{"id":166706,"date":"2015-02-02T16:57:47","date_gmt":"2015-02-02T16:57:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/article\/neft-gelirlerinin-azaldigi-merhelede-manatin-deyerinde-xeyli-zeiflemeler-bas-verecek-video\/"},"modified":"2015-02-02T16:57:47","modified_gmt":"2015-02-02T16:57:47","slug":"neft-gelirlerinin-azaldigi-merhelede-manatin-deyerinde-xeyli-zeiflemeler-bas-verecek-video","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meydan.tv\/az\/article\/neft-gelirlerinin-azaldigi-merhelede-manatin-deyerinde-xeyli-zeiflemeler-bas-verecek-video\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cNeft g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259d\u0259 manat\u0131n d\u0259y\u0259rind\u0259 xeyli z\u0259ifl\u0259m\u0259l\u0259r ba\u015f ver\u0259c\u0259k\u201d (V\u0130DEO)"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\n Az\u0259rbaycan prezidenti \u0130lham \u018fliyevin \u201c2014-2018-ci ill\u0259rd\u0259 regionlar\u0131n sosial-iqtisadi inki\u015faf\u0131 \u00fczr\u0259 D\u00f6vl\u0259t Proqram\u0131n\u0131n h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irilm\u0259sinin birinci ilinin yekunlar\u0131\u201d m\u00fc\u015favir\u0259si m\u00fch\u00fcm a\u00e7\u0131qlamalr\u0131 il\u0259 yadda qald\u0131. X\u00fcsus\u0259n postneft d\u00f6vr\u00fcn\u00fcn arxada qalmas\u0131 bar\u0259d\u0259 anonslar iqtisad\u00e7\u0131lara m\u00fcnasib\u0259t bildirm\u0259k, m\u0259tbuata is\u0259 t\u0259hlill\u0259r aparmaq imkan\u0131 yaratd\u0131. \u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131 M\u0259h\u0259mm\u0259d Tal\u0131bl\u0131 il\u0259 s\u00f6hb\u0259timizd\u0259 m\u00fc\u015favir\u0259d\u0259 s\u0259sl\u0259n\u0259n fikirl\u0259rin bir qismini m\u00fczakir\u0259 etm\u0259y\u0259 c\u0259hd g\u00f6st\u0259rdik.\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n –
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\n M\u0259h\u0259mm\u0259d b\u0259y, prezident m\u00fc\u015favir\u0259d\u0259 \u00e7ox m\u00fch\u00fcm mesajlar verdi. M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, d\u00f6vl\u0259t ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n “neftin qiym\u0259tinin d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259si ist\u0259r-ist\u0259m\u0259z bizim g\u0259lirl\u0259rimiz\u0259 t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259rir. Biz daha \u0259vv\u0259lki ill\u0259rd\u0259 oldu\u011fu kimi, valyuta ehtiyatlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 art\u0131ra bilm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259yik. Bu, reall\u0131qd\u0131r, bunu ham\u0131 bilm\u0259lidir” b\u0259yanat\u0131ndan ba\u015flayaq. Deyil\u0259n reall\u0131q 3-5 il \u0259vv\u0259lki reall\u0131qlardan \u00e7oxmu f\u0259rql\u0259nir?
\n <\/b>\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n – Neftin qiym\u0259tinin xeyli a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259si \u00fcmumilikd\u0259 h\u0259r bir resurslardan as\u0131l\u0131 olan \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259ri \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 sars\u0131d\u0131b. Neftd\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131 \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r h\u0259ssas m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259y\u0259 daxil olub. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 m\u00fc\u015favir\u0259d\u0259 bir s\u0131ra tezisl\u0259r s\u0259sl\u0259ndi. M\u0259nim yadda\u015f\u0131mda qalanlar bunlar idi: biz israf\u00e7\u0131l\u0131q etm\u0259m\u0259liyik, aya\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 yor\u011fan\u0131m\u0131za g\u00f6r\u0259 uzatmal\u0131y\u0131q v\u0259 s.i. Amma sizin dediyiniz b\u0259yanat o dem\u0259kdir ki, art\u0131q b\u00f6y\u00fck g\u0259lirl\u0259r m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259si arxada qal\u0131b, biz b\u00f6y\u00fck g\u0259lirl\u0259r g\u00f6zl\u0259m\u0259m\u0259liyik, buna ham\u0131 \u0259min olsun. Bu, o dem\u0259k idi ki, Az\u0259rbaycan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bahal\u0131 neft m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259si art\u0131q gerid\u0259 qal\u0131b. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 m\u00fc\u015favir\u0259d\u0259 \u00f6t\u0259n ill\u0259rd\u0259 \u0259ld\u0259 etdiyimiz g\u0259lirl\u0259rin daha \u00e7ox v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015flar\u0131n sosial rifah\u0131na t\u0259siri qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirilm\u0259li idi. M\u00fc\u015favir\u0259d\u0259 qeyd olunmal\u0131 idi ki, neftd\u0259n \u0259ld\u0259 olunmu\u015f 107 milyard dollar\u0131n \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli hiss\u0259si x\u0259rcl\u0259nib, s\u00f6hb\u0259t 68 milyarddan gedir, yerd\u0259 qalan 37 milyardd\u0131r. Bel\u0259likl\u0259, neftin qiym\u0259ti d\u00fc\u015fd\u00fckc\u0259, ona adekvat olaraq g\u0259lirl\u0259rimiz d\u0259 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u0259c\u0259k. Bu bax\u0131mdan iki problemi h\u0259ll etm\u0259liydik, birinci, \u0259ld\u0259 olunan g\u0259lirl\u0259rin daha effektli, rentabelli idar\u0259 olunmas\u0131, y\u0259ni investisiya strategiyalar\u0131 y\u00fcks\u0259k m\u0259nf\u0259\u0259tl\u0259 idar\u0259 olunmal\u0131d\u0131r. Eyni zamanda, \u0259ld\u0259 olunmu\u015f v\u0259saitin x\u0259rcl\u0259nm\u0259si \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 \u015f\u0259ffaf v\u0259 s\u0259m\u0259r\u0259li imkan tap\u0131lmal\u0131 idi. Amma bunlar art\u0131q ke\u00e7mi\u015f m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259dir. Art\u0131q Az\u0259rbaycan h\u00f6kum\u0259ti postneft d\u00f6vr\u00fcn\u0259 haz\u0131rla\u015fmal\u0131d\u0131r.\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n –
\n
\n Haz\u0131rl\u0131qlar g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrm\u00fc?
\n <\/b>\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n – Postneft d\u00f6vr\u00fcn\u00fcn haz\u0131rl\u0131qlar\u0131 dey\u0259nd\u0259, bu, elan olunmu\u015f neft hasilat\u0131ndan sonrak\u0131 pik h\u0259ddin haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 ciddi add\u0131m at\u0131lmay\u0131b. Sad\u0259c\u0259, elan olunub ki, hans\u0131sa haz\u0131rl\u0131qlar g\u00f6r\u00fcls\u00fcn.\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n –
\n
\n Amma prezident bildirdi: “Ancaq biz b\u00fct\u00fcn bu \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131\u015flara haz\u0131r olmal\u0131y\u0131q v\u0259 haz\u0131r\u0131q. \u00c7\u00fcnki vaxt\u0131nda b\u00fct\u00fcn t\u0259dbirl\u0259ri g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f\u00fck, he\u00e7 vaxt populist b\u0259yanatlarla \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f etm\u0259mi\u015fik, he\u00e7 vaxt xaricd\u0259 yerl\u0259\u015f\u0259n hans\u0131sa quruma xo\u015fa g\u0259lm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn add\u0131mlar atmam\u0131\u015f\u0131q”. Bu, fakt deyilmi?
\n <\/b>\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n – T\u0259bii ki, bu, fakt deyil. O bax\u0131mdan ki, \u0259h\u0259miy\u0259tli g\u0259lirl\u0259r m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259si art\u0131q gerid\u0259 qal\u0131b, indiy\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f i\u015fl\u0259rin is\u0259 realistik h\u0259d\u0259fi olmal\u0131, h\u0259m iqtisadi, h\u0259m d\u0259 sosial rifah\u0131 \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259ndirm\u0259li idi. Bu g\u00fcn neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin Az\u0259rbaycan v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0259yat\u0131na hans\u0131 t\u0259sirl\u0259ri \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 m\u00fczakir\u0259 aparsaq, \u00fcmumi m\u0259nz\u0259r\u0259 ayd\u0131n olard\u0131. \u018fg\u0259r neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli hiss\u0259si gerid\u0259 qal\u0131bsa, bu m\u00fcdd\u0259td\u0259 h\u00f6kum\u0259t 1 milyon 200 min pensiya\u00e7\u0131n\u0131n pensiyas\u0131n\u0131n baza hiss\u0259sini 1,4 faiz h\u0259cmind\u0259 art\u0131r\u0131b. Bu, t\u0259xmin\u0259n 1 manat 50 q\u0259pik art\u0131m dem\u0259kdir. Dem\u0259li, neftin \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli hiss\u0259sinin gerid\u0259 qald\u0131\u011f\u0131na baxmayaraq, orta ayl\u0131q \u0259m\u0259khaqq\u0131, ya\u015fay\u0131\u015f minimumunun v\u0259 dig\u0259r makroiqtisadi g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259rin insanlar\u0131n h\u0259yat\u0131na birba\u015fa \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ri hiss olunmur. Bundan sonra is\u0259 h\u0259m hasilat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr, h\u0259m neftin konyuktur qiym\u0259t s\u0259viyy\u0259si d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr, bu m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259d\u0259 h\u00f6kum\u0259tl\u0259rin c\u0259miyy\u0259tl\u0259r\u0259 mesajlar\u0131 ciddi olmal\u0131d\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnki \u0259n \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli hiss\u0259l\u0259r gerid\u0259 qal\u0131b, investisiya layih\u0259l\u0259ri h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irilib, b\u00f6y\u00fck investisiya layih\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259 korrupsiya riskl\u0259ri olub, bu m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259 art\u0131q gerid\u0259 qal\u0131b. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 bundan sonrak\u0131 sosial t\u0259sirin pozitiv olaca\u011f\u0131 bir o q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259 inaml\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcr.\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n –
\n
\n M\u0259n prezidentin \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndak\u0131 \u00f6n\u0259mli m\u0259qamlara toxunman\u0131z\u0131 ist\u0259rdim. \u00d6t\u0259n ilin dekabr\u0131n 16-da prezident Sabirabadda g\u0259ncl\u0259rl\u0259 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc zaman\u0131 “Neftin qiym\u0259tinin d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259sini he\u00e7 kim hiss etm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k” – mesaj\u0131n\u0131 verdi. Yanvar\u0131n 27-d\u0259 m\u0259lum m\u00fc\u015favir\u0259d\u0259 “neftin qiym\u0259tinin d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259si ist\u0259r-ist\u0259m\u0259z bizim g\u0259lirl\u0259rimiz\u0259 t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259rir”,-dey\u0259 bildirdi. \u0130ki g\u00fcn \u0259vv\u0259l prezident Qusar rayonunda \u201c\u015eahda\u011f\u201d q\u0131\u015f-yay turizm kompleksind\u0259 \u201cPark Chalet Shahdag\u201d otelinin a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131nda deyib ki, he\u00e7 bir b\u00f6hran biz\u0259 t\u0259sir ed\u0259 bilm\u0259z. Zaman aras\u0131nda f\u0259rql\u0259r \u00e7ox azd\u0131r, birinci a\u00e7\u0131qlama il\u0259 ikinci a\u00e7\u0131qlama aras\u0131nda 42 g\u00fcn, sonuncu a\u00e7\u0131qlama is\u0259 ikincid\u0259n 2 g\u00fcn sonra s\u0259sl\u0259nib. B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar hakimiyy\u0259tin proqram\u0131n\u0131n olmamas\u0131d\u0131r, yoxsa arxay\u0131n\u00e7\u0131l\u0131q var?
\n <\/b>\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n – Bu fikir yad\u0131ma d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u0259n m\u0259\u015fhur investorlarlndan Uoeffe Baffetin g\u00f6z\u0259l fikrini sald\u0131, o, deyir: “Suyun d\u0259rinliyini yoxlamam\u0131z \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn iki aya\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 eyni vaxtda suya salma\u011fa ehtiyac yoxdur, bir aya\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 suya salanda suyun d\u0259rinliyini bilirik”. Bu bax\u0131mdan neft hasilat\u0131 gerid\u0259 qalanda, neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rimizin \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli hiss\u0259sini x\u0259rcl\u0259y\u0259nd\u0259n sonra q\u0259na\u0259t etm\u0259k haqq\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u0259li deyilik. Biz x\u0259rcl\u0259dikd\u0259n sonra q\u0259na\u0259t etm\u0259li deyilik. \u018fksin\u0259, q\u0259na\u0259t ed\u0259nd\u0259n sonra x\u0259rcl\u0259m\u0259liyik. Amma Az\u0259rbaycanda \u0259ks proses ba\u015f verdi. Haz\u0131rda v\u0259ziyy\u0259t bel\u0259dir ki, bu g\u00fcn sosial naraz\u0131l\u0131qlar\u0131 nec\u0259 yat\u0131rtmaq, \u0259halini neft g\u0259lirl\u0259ri g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259ri qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda nec\u0259 hesabatl\u0131 olmaq bar\u0259d\u0259 \u00e7\u0259tin suallara cavab verm\u0259k m\u0259cburiyy\u0259tind\u0259yik. S\u00f6hb\u0259t \u0259lb\u0259tt\u0259 ki, h\u00f6kum\u0259td\u0259n gedir. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 son bir ayda eyni \u015f\u0259xsl\u0259rin f\u0259rqli m\u00f6vqed\u0259n \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f etm\u0259si neft bazar\u0131n\u0131n qeyri-sabit, h\u0259ssas bazar oldu\u011funu g\u00f6st\u0259rir. Bel\u0259 h\u0259ssas bazar\u0131n da h\u00f6kum\u0259t\u0259 t\u0259siri d\u0259 h\u0259ssasd\u0131r. Bu bax\u0131mdan resurs as\u0131l\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 olan \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 daha \u00e7ox “A\u011f fil” – b\u00f6y\u00fck investisiya layih\u0259l\u0259ri h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irilir. B\u00f6y\u00fck pullar \u00f6lk\u0259y\u0259 daxil olduqca, h\u0259min h\u00f6kum\u0259tl\u0259r daha \u00e7ox populist layih\u0259l\u0259ri maliyy\u0259l\u0259\u015fdirm\u0259kd\u0259 maraql\u0131 olur. Maraq ondan ir\u0259li \u00a0g\u0259lir ki, neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015flar\u0131n g\u00f6z\u00fcnd\u0259 g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259rini b\u00f6y\u00fcts\u00fcn. N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259 insanlar s\u00fcfr\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 daxil olan ayl\u0131q g\u0259lirl\u0259r\u0259 baxanda, \u0259ld\u0259 olunmu\u015f g\u0259lir v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015f\u0131n rifah s\u0259viyy\u0259sini d\u0259yi\u015fdirm\u0259yib. D\u00fczd\u00fcr, \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 infrastruktur sistemi yenil\u0259nib, biznes \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259lveri\u015fli \u015f\u0259rait yaran\u0131b.\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n –
\n
\n Do\u011frudanm\u0131, infrastruktur sistemi yenil\u0259nib?
\n <\/b>\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n – G\u00f6z\u0259 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u0259n m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r var. Bu d\u0259yi\u015fikl\u0259rin m\u0259nim \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn m\u00fcsb\u0259t t\u0259siri ola bil\u0259r ki, h\u0259min infrastruktur biznes \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259lveri\u015fli, investor \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn c\u0259lbedici olsun. Xarici investisiyan\u0131n \u00f6lk\u0259y\u0259 ax\u0131n\u0131n\u0131 h\u0259min infrastruktur stimulla\u015fd\u0131rs\u0131n. \u018fg\u0259r xarici v\u0259 daxili investorlar \u00f6lk\u0259 iqtisadiyyat\u0131na yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259 axm\u0131rsa, bu, o dem\u0259kdir ki, yarad\u0131lm\u0131\u015f infrastruktur biznes \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259lveri\u015fli deyil. Sad\u0259c\u0259, t\u0259nziml\u0259nm\u0259 bax\u0131m\u0131ndan m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n borclar\u0131 yerin\u0131 yetirib. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259t neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin g\u0259li\u015fi d\u00f6vr\u00fc arxada qald\u0131 v\u0259 ba\u015fqa probleml\u0259r d\u0259 yarand\u0131. M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, 1994-c\u00fc ild\u0259 adamba\u015f\u0131na xarici borc 9 dollar idi, bu g\u00fcn is\u0259 600 dollar\u0131n \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259dir. Bir t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n neft, b\u00fcdc\u0259 g\u0259lirl\u0259rimizin artmas\u0131yla f\u0259xr edirik, eyni zamanda, ona paralel olaraq xarici borclar da art\u0131r.\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n –
\n
\n Dem\u0259li, 20 ild\u0259 xarici borc d\u0259f\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 art\u0131b…
\n <\/b>\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n – 6 milyard borcumuzu n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alanda, bu, t\u0259xmin\u0259n \u00dcDM-in 8,5 faizi edir. Biziml\u0259 eyni m\u00fcst\u0259qillik ya\u015f\u0131nda olan Erm\u0259nistan\u0131\u0131n da 6 milyard dollar xarici \u00a0borcu var. Halbuki, he\u00e7 bir resurs \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fcy\u00fc yoxdur, amma Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n xarici borca girm\u0259sinin hans\u0131sa obyektiv s\u0259b\u0259bl\u0259ri var. \u00d6lk\u0259 t\u0259crid olunub, m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n bazarlar itirilib, iqtisadi imkanlar t\u00fck\u0259nib v\u0259 s.i. Amma Az\u0259rbaycanda bu q\u0259d\u0259r imkanlar fonunda xarici borcun da olmas\u0131 v\u0259 bunun 60-70 faizinin 10-20 ilini \u0259hat\u0259 etm\u0259si, daha \u00e7ox g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k n\u0259sill\u0259rin \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 qalmas\u0131 \u00e7ox ciddi probleml\u0259rd\u0259n biri kimi qeyd olunmal\u0131d\u0131r.\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n –
\n
\n O zaman Az\u0259rbaycan 2004-c\u00fc ild\u0259n ba\u015flayan “neft bumu” d\u00f6vr\u00fcn\u00fc itirdiyini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u0259k olarm\u0131?
\n <\/b>\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n – Bu m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 haqq\u0131nda konkret dem\u0259k olmaz ki, biz neft pullar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rm\u0259dik, bel\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u0259k, bir az q\u0259r\u0259zli m\u00f6vqedir. Yaxud bu f\u00fcrs\u0259td\u0259n s\u0259m\u0259r\u0259li istifad\u0259 etm\u0259yimizi s\u00f6yl\u0259m\u0259k d\u0259, yalan\u00e7\u0131 t\u0259rif\u0259 ox\u015fayar. Sad\u0259c\u0259, m\u00f6vcud imkanlardan q\u0259na\u0259tb\u0259x\u015f istifad\u0259 olunmad\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnki neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin idar\u0259 olunmas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00e7ox ciddi probleml\u0259r oldu. H\u0259m hesabatl\u0131l\u0131q y\u00fcks\u0259k s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 olmad\u0131, h\u0259m d\u0259 neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rind\u0259n s\u0259m\u0259r\u0259li istifad\u0259 edilm\u0259di. Bu, \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc onda b\u00fcruz\u0259 verdi ki, iri investisiya layih\u0259l\u0259ri h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irildi, 100 milyonlarla g\u0259lirin qar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 10 milyonlar h\u0259cmind\u0259 layih\u0259l\u0259r, 10 milyardlarla g\u0259lir olanda milyardl\u0131q layih\u0259l\u0259r ger\u00e7\u0259kl\u0259\u015fdirdik. \u00d6lk\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fck tikinti meydan\u00e7as\u0131n\u0131 xat\u0131rlatd\u0131. Amma v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015flar\u0131n h\u0259min layih\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 \u0259l\u00e7atanl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndir\u0259nd\u0259, keyfiyy\u0259t d\u0259yi\u015fikliyin m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 ed\u0259nd\u0259, t\u0259hsil v\u0259 s\u0259hiyy\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin adamba\u015f\u0131na b\u00f6lg\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc aparanda, orta \u00f6m\u00fcr m\u00fcdd\u0259tin\u0259 diqq\u0259t yetir\u0259nd\u0259, b\u00f6y\u00fck f\u00fcrs\u0259tl\u0259rin itirildiyini g\u00f6r\u00fcr\u00fck. Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, institusional probleml\u0259rimiz d\u0259 oldu, biz yax\u015f\u0131 idar\u0259etm\u0259ni m\u0259nims\u0259y\u0259 bilm\u0259dik, Az\u0259rbaycanda avtoritarizm m\u00f6hk\u0259ml\u0259ndi, demokratik platformadan imtina etdik, normal se\u00e7ki \u0259n\u0259n\u0259si qoyulmad\u0131, demokratik institutlar is\u0259 m\u0259hv oldu. Haqq\u0131nda dan\u0131\u015fd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z m\u00fc\u015favir\u0259d\u0259 bir m\u0259qam m\u0259ni c\u0259lb etdi, biz maliyy\u0259 n\u0259zar\u0259tini g\u00fccl\u0259ndirm\u0259liydik, s\u00f6hb\u0259t maliyy\u0259 ax\u0131n kanallar\u0131 \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 s\u0259rtl\u0259\u015fm\u0259d\u0259n gedir. \u00d6lk\u0259y\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fck neft pullar\u0131, b\u00f6y\u00fck kreditl\u0259r daxil olur, d\u00f6vl\u0259t qurumlar\u0131 bunlar\u0131n x\u0259rc trayektoriyas\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259qib etm\u0259liydi. Amma \u0259ksin\u0259 oldu, v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015f c\u0259miyy\u0259tinin 50-60 min dollar qrant\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259qib etdil\u0259r. Bunlar v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015f c\u0259miyy\u0259tinin v\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259tin d\u00f6vl\u0259t qurumlar\u0131 \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 n\u0259zar\u0259tinin z\u0259ifl\u0259m\u0259si il\u0259 n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259nir. V\u0259t\u0259nda\u015f c\u0259miyy\u0259ti g\u00fccl\u00fc deyils\u0259, bu, o dem\u0259kdir ki, h\u00f6kum\u0259t d\u0259 hesabatl\u0131 olmayacaq.\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n –
\n
\n M\u0259n prezidentin manat-avro nisb\u0259ti il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 dedikl\u0259rin\u0259 \u015f\u0259rhinizi bilm\u0259k ist\u0259rdim. Bu bar\u0259d\u0259 n\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrs\u00fcn\u00fcz?
\n <\/b>\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n – Bu, inflyasiyada monitar bir hadis\u0259dir. D\u00fcnyada q\u0259bul olunmu\u015f qayda budur ki, h\u0259r bir d\u00f6vl\u0259tin milli valyutalar\u0131 m\u0259hz AB\u015e dollar\u0131na nisb\u0259td\u0259 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259nl\u0259\u015fir. \u00d6lk\u0259y\u0259 neft g\u0259lirl\u0259ri daxil olanda M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank pul k\u00fctl\u0259sini el\u0259 v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259 saxlay\u0131rd\u0131 ki, milli valyutan\u0131n dayanaql\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u0259min olunsun. Bunun \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank ild\u0259 1,3 milyard manat x\u0259rcl\u0259yirdi. Bizim kimi \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 valyutan\u0131n arxas\u0131nda y\u00fcks\u0259k istehsal prosesi dayanm\u0131rsa, \u00e7ox t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259l\u0259r yarad\u0131r. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 manat\u0131n bu formada saxlanmas\u0131 obrazl\u0131 des\u0259k, manata s\u00fcni t\u0259n\u0259ff\u00fcs aparat\u0131n\u0131n qo\u015fulmas\u0131na b\u0259nz\u0259yir. \u00d6lk\u0259nin dinamik iqtisadi v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti el\u0259 s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 olmal\u0131d\u0131r ki, sad\u0259c\u0259, bir qurumun y\u00fcks\u0259k imkanla \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 hesab\u0131na manat\u0131n t\u0259nziml\u0259nm\u0259si bu q\u0259d\u0259r \u0259ziyy\u0259tli olmas\u0131n. \u0130ndiki halda h\u00f6kum\u0259tin h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irdiyi siyas\u0259t ondan ibar\u0259tdir ki, d\u00fcnyadak\u0131 valyuta siyas\u0259tind\u0259 manat\u0131n sabitliyinin qorunmas\u0131na \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131r. Ancaq neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259d\u0259 manat\u0131n d\u0259y\u0259rind\u0259 xeyli z\u0259ifl\u0259m\u0259l\u0259r ba\u015f ver\u0259c\u0259k. Postneft d\u00f6vr\u00fcn\u0259 daxil oldu\u011fumuzdan M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131n bu q\u0259d\u0259r v\u0259saitl\u0259r x\u0259rcl\u0259m\u0259si \u00e7\u0259tinl\u0259\u015f\u0259c\u0259k.\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n –
\n
\n Neftin d\u00fc\u015fd\u00fcy\u00fc bug\u00fcnl\u0259rd\u0259n \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f ets\u0259k, q\u0259d\u0259m basd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z 2015-ci il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn hans\u0131 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259l\u0259r g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir?
\n <\/b>\n<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n – \u00a0Birinci problem ondan ibar\u0259t olacaq ki, Neft Fondundan b\u00fcdc\u0259y\u0259 transferl\u0259rin artmas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u0259c\u0259yik. Eyni zamanda, qeyri-neft sektorundan b\u00fcdc\u0259y\u0259 daxil olmalar\u0131n vasit\u0259 v\u0259 metodlar\u0131 artacaq. \u0130ndiy\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r qeyri-neft sektoru b\u00fcdc\u0259y\u0259 daxil olmalar\u0131 ona g\u00f6r\u0259 c\u0259lb olunmurdu ki, Neft Fondunun transferl\u0259ri bunu tamamil\u0259 k\u00f6lg\u0259d\u0259 saxlay\u0131rd\u0131. \u0130ndi Neft Fondundan transferl\u0259r azald\u0131qca, qeyri-neft sektorundan art\u0131rmalar haqq\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u0259c\u0259yik. H\u00f6kum\u0259t h\u0259m d\u0259 investisiya x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli bir hiss\u0259sinin t\u0259xir\u0259 salmaq bar\u0259d\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u0259c\u0259k. \u018fg\u0259r \u00f6t\u0259n il\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r ortalama 7-8 milyard manat d\u00f6vl\u0259t investisiya layih\u0259l\u0259ri h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irirdis\u0259, ola bilsin bu r\u0259q\u0259m yax\u0131n ill\u0259rd\u0259 4-5 milyarda d\u00fc\u015fs\u00fcn. Sosial x\u0259rcl\u0259ri k\u0259s\u0259 bilm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259kl\u0259r, \u00e7\u00fcnki bu, m\u00fcdafi\u0259 olunmu\u015f x\u0259rcl\u0259r kateqoriyas\u0131na daxil olur. M\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr ki, b\u00fcdc\u0259 k\u0259siri yaransa, h\u00f6kum\u0259t xarici borclanmaya da getsin. Bu da postneft d\u00f6vr\u00fcn\u00fcn biz\u0259 yaratd\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n biridir. Ba\u015fqa t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n d\u0259 makro-iqtisadi v\u0259ziyy\u0259t \u00e7\u0259tinl\u0259\u015f\u0259 bil\u0259r, m\u0259n m\u0259\u015f\u011fulluq s\u0259viyy\u0259sinin \u00e7\u0259tinliyini v\u0259 i\u015fsizlik probleml\u0259rini n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tuturam. X\u00fcsusil\u0259 demoqrafik proses s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259n\u0259r, Rusiya v\u0259 regonlar\u0131m\u0131zdan Bak\u0131ya ax\u0131n \u0259m\u0259k bazar\u0131nda sosial g\u0259rginliyi art\u0131ra bil\u0259r. H\u0259m d\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fck layih\u0259l\u0259rin – parlament se\u00e7kil\u0259ri, Avropa Oyunlar\u0131n\u0131n ke\u00e7irilm\u0259si \u00f6lk\u0259ni daha \u00e7ox g\u00fcnd\u0259m\u0259 g\u0259tirir. H\u00f6kum\u0259t d\u0259 hesabl\u0131 olduqca, g\u00fcnd\u0259m \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 d\u0259 hesabat verm\u0259li olacaq.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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