f\u0131r, \u00f6lk\u0259nin valyuta ehtiyatlar\u0131 is\u0259 m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259ni qoruma\u011fa x\u0259rcl\u0259ndiyi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn azal\u0131r. Nec\u0259 ki, son ilyar\u0131mda Az\u0259rbaycanda bu proses m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 edilir.\n<\/p>\n

\n Bunlar\u0131 yazma\u011f\u0131n s\u0259b\u0259bi var: bu ilin yanvar\u0131nda xaricd\u0259n \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 idxal\u0131 30%-d\u0259k azal\u0131b. \u00c7oxlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcr ki, bu art\u0131q manat\u0131n sabitliyi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn yetr\u0259lidi. Reall\u0131qda bel\u0259dirmi?\n<\/p>\n

\n \u018fg\u0259r idxal\u0131n azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015f\u0259raitd\u0259 ixrac art\u0131rsa, yaxud sabit qal\u0131rsa, \u0259n az\u0131ndan idxal ixracdan daha \u00fcst\u00fcn s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259 azal\u0131rsa, bu arqument m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n q\u0259d\u0259r \u0259sasl\u0131 ola bil\u0259r. Do\u011frudur 2016-c\u0131 ilin yanvar\u0131nda Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n idxal\u0131 131 milyon dollar (23%) azal\u0131b, amma ixrac bundan daha \u00e7ox – 620 milyon dollar (t\u0259xmin\u0259n 50%) azal\u0131b. \u00d6lk\u0259nin idxala x\u0259rcl\u0259diyi xarici valyutan\u0131n azalan h\u0259r dollar\u0131 m\u00fcqabilind\u0259 ixracdan qazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 valyuta t\u0259xmin\u0259n 5 dollar azal\u0131b. N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259 \u00f6t\u0259n ilin yanvar\u0131na nisb\u0259t\u0259n ayl\u0131q xarici ticar\u0259t balans\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fcsb\u0259t saldosu 3.5 d\u0259f\u0259y\u0259d\u0259k azalaraq 700 milyon dollardan 215 milyon dollara enib. H\u0259l\u0259 onu demir\u0259m ki, beyn\u0259lxalq ticar\u0259t statistikas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259rin m\u0259lumat\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, Az\u0259rbaycan g\u00f6mr\u00fcy\u00fcnd\u0259 u\u00e7ota al\u0131nan faktiki idxal real idxal s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259n he\u00e7 olmazsa 30-35% azd\u0131r. Bu f\u0259rq d\u0259 n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 al\u0131nsa, real saldo daha ki\u00e7ik r\u0259q\u0259ml\u0259rl\u0259 ifad\u0259 olunar…\n<\/p>\n

\n Ticar\u0259t balans\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fcsb\u0259t saldosu valyuta bazar\u0131nda dayan\u0131ql\u0131\u011f\u0131n t\u0259min edilm\u0259si \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn vacibdi, amma kafi deyil. \u00d6n\u0259mli g\u00f6st\u0259rici cari hesablar balans\u0131n\u0131n saldosudu. Cari hesablar balans\u0131na \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 ax\u0131nlar\u0131ndan savay\u0131 daha 2 kanalla valyuta h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259ti daxildir: xidm\u0259tl\u0259r hesab\u0131 v\u0259 g\u0259lirl\u0259r (ilkin v\u0259 t\u0259krar) hesab\u0131.\n<\/p>\n

\n Son 5 ilin statistikas\u0131 g\u00f6st\u0259rir ki, Az\u0259rbaycanda h\u0259m xidm\u0259tl\u0259r, h\u0259m d\u0259 g\u0259lirl\u0259r hesab\u0131n\u0131n saldosu daima m\u0259nfi olub – y\u0259ni, bu kanallarla \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259n \u00e7\u0131xan valyuta \u00f6lk\u0259y\u0259 g\u0259l\u0259n valyutan\u0131 \u00fcst\u0259l\u0259yib. V\u0259 son 3 illik statistika g\u00f6st\u0259rir ki, bu 2 hesab \u00fczr\u0259 orta ayl\u0131q k\u0259sir t\u0259xmin\u0259n 500-600 milyon dollar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda d\u0259yi\u015fib. Lakin h\u0259min ill\u0259rd\u0259 xarici ticar\u0259t balans\u0131n\u0131nn orta ayl\u0131q m\u00fcsb\u0259t saldosunun 1-1.2 milyard dollar olmas\u0131 n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 cari hesablar balans\u0131n\u0131n yekunu (+) 5-6 milyard dollardan az olmay\u0131b. Bir vacib faktoru da n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259n qa\u00e7\u0131rmaq olmaz: o \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 ki, \u00f6lk\u0259y\u0259 kapital ax\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259n kapital ax\u0131n\u0131ndan azd\u0131rsa, bel\u0259 \u015f\u0259raitd\u0259 n\u0259inki ticar\u0259t balans\u0131n\u0131n, h\u0259tta cari hesablar balans\u0131n\u0131n saldosun m\u00fcsb\u0259t olmas\u0131 da milli valyutan\u0131n sabitliyi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn yet\u0259rli olmaya bil\u0259r. Bunun \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn vacib olan \u015f\u0259rt kapital ax\u0131nlar\u0131n\u0131n m\u0259nfi nisb\u0259tinin cari hesablar balans\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fcsb\u0259t saldosundan ki\u00e7ik olmas\u0131d\u0131r. 2015-ci ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda biz bu prosesin canl\u0131 \u015fahidi olduq: kapital ax\u0131nlar\u0131n\u0131n m\u0259nfi nisb\u0259tinin cari hesablar balans\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fcsb\u0259t saldosunu 9 milyard dollara yax\u0131n \u00fcst\u0259l\u0259di. Bu nisb\u0259t is\u0259 m\u0259hz M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131n ehtiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u0259rim\u0259si hesab\u0131na qapad\u0131ld\u0131.\n<\/p>\n

\n Bel\u0259likl\u0259, \u00f6lk\u0259y\u0259 \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 idxal\u0131 il\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131 xidm\u0259t idxal\u0131n\u0131n azalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, xidm\u0259t ixrac\u0131n\u0131n \u0259n az\u0131 \u0259vv\u0259lki s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 qalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u00f6lk\u0259y\u0259 kapital ax\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n (investisiyalar, kreditl\u0259r, depozitl\u0259r formas\u0131nda) \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259n k\u0259nara kapital ax\u0131n\u0131n\u0131 \u00fcst\u0259l\u0259m\u0259diyi \u015f\u0259raitd\u0259 ticar\u0259t balans\u0131n\u0131n haz\u0131rk\u0131 ki\u00e7ik h\u0259cmli m\u00fcsb\u0259t saldosu manat\u0131n rahatlamas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn yet\u0259rli deyil.
\n
\n Bu sullara daha d\u0259qiq cavablar yanvar ay\u0131 \u00fczr\u0259 t\u0259diyy\u0259 balans\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6st\u0259ricl\u0259rinin a\u00e7\u0131qlanmas\u0131 ola bil\u0259rdi. Amma heyf ki, biz bu r\u0259q\u0259ml\u0259ri may ay\u0131ndan tez g\u00f6r\u0259 bilm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259yik. O zaman is\u0259 geri qay\u0131d\u0131b yanvar\u0131 t\u0259hlil etm\u0259yin \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259ti qalmayacaq…\n<\/p>\n

\n
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\n http:\/\/rovsanaghayev.blogspot.com.tr\/
\n <\/b>
\n <\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00d6lk\u0259y\u0259 kapital ax\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259n kapital ax\u0131n\u0131ndan azd\u0131rsa, bel\u0259 \u015f\u0259raitd\u0259 n\u0259inki ticar\u0259t balans\u0131n\u0131n, h\u0259tta cari hesablar balans\u0131n\u0131n saldosun m\u00fcsb\u0259t olmas\u0131 da milli valyutan\u0131n sabitliyi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn yet\u0259rli olmaya bil\u0259r<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":49126,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_sitemap_exclude":false,"_sitemap_priority":"","_sitemap_frequency":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[51],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-173787","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analitika","infinite-scroll-item","generate-columns","tablet-grid-50","mobile-grid-100","grid-parent","grid-33","no-featured-image-padding"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u0130dxal azald\u0131: manat rahatlaya bil\u0259rmi? 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